MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
34.2%
65.8%
+188
-190
+186
-198
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-118
-1½+105
2
1
-1.06019-1.06479-1.07172
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
46.9%
53.1%
+122
-130
+122
-129
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
3
6
-0.58609-0.58758-0.63318
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
51.6%
48.4%
-107
-102
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+184
4
2
-0.68152-0.68583-0.66136
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
36.3%
63.7%
+188
-201
+181
-198
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-105
2
3
-0.41869-0.42892-0.45155
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
37.1%
62.9%
+232
-257
+233
-255
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-126
1
7
-0.34953-0.34929-0.46332
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
42.7%
57.3%
+131
-141
+132
-136
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
1
-0.85505-0.84884-0.85104
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
34.5%
65.5%
+210
-225
+201
-210
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-114
6
2
-1.14618-1.11155-1.06494
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
43.2%
56.8%
+149
-157
+148
-151
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50526-0.51299-0.56500
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.0%
45.0%
-155
+146
-151
+146
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-115
3
5
-0.91442-0.90822-0.79820
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
44.4%
55.6%
+160
-170
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+124
4
2
-0.96964-0.96693-0.81301
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.3%
42.7%
-180
+171
-177
+175
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+100
11
4
-0.45361-0.45050-0.55624
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
62.6%
37.4%
-200
+185
-205
+190
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+115
10
0
-0.42286-0.41412-0.46842
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
38.8%
61.2%
+148
-158
+149
-157
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
5
9
-0.50587-0.50526-0.49176
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
35.6%
64.4%
+170
-178
+174
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+111
5
2
-1.00387-1.01575-1.03375
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
53.9%
46.1%
-127
+121
-125
+118
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+132
+1½-145
4
6
-0.80488-0.79350-0.77425
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
39.8%
60.2%
+187
-197
+185
-197
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
0
-1.06598-1.06140-0.92143
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.