MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 22, 2026
Games for Jan 24, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
41.0%
59.0%
+147
-157
+145
-154
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+137
4
2
-0.91985-0.91046-0.89199
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
42.0%
58.0%
+131
-136
+130
-134
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+144
3
4
-0.56031-0.56488-0.54518
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
45.9%
54.1%
-106
-103
-105
+100
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-172
4
2
-0.68615-0.68116-0.77766
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.9%
44.1%
-146
+136
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-120
8
3
-0.53880-0.53299-0.58134
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
41.8%
58.2%
+149
-162
+155
-157
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+128
6
7
-0.50048-0.49589-0.54120
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
24.5%
75.5%
+218
-230
+225
-240
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-116
2
4
-0.37238-0.36179-0.28080
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
49.0%
51.0%
-101
-108
+104
-107
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
0
8
-0.67690-0.66697-0.67238
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
40.8%
59.2%
+222
-240
+225
-238
+1½+105
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-118
6
5
-1.18567-1.19043-0.89688
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
41.1%
58.9%
+179
-195
+175
-189
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
5
1
-1.04529-1.02907-0.88911
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+166
-180
+169
-175
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
6
4
-0.99696-0.99761-0.94905
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
46.1%
53.9%
-111
+105
-114
+106
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-157
1
5
-0.73162-0.74068-0.61819
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.5%
39.5%
-195
+179
-190
+180
-1½-122
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+110
1
5
-1.04529-1.04185-0.92831
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+135
-143
+135
-143
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+156
7
1
-0.86833-0.86833-0.77932
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
50.7%
49.3%
-118
+109
-112
+108
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+143
+1½-160
0
3
-0.75673-0.74139-0.70822
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
40.2%
59.8%
+114
-122
+117
-120
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-206
-1½+190
3
2
-0.77751-0.78100-0.91043
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
47.5%
52.5%
-125
+115
-125
+121
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
1
6
-0.78592-0.80100-0.64373
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.