MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
50.3%
49.7%
-124
+120
-123
+120
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
8
1
-0.59873-0.60055-0.68629
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
70.1%
29.9%
-270
+250
-260
+250
-1½-190
+1½+165
-1½-175
+1½+175
6
1
-0.32572-0.33094-0.35533
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
64.1%
35.9%
-178
+170
-174
+165
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
3
1
-0.45419-0.46388-0.44480
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
61.7%
38.3%
-182
+175
-185
+175
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
8
0
-0.44493-0.44201-0.48349
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
39.2%
60.8%
+160
-167
+156
-165
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
3
-0.47734-0.48449-0.49735
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
38.2%
61.8%
+190
-200
+190
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
0
5
-0.41412-0.41412-0.48083
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
53.9%
46.1%
-157
+150
-157
+150
-1½-109
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½+100
2
7
-0.92998-0.92998-0.77347
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-124
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+155
5
0
-0.79742-0.79964-0.67166
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.7%
40.3%
-163
+155
-160
+152
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-102
+1½-105
5
4
-0.48809-0.49549-0.51587
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
58.1%
41.9%
-193
+185
-190
+180
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+105
2
5
-1.06106-1.04700-0.86945
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
53.8%
46.2%
+115
-118
+115
-120
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-192
-1½+175
3
7
-0.61975-0.61587-0.77193
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.5%
48.5%
-137
+135
-135
+130
-1½+111
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
1
3
-0.85864-0.84360-0.72293
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-154
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
0
6
-0.50559-0.51368-0.51706
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
66.3%
33.7%
-180
+175
-182
+175
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
6
1
-0.44690-0.44493-0.41128
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
36.4%
63.6%
+155
-164
+152
-158
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
6
-0.48690-0.49793-0.45196
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
41.7%
58.3%
+180
-188
+175
-190
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
2
6
-0.43414-0.43731-0.54020
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.