MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
42.0%
58.0%
+155
-161
+160
-162
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+137
0
6
-0.49045-0.48313-0.54538
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
60.9%
39.1%
-180
+170
-175
+165
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+100
1
5
-1.01126-0.99290-0.93941
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
53.0%
47.0%
-113
+105
-110
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-155
4
0
-0.65131-0.65778-0.63433
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
54.0%
46.0%
-175
+168
-172
+163
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-112
5
4
-0.45948-0.46831-0.61678
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
30.0%
70.0%
+250
-265
+243
-260
+1½+140
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-135
2
13
-0.32828-0.33500-0.35633
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
48.5%
51.5%
+120
-123
+116
-124
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+155
4
8
-0.60055-0.60640-0.66404
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
35.1%
64.9%
+230
-245
+226
-240
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+106
-1½-120
0
1
-0.35160-0.35729-0.43209
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
43.7%
56.3%
+140
-142
+137
-143
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+168
4
2
-0.87962-0.87532-0.82759
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
54.4%
45.6%
-107
+105
-105
+104
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
7
5
-0.66446-0.67139-0.60930
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
52.2%
47.8%
+115
-118
+115
-117
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
3
1
-0.77236-0.77009-0.64926
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
36.1%
63.9%
+170
-179
+169
-178
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
4
2
-1.00953-1.00586-1.01971
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
44.7%
55.3%
+140
-142
+135
-144
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
9
8
-0.87962-0.87304-0.80600
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
57.2%
42.8%
-125
+120
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
3
1
-0.59693-0.60071-0.55949
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
57.6%
42.4%
-131
+125
-132
+126
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+106
+1½-115
1
3
-0.82401-0.82837-0.85698
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago Cubs
42.5%
57.5%
+150
-153
+144
-152
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+132
5
6
-0.50688-0.51639-0.55266
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
48.3%
51.7%
+120
-122
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
6
-0.60239-0.61587-0.65917
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.