MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
32.2%
67.8%
+245
-270
+250
-273
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
7
0
-1.25776-1.27022-1.13240
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
33.1%
66.9%
+155
-158
+151
-155
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
9
8
-0.94063-0.92649-1.10546
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
46.9%
53.1%
+155
-165
+155
-165
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+125
15
9
-0.95078-0.95078-0.75679
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.4%
37.6%
-151
+142
-156
+145
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
4
-0.52288-0.51269-0.47152
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
49.0%
51.0%
+107
-113
+108
-114
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+180
4
7
-0.64741-0.64318-0.67307
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
28.5%
71.5%
+185
-199
+185
-200
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
6
10
-0.42344-0.42286-0.33570
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
47.6%
52.4%
-111
+103
-110
+104
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
6
-0.66083-0.66054-0.74162
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
55.9%
44.1%
-148
+138
-148
+135
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-120
3
1
-0.53302-0.53828-0.58105
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
43.4%
56.6%
+132
-135
+126
-135
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+155
4
1
-0.84707-0.83218-0.83494
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
51.5%
48.5%
-123
+115
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-144
1
8
-0.78202-0.78397-0.72408
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
46.7%
53.3%
+162
-172
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
13
0
-0.97710-0.96273-0.76177
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians
54.9%
45.1%
-120
+115
-122
+117
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
0
-0.61667-0.60899-0.59915
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
46.9%
53.1%
+110
-120
+110
-117
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+175
9
0
-0.76336-0.75717-0.75794
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
34.9%
65.1%
+225
-245
+225
-250
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-125
0
3
-0.35997-0.35820-0.42906
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
49.0%
51.0%
-115
+108
-117
+111
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
8
22
-0.74790-0.75971-0.67238
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.3%
43.7%
-132
+127
-131
+129
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
1
9
-0.82924-0.83232-0.82707
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.