MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
46.7%
53.3%
+118
-123
+120
-125
+1½-168
-1½+158
+1½-165
-1½+160
8
2
-0.78955-0.79851-0.76091
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
47.8%
52.2%
+110
-114
+104
-110
+1½-198
-1½+178
+1½-205
-1½+180
1
4
-0.63864-0.66054-0.65103
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
44.2%
55.8%
+112
-119
+111
-117
+1½-180
-1½+177
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
4
-0.62491-0.63074-0.58257
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
47.1%
52.9%
+117
-126
+120
-130
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
10
4
-0.79290-0.80802-0.75247
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
46.0%
54.0%
+113
-120
+115
-118
+1½-178
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+165
5
9
-0.62096-0.62019-0.61661
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
40.1%
59.9%
+154
-163
+155
-162
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-135
-1½+132
5
2
-0.94554-0.94652-0.91325
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
52.5%
47.5%
-112
+105
-111
+106
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
3
-0.73382-0.73414-0.74469
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
50.3%
49.7%
-122
+119
-123
+120
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
6
-0.79005-0.79454-0.69828
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
43.6%
56.4%
+131
-137
+130
-140
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
6
-0.55898-0.55696-0.57325
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.5%
64.5%
+189
-186
+175
-185
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
2
0
-1.05762-1.02427-1.03471
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.2%
49.8%
+106
-107
+100
-107

+1½-200
-1½+185
3
7
-0.66223-0.67666-0.69683
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
61.4%
38.6%
-145
+160
-153
+153
-1½-103
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½+100
4
6
-0.93168-0.92821-0.95096
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
54.1%
45.9%
+101
-107
-101
-104

-1½+160
+1½-175
0
2
-0.67421-0.68595-0.77914
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
43.6%
56.4%
+114
-120
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
11
-0.61880-0.62534-0.57346
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
51.2%
48.8%
+120
-128
+121
-130
+1½-166
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
7
-0.59314-0.58810-0.71828
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
55.3%
44.7%
-107
+100
-108
+102
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
7
8
-0.70991-0.71728-0.80508
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.