MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.1%
58.9%
+177
-187
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
1
2
-0.44086-0.43510-0.52892
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
30.3%
69.7%
+233
-255
+230
-255
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
4
6
-0.34929-0.35197-0.36113
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
44.6%
55.4%
+121
-131
+122
-130
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+137
1
3
-0.58663-0.58609-0.59005
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
42.9%
57.1%
+163
-173
+165
-175
+1½-120
-1½+108
+1½-121
-1½+110
1
7
-0.47002-0.46561-0.56066
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
42.1%
57.9%
+125
-133
+121
-130
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
4
-0.57583-0.58810-0.54612
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
54.4%
45.6%
+113
-119
+112
-117
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+166
4
6
-0.62273-0.62854-0.78550
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
51.0%
49.0%
-110
+100
-108
+101
+1½-207
-1½+180

2
5
-0.71668-0.71474-0.71398
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
53.4%
46.6%
-110
+106
-110
+106
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-170
2
6
-0.73191-0.73191-0.76316
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
47.0%
53.0%
+133
-141
+136
-140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
3
-0.55017-0.54604-0.63401
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
49.3%
50.7%
+108
-118
+111
-117
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
2
-0.63563-0.63074-0.67970
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
46.0%
54.0%
+133
-140
+132
-138
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+168
1
2
-0.55144-0.55582-0.61570
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
45.9%
54.1%
+110
-119
+116
-122
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
7
2
-0.76132-0.78255-0.77877
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
67.0%
33.0%
-260
+237
-260
+235
-1½-180
+1½+165
-1½-170
+1½+160
2
4
-1.23368-1.22946-1.10845
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.7%
50.3%
-105
-104
-102
-104
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
6
8
-0.69549-0.68838-0.68778
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
41.6%
58.4%
+180
-193
+185
-194
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+133
2
5
-0.43320-0.42641-0.53820
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
50.9%
49.1%
+113
-117
+115
-116
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
13
-0.62633-0.62385-0.71103
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.