English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Manchester United		19.2%
57.9%		22.8%
+342
-130
+310
-125
4
4		-1.48771-1.46274-1.47644
Leeds United
Brentford		21.7%
54.6%		23.6%
+258
+120
+270
+120
1
1		-1.23443-1.26323-1.44240
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest		30.0%
43.2%		26.8%
+170
+178
+180
+155
0
3		-1.04469-0.97859-0.83956
Newcastle United
Sunderland		38.8%
33.0%		28.2%
+120
+257
+125
+245
0
1		-1.29678-1.27500-1.10818
Aston Villa
West Ham United		44.9%
29.0%		26.1%
+124
+240
+120
+275
3
2		-0.83239-0.79536-0.80098
Manchester City
Crystal Palace		45.3%
28.0%		26.7%
-110
+320
-115
+320
3
0		-0.67072-0.65153-0.79206
Wolverhampton
Arsenal		5.5%
82.3%		12.2%
+2300
-800
+2300
-840
1
2		-0.15140-0.15496-0.19440
Fulham
Burnley		41.6%
30.3%		28.1%
-100
+305
+100
+295
3
2		-0.71904-0.73934-0.87649
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool		10.8%
72.0%		17.2%
+355
-128
+350
-133
0
2		-0.59531-0.59753-0.32853
Everton
Chelsea		14.4%
65.4%		20.2%
+410
-137
+390
-136
0
2		-0.57378-0.59113-0.42477
Manchester United
Wolverhampton		49.7%
24.4%		25.8%
-152
+457
-160
+420
4
1		-0.52894-0.52707-0.69828
Crystal Palace
Fulham		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+194
+155
+190
+158
2
1		-1.10788-1.09778-1.04705
West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion		12.5%
68.7%		18.8%
+450
-161
+440
-170
1
1		-1.48935-1.51386-1.67222
Liverpool
Leeds United		67.2%
14.0%		18.8%
-127
+347
-135
+355
3
3		-1.41894-1.43906-1.67238
Brentford
Tottenham		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+203
+147
+200
+145
0
2		-0.93280-0.92294-0.62798
Sunderland
Manchester City		7.3%
78.8%		13.8%
+1050
-370
+990
-390
0
3		-0.26923-0.27123-0.23778
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.