MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
35.1%
64.9%
+217
-240
+221
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
1
-1.17483-1.18352-1.04765
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
45.3%
54.7%
+111
-121
+114
-110
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
4
-0.62358-0.63769-0.60367
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
47.7%
52.3%
+104
-114
+110
-112
+1½-183
-1½+165

8
3
-0.73560-0.74642-0.74034
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
52.4%
47.6%
-150
+140
-149
+145
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-123
6
8
-0.89199-0.90263-0.74137
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
48.8%
51.2%
+130
-134
+129
-133
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-155
-1½+141
7
3
-0.84033-0.83602-0.71771
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
46.3%
53.7%
-101
-107
+103
-110
-1½+150
+1½-169

9
0
-0.70739-0.72433-0.76940
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
60.7%
39.3%
-220
+203
-216
+215
-1½-115
+1½+103
-1½-115
+1½+115
3
4
-1.12596-1.14841-0.93471
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
40.9%
59.1%
+148
-158
+150
-155
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
-1½+117
6
3
-0.92377-0.92410-0.89338
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
38.4%
61.6%
+159
-169
+160
-170
+1½-118
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
11
-0.47907-0.47678-0.48396
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
48.3%
51.7%
+110
-114
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+168
3
7
-0.63864-0.63673-0.65967
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
44.5%
55.5%
+152
-160
+155
-163
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+127
5
6
-0.49765-0.49027-0.58945
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
50.0%
50.0%
-129
+119
-124
+120
-1½+121
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
6
1
-0.59365-0.59946-0.69373
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
46.4%
53.6%
+134
-140
+135
-143
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
9
-0.54962-0.54412-0.62448
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
52.5%
47.5%
+118
-127
+120
-124
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
12
4
-0.79735-0.79653-0.64500
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
57.1%
42.9%
-164
+151
-170
+160
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
1
7
-0.93971-0.96964-0.84607
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
48.3%
51.7%
+113
-123
+116
-120
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
5
3
-0.77696-0.77849-0.72871
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.