Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sassuolo
Milan 		8.4%
77.9%		13.7%
+665
-240

0.81
2.75		3.56
o2½-120
u2¾-116

Volatility Bet Value Active
Napoli
Udinese 		58.7%
18.8%		22.5%
-110
+325

1.85
0.94		2.79
o2¼-108
u2¼-110

Hellas Verona
Fiorentina 		13.0%
68.1%		18.9%
+350
-120

0.83
2.17		3.00
o2¼-104
u2¼-109

Inter
Genoa 		61.5%
16.7%		21.8%
-189
+525

1.90
0.87		2.77
o2¼-126
u2½-118

Volatility Bet Value Active
Juventus
Bologna 		34.5%
37.0%		28.5%
+162
+185

1.11
1.17		2.28
o2¼+105
u2¼-118

Games for Dec 13, 2025
Games for Dec 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Juventus
Napoli		26.8%
47.0%		26.2%
+220
+170
+220
+159
1
2		-1.02527-0.98854-0.75451
Bologna
Lazio		33.3%
39.5%		27.3%
+260
+134
+242
+145
1
1		-1.14762-1.14319-1.30001
Roma
Cagliari		55.2%
21.3%		23.5%
-144
+525
-154
+480
0
1		-1.86394-1.79890-1.54815
Lecce
Cremonese		29.2%
43.3%		27.4%
+260
+142
+245
+145
0
2		-0.90037-0.92589-0.83593
Atalanta
Hellas Verona		56.5%
21.0%		22.5%
-143
+500
-150
+467
1
3		-1.80655-1.77526-1.56084
Como
Inter		8.9%
75.8%		15.3%
+580
-177
+500
-180
0
4		-0.47173-0.48781-0.27702
Fiorentina
Sassuolo		38.8%
34.9%		26.3%
+170
+198
+165
+190
1
3		-1.11505-1.09880-1.05294
Cremonese
Bologna		9.0%
75.1%		15.9%
+605
-192
+595
-190
3
1		-1.98712-1.98086-2.40850
Napoli
Roma		35.1%
37.6%		27.2%
+218
+190
+210
+165
1
0		-1.18345-1.17633-1.04600
Fiorentina
Atalanta		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+495
-157
+480
-150
0
2		-0.52760-0.54578-0.42503
Inter
Pisa		77.8%
7.8%		14.3%
-370
+1100
-354
+975
2
0		-0.26933-0.29298-0.25087
Torino
Lecce		43.4%
29.2%		27.4%
+170
+215
+165
+225
1
2		-1.18303-1.20241-1.23052
Lazio
Milan		12.6%
69.1%		18.2%
+490
-148
+445
-150
0
1		-0.55071-0.55977-0.36954
Cagliari
Juventus		10.8%
71.2%		18.0%
+1300
-425
+1150
-400
1
2		-0.24552-0.26237-0.34030
Hellas Verona
Genoa		21.4%
54.3%		24.2%
+390
+106
+345
+105
1
2		-0.75647-0.75745-0.61041
Udinese
Parma		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+184
+186
+186
+170
2
0		-1.07831-1.09255-1.13937
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08644 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.06586 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.02726
0.05918
0.03860

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.