NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Antonio Spurs (18-7)
New York Knicks (18-7)		43.8%
56.2%
+120
-132
+115
-135
+3-115
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
114.0
116.4		230.4
o231-110
u231½-110
o230-110
u231½-110
Games for Dec 15, 2025
Games for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Lakers
Minnesota Timberwolves		25.6%
74.4%
+250
-290
+265
-280
+8-111
-7½-108
+8-109
-7½-109
116
115		-1.28165-1.30549-1.36168
New Orleans Pelicans
Denver Nuggets		13.7%
86.3%
+505
-620
+500
-600
+12-105
-11½-110
+11½-109
-11½-109
88
122		-0.17559-0.17768-0.14728
Portland Trail Blazers
Utah Jazz		54.7%
45.3%
-140
+125
-140
+125
-3-105
+3-108
-2½-110
+3-109
136
134		-0.56639-0.56639-0.60259
Indiana Pacers
Dallas Mavericks		35.2%
64.8%
+200
-225
+200
-235
+6-108
-5½-113
+6-109
-6-109
105
107		-0.39304-0.38877-0.43357
Sacramento Kings
Chicago Bulls		38.8%
61.2%
+165
-175
+160
-180
+4½-105
-4½-108
+4½-109
-4½-109
113
126		-0.46561-0.46893-0.49135
Atlanta Hawks
Brooklyn Nets		72.4%
27.6%
-320
+274
-325
+270
-8-108
+8-105
-8-109
+8-109
117
112		-0.30079-0.30265-0.32320
Cleveland Cavaliers
Boston Celtics		61.2%
38.8%
-155
+140
-160
+150
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3½-109
+3½-109
105
125		-0.89968-0.93156-0.94641
Orlando Magic
Detroit Pistons		50.3%
49.7%
-125
+110
-120
+115
-1½-105
+2-108
-1½-109
+2-110
116
135		-0.77319-0.77596-0.69886
Houston Rockets
Toronto Raptors		67.0%
33.0%
-215
+192
-220
+190
-5½-105
+5½-108
-5-110
+5½-109
139
121		-0.40663-0.40651-0.40109
Los Angeles Clippers
Golden State Warriors		47.5%
52.5%
-120
+105
-120
+105
-1½-108
+1½-103
-1½-109
+2-110
79
98		-0.75056-0.75056-0.64363
New York Knicks
Milwaukee Bucks		58.4%
41.6%
-130
+112
-120
+110
-2-108
+2-105
-2-105
+2-109
111
121		-0.78768-0.76336-0.87770
Sacramento Kings
Oklahoma City Thunder		25.0%
75.0%
+310
-385
+330
-370
+9-108
-9-105
+9-109
-8½-110
101
107		-0.26793-0.25884-0.28712
Charlotte Hornets
Miami Heat		33.5%
66.5%
+165
-180
+165
-180
+4½-108
-4½-106
+4½-109
-4½-109
117
144		-0.46185-0.46185-0.40822
Philadelphia 76ers
Washington Wizards		59.2%
40.8%
-180
+165
-175
+165
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-109
+4½-110
139
134		-0.46185-0.46561-0.52361
Portland Trail Blazers
Los Angeles Lakers		47.3%
52.7%
-145
+135
-145
+135
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3-109
+3½-110
122
108		-0.54173-0.54173-0.74858
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors		27.5%
72.5%
+280
-320
+280
-300
+8-107
-8-108
+8½-110
-8-110
118
131		-0.29670-0.30075-0.32142
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73874966-2396 (0.674)25-0.60594 
Sportsbooks73874952-2401 (0.673)34-0.60668 
DRatings73874854-2533 (0.657)0-0.61727
-0.01132
-0.01058

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts