NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (13-19)
Belmont Bruins (26-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+686
-900
+775
-1100
+13-110
-12½-105
+13-109
-13-105
71.3
81.6
152.9
o153½-110
u153½-110
o153-110
u153½-110
Northeastern Huskies (6-23)
North Carolina A&T Aggies (11-18)
50.8%
49.2%
-120
+105
-110
+105
-1½-110
+1½-109
+0-110
+1½-110
76.8
76.4
153.2
o152½-110
u152½-110
o152-110
u152½-110
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (15-17)
Lipscomb Bisons (19-12)
37.5%
62.5%
+160
-180
+165
-180
+4½-116
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-109
74.5
78.4
152.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o150-110
u151-110
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (15-16)
Winthrop Eagles (21-10)
33.0%
67.0%
+210
-235
+210
-240
+5½-107
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-109
78.7
84.1
162.8
o163½-110
u163½-110
o164-110
u165-110
UIC Flames (17-14)
Murray State Racers (20-11)
43.6%
56.4%
-104
-115
+100
-105
+1-115
+0-110
+1-109
+1-110
73.9
76.4
150.3
o149½-110
u150½-110
o150-110
u151-110
Stetson Hatters (12-20)
Austin Peay Governors (21-8)
16.3%
83.7%
+534
-750
+550
-700
+12-112
-11½-110
+12-109
-11½-110
70.7
80.9
151.6
o152-110
u153-110
o152-110
u153-110
The Citadel Bulldogs (10-21)
Chattanooga Mocs (13-18)
26.7%
73.3%
+256
-300
+270
-310
+7½-110
-7-115
+8-110
-7-109
69.7
76.9
146.6
o147½-110
u148-110
o147-110
u147½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (17-15)
Texas State Bobcats (19-12)
48.2%
51.8%
-103
-115
+100
-109
+1-105
-1-110
+1-110
+0-109
69.6
70.4
140.0
o139-110
u139½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
Longwood Lancers (16-15)
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-16)
49.2%
50.8%
+105
-120
+115
-120
+1½-110
-1-113
+2-109
-1½-110
71.8
72.3
144.1
o141-110
u141-110
o141-110
u141-110
Northern Illinois Huskies (9-20)
Akron Zips (25-5)
2.6%
97.4%

+2300
-6000
+22½-110
-22½-105
+22½-110
-22-109
67.5
89.4
156.9
o155½-110
u155½-110
o155-110
u156-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (14-18)
Merrimack Warriors (21-10)
29.3%
70.7%
+303
-360
+330
-360
+8-105
-8-105
+8½-109
-8-110
68.1
74.1
142.2
o141½-106
u142-115
o141½-110
u141½-110
Bowling Green Falcons (17-13)
Eastern Michigan Eagles (10-20)
63.3%
36.7%
-180
+160
-185
+170
-4-110
+4-103
-3½-110
+4-105
74.3
70.1
144.4
o142-110
u143-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
VCU Rams (23-7)
Dayton Flyers (21-9)
48.8%
51.2%
+105
-120
+110
-125
+1½-110
-1½-106
+2-115
-1½-109
74.6
75.2
149.8
o147-105
u148-115
o147½-110
u148-110
Columbia Lions (16-11)
Harvard Crimson (16-11)
37.9%
62.1%
+155
-170
+170
-170
+4-110
-4-109
+4-109
-4-105
66.5
70.5
137.0
o133½-110
u134-110
o134-110
u135½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Penn Quakers (15-11)
Brown Bears (9-17)
59.5%
40.5%
-125
+110
-130
+120
-2-103
+2-110
-2-109
+2-109
73.2
69.8
143.0
o145-105
u145½-105
o145-110
u146-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Central Michigan Chippewas (10-20)
Ball State Cardinals (11-19)
46.2%
53.8%
+118
-130
+120
-130
+2-109
-2-110
+2-109
-1½-110
68.6
70.3
138.9
o134-105
u134½-110
o134-110
u134½-110
Western Michigan Broncos (10-20)
Kent State Golden Flashes (22-8)
15.4%
84.6%
+575
-775
+575
-800
+12-105
-12-110
+12½-109
-11½-110
74.2
84.8
159.0
o158-110
u158½-110
o158½-110
u158½-110
Buffalo Bulls (17-13)
Toledo Rockets (16-14)
26.8%
73.2%
+289
-360
+320
-360
+8-110
-8-110
+8½-110
-7½-110
74.4
81.6
156.0
o155-110
u155½-110
o156-110
u156-110
Omaha Mavericks (15-16)
South Dakota Coyotes (16-15)
55.7%
44.3%
-160
+145
-160
+160
-3-112
+3½-107
-3-105
+4-109
78.4
76.1
154.5
o149½-110
u149½-110
o150-110
u150-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Valparaiso Beacons (18-14)
Bradley University Braves (20-11)
36.7%
63.3%
+165
-185
+165
-180
+4-105
-4-108
+4-110
-3½-109
66.7
70.9
137.6
o134-110
u135-110
o133½-110
u134-110
West Georgia Wolves (15-16)
Queens Royals (18-13)
28.0%
72.0%
+300
-375
+315
-370
+8-110
-8-108
+8-109
-7½-110
78.7
85.6
164.3
o162½-110
u163½-110
o162½-110
u164-110
Overall Bet Value Active
VMI Keydets (6-25)
UNC Greensboro Spartans (13-18)
26.1%
73.9%
+274
-340
+295
-330
+7½-110
-7½-105
+7½-109
-7-110
73.7
81.3
155.0
o154-110
u154½-110
o154-110
u154½-110
UCF Knights (20-9)
West Virginia Mountaineers (17-13)
38.6%
61.4%
+145
-165
+160
-170
+3½-110
-4+100
+4-109
-3½-110
70.3
74.0
144.3
o140½-110
u141½-110
o141½-110
u142½-110
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (22-10)
Tennessee State Tigers (21-9)
45.4%
54.6%
+125
-135
+125
-140
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-109
-2½-105
69.1
70.9
140.0
o137-110
u137½-110
o137-110
u137½-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (18-15)
South Alabama Jaguars (21-10)
39.0%
61.0%
+186
-200
+190
-210
+5-110
-5-105
+5-109
-5-109
72.9
76.4
149.3
o148-110
u148-110
o148½-110
u148½-110
Presbyterian Blue Hose (14-17)
Radford Highlanders (16-15)
44.7%
55.3%
+110
-130
+110
-125
+2-110
-2-110
+2-109
-2-109
72.7
74.8
147.5
o146-105
u147-110
o146-110
u147-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Fairfield Stags (20-12)
Saint Peter's Peacocks (17-11)
44.8%
55.2%
+150
-150
+160
-165
+3½-105
-3-105
+4-109
-3½-110
67.7
69.9
137.6
o133½-110
u135-110
o133½-110
u133½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami RedHawks (30-0)
Ohio Bobcats (15-15)
72.4%
27.6%
-225
+203
-240
+210
-5-110
+5½-115
-5½-105
+5½-109
83.9
76.9
160.8
o159½-105
u160-110
o159½-110
u160-110
St. John's Red Storm (24-6)
Seton Hall Pirates (20-10)
67.1%
32.9%
-185
+165
-175
+175
-4-110
+4½-110
-3½-109
+4½-110
73.0
67.7
140.7
o135½-110
u136-105
o136-110
u136½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Pilots (14-18)
Washington State Cougars (12-19)
33.9%
66.1%
+234
-250
+250
-260
+6½-110
-6-110
+7-109
-6-110
73.8
78.9
152.7
o151½-106
u151½-110
o151-110
u152½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Pioneers (15-16)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (16-16)
60.1%
39.9%
-150
+140
-155
+145
-3-107
+3½-110
-3-109
+3½-110
82.5
79.0
161.5
o158½-110
u159-110
o159½-110
u160½-110
Northern Iowa Panthers (20-12)
Illinois State Redbirds (20-11)
50.9%
49.1%
-120
+115
-115
+100
-1½-110
+2-109
-1-109
+1½-110
64.2
63.9
128.1
o125-110
u125-103
o124-110
u125½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UNLV Rebels (16-14)
San Diego State Aztecs (19-10)
19.8%
80.2%
+446
-575
+475
-550
+10-104
-10-110
+10½-110
-10-109
71.8
80.9
152.7
o152½-110
u153½-103
o152½-110
u153-110
All Bet Values Active
SE Missouri State Redhawks (20-12)
Morehead State Eagles (19-12)
56.8%
43.2%
-145
+130
-140
+135
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-109
72.4
69.8
142.2
o140½-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u141½-110
San Diego Toreros (12-20)
Seattle Redhawks (19-12)
23.8%
76.2%
+415
-470
+475
-550
+10-110
-9½-105
+10-109
-10-105
67.3
75.2
142.5
o139-110
u140-110
o138½-110
u139-110
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Bellarmine Knights (13-18)
Central Arkansas Bears (20-11)
28.3%
71.7%
+280
-320
+280
-310
+6½-108
-6½-110
+7-109
-6½-110
156.5
o154½-105
u154½-110
o154-110
u154½-110
1st H
05:38
18
31
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (4-28)
High Point Panthers (27-4)
1.8%
98.2%


+27½-110
-27-110
+27½-110
-26½-110
159.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155-110
u156½-110
1st H
05:55
17
31

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
UC Riverside Highlanders
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
14.7%
85.3%
+525
-675
+520
-650
+11-110
-11-105
+11½-110
-11-109
59
70
-0.16864-0.17067-0.15909
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
UC Davis Aggies
56.0%
44.0%
-130
+111
-125
+110
-2-105
+2-110
-1½-109
+2-110
77
73
-0.60893-0.61904-0.57943
Abilene Christian Wildcats
Utah Tech Trailblazers
36.1%
63.9%
+120
-135
+125
-145
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-109
-2½-105
81
85
-0.58291-0.56016-0.44773
Sacramento State Hornets
Montana Grizzlies
24.7%
75.3%
+290
-360
+310
-360
+8-109
-7½-110
+8-109
-8-109
73
81
-0.28340-0.27128-0.28356
FIU Golden Panthers
Sam Houston State Bearkats
26.4%
73.6%
+215
-250
+220
-250
+6-110
-6-106
+6-109
-6-105
67
100
-0.36772-0.36291-0.30708
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Idaho Vandals
19.1%
80.9%
+500
-625
+490
-600
+10½-110
-10-110
+10½-109
-10½-109
58
78
-0.17675-0.18043-0.21209
North Dakota State Bison
St. Thomas Tommies
39.3%
60.7%
+153
-169
+155
-160
+3-110
-3-109
+3½-110
-3-109
62
84
-0.48805-0.49303-0.49878
Western Illinois Leathernecks
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
12.5%
87.5%
+795
-1300
+900
-1250
+13½-110
-14-102
+13½-109
-13-105
47
67
-0.11362-0.10255-0.13322
Florida A&M Rattlers
Southern University Jaguars
25.3%
74.7%
+355
-450
+375
-450
+9-105
-9-110
+9-109
-8½-110
82
71
-1.55240-1.58645-1.37401
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
23.3%
76.7%
+292
-365
+310
-370
+8-105
-7½-114
+8-109
-8-105
49
64
-0.28141-0.26989-0.26546
Tennessee State Tigers
SE Missouri State Redhawks
38.0%
62.0%
+145
-155
+140
-155
+3½-110
-3-110
+3-109
-3-105
79
71
-0.91198-0.89968-0.96727
Eastern Illinois Panthers
Lindenwood Lions
22.9%
77.1%
+275
-325
+280
-310
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-109
71
67
-1.35263-1.35406-1.47561
Morehead State Eagles
Little Rock Trojans
47.2%
52.8%
+130
-140
+135
-140
+3-115
-2½-110
+3½-109
-2½-110
76
70
-0.85085-0.86325-0.75184
VMI Keydets
Samford Bulldogs
10.7%
89.3%
+1150
-1600
+1150
-1600
+17½-110
-17-110
+17-109
-17-105
61
80
-0.08158-0.08158-0.11299
Michigan State Spartans
Purdue Boilermakers
26.1%
73.9%
+235
-280
+255
-290
+6½-110
-6½-107
+7-110
-6½-105
76
74
-1.24368-1.29193-1.34389
Alcorn State Braves
Texas Southern Tigers
26.8%
73.2%
+250
-300
+240
-260
+6½-115
-6-110
+6½-110
-5½-110
87
92
-0.32277-0.34163-0.31264
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4630-14 (0.674)2-0.59182 
Sportsbooks4630-16 (0.652)0-0.59021 
DRatings4629-17 (0.630)0-0.60612
-0.01431
-0.01591

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.