NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.4%
63.6%


+5-108
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
70.3
74.6
144.9
o136-110
u136½-105
o135½-110
u136-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%


+8-110
-8-110

68.0
74.9
142.9
o145½-115
u145½-105

James Madison Dukes (17-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
57.7%
42.3%




73.8
70.9
144.7


Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
41.4%
58.6%


+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-110
-2½-110
72.7
75.8
148.5
o148-110
u148-110
o147½-110
u149-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
15.3%
84.7%




63.1
73.8
136.9


American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
47.7%
52.3%


+3-110
-3-110
+3-110
-3-110
68.8
69.8
138.6
o143½-105
u143½-115
o141-110
u141-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
22.5%
77.5%


+7-110
-7-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
69.4
77.8
147.2
o151½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
32.2%
67.8%




67.1
72.7
139.8


MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
51.6%
48.4%


+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
76.9
76.2
153.1
o153½-110
u154½-110
o154½-110
u155-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
78.1%
21.9%


-6½-105
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
77.3
68.8
146.1
o148½-105
u148½-115
o147½-110
u147½-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%


+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u144½-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.2%
21.8%


-9½-105
+9½-110
-9-110
+9½-110
80.5
72.1
152.6
o156-110
u156½-110
o156-110
u156½-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%


+8½-105
-8-110
+8½-110
-8½-110
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-110
u138½-105
o138½-110
u138½-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
59.7%
40.3%


-5-110
+5-110

72.6
69.3
141.9
o145½-110
u145½-110

Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%


+6½-110
-6½-110

60.6
67.3
127.9
o128-110
u128-110

Eastern Illinois Panthers (12-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
24.9%
75.1%




62.0
69.8
131.8


Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (9-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
17.7%
82.3%




72.6
82.4
155.0


Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.5%
58.5%


+2½-110
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2-110
71.8
75.0
146.8
o137-105
u137½+100
o136½-110
u137-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
65.2%
34.8%


-2-110
+2-110

76.2
71.3
147.5
o146-115
u146-105

Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%


-8½-110
+8½-105
-8-110
+8½-110
80.0
71.6
151.6
o146-110
u146½-110
o145½-110
u146½-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
34.0%
66.0%


+3½-110
-3½-110

76.3
81.5
157.8
o155½-110
u155½-110

Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%


+3½-110
-3½-110

71.4
73.4
144.8
o143½-115
u143½-105

Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%


+6-110
-6-110

69.5
76.9
146.4
o151½-115
u151½-105

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.9%
43.1%


-1½-110
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
75.9
73.3
149.2
o151½-105
u152½-110
o151-110
u152-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.2%
94.8%


+19-105
-19-110
+19-110
-18½-110
63.4
80.2
143.6
o141½-110
u141½-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%


+2-110
-2-109
+2-110
-2-110
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136½-105
o136½-110
u136½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%


+10½-110
-10½-110

68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110

Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%


-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u152-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%


-1-110
+1-110

74.1
73.8
147.9
o149½-110
u149½-110

Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%


+5½-110
-5-109
+6-110
-4½-110
70.8
76.1
146.9
o150½-102
u150-110
o150½-110
u151-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%


+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-5-110
67.9
72.6
140.5
o142½-110
u142½-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.3%
43.7%


-1½-110
+1½-110

77.7
75.2
152.9
o150-110
u150-110

South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
61.5%
38.5%


-6-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-110
84.0
80.4
164.4
o160½-110
u160½-102
o160-110
u160½-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%


-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
76.4
72.5
148.9
o149-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.1%
61.9%


+2½-114
-2-105
+2-110
-1½-110
73.0
76.8
149.8
o151½-110
u152½-105
o152-110
u152½-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.8%
26.2%


-8-110
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-110
84.0
76.7
160.7
o165-110
u165-110
o165½-110
u166-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.6%
67.4%


+6-110
-5½-111
+5½-110
-5-110
76.1
81.5
157.6
o150-110
u150-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
14.0%
86.0%


+14½-110
-14-115
+14½-110
-13½-110
61.5
72.7
134.2
o125-110
u125½+100
o124½-110
u125½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%


-3-110
+3½-110
-3-110
+3-110
82.1
78.0
160.1
o157-110
u157-105
o157-110
u157½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.7%
80.3%


+9-110
-9-110
+9-110
-8½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o135½-110
u136-110
o135½-110
u135½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%


+9½-110
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
75.2
84.7
159.9
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
60.9%
39.1%


-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
77.7
74.0
151.7
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u150½-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%


+6-115
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
72.0
78.3
150.3
o145½-105
u146½-110
o146½-110
u147-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Little Rock Trojans (12-19)
Lindenwood Lions (17-14)
39.8%
60.2%
+186
-200
+190
-210
+5½-110
-5-110
+5-109
-4½-110
146.3
o148½-110
u149½-110
o148-110
u149½-110
2nd H
02:34
52
59
Colorado State Rams (19-10)
New Mexico Lobos (22-7)
25.8%
74.2%
+330
-390
+330
-395
+8½-110
-8-109
+8½-109
-8½-105
148.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o149½-110
u150-110
2nd H
08:51
61
47
USC Trojans (18-11)
Washington Huskies (14-15)
32.7%
67.3%
+190
-225
+200
-225
+5-110
-5-107
+5½-110
-5-109
151.8
o150½-115
u151-105
o150½-110
u150½-110
2nd H
19:21
45
40

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oklahoma State Cowboys
UCF Knights
23.8%
76.2%
+350
-415
+375
-425
+8½-106
-8½-110
+9-109
-8½-110
111
104
-1.53174-1.57799-1.43422
Ball State Cardinals
Western Michigan Broncos
41.2%
58.8%
+105
-123
+110
-125
+1½-110
+0-115
+1½-109
-1½-109
74
71
-0.75647-0.77319-0.88586
Drexel Dragons
Hofstra Pride
22.3%
77.7%
+350
-430
+350
-410
+9-115
-8½-110
+8½-109
-8½-109
51
62
-0.24208-0.24406-0.25184
Akron Zips
Central Michigan Chippewas
87.7%
12.3%
-750
+550
-750
+550
-11½-105
+11½-110
-11½-109
+11½-109
77
64
-0.16073-0.16073-0.13097
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Campbell Fighting Camels
22.7%
77.3%
+310
-380
+340
-350
+8½-110
-8½-105
+8½-105
-8-109
72
90
-0.26856-0.25635-0.25693
Seton Hall Pirates
Xavier Musketeers
55.0%
45.0%
-125
+105
-120
+105
-2-101
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
77
68
-0.63023-0.63885-0.59756
Missouri Tigers
Oklahoma Sooners
44.3%
55.7%
-105
-114
-105
-110
+1-110
+0-110
+1-109
+0-110
64
80
-0.67372-0.68201-0.58589
Clemson Tigers
UNC Tar Heels
39.9%
60.1%
+140
-150
+135
-145
+3-110
-2½-110
+3-110
-2½-109
63
67
-0.52736-0.54173-0.50873
Monmouth Hawks
Northeastern Huskies
60.8%
39.2%
-170
+160
-180
+165
-3½-110
+4-105
-3½-110
+4-109
89
83
-0.47678-0.46185-0.49766
Ohio Bobcats
UMass Minutemen
43.2%
56.8%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1½-105
-1½-107
+2-115
-1½-109
82
94
-0.63023-0.61904-0.56546
Toledo Rockets
Miami RedHawks
17.2%
82.8%
+330
-390
+325
-360
+8-109
-8-105
+8-110
-7½-109
72
74
-0.25634-0.26286-0.18878
Kentucky Wildcats
Texas A&M Aggies
48.6%
51.4%
+110
-125
+115
-125
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-109
85
96
-0.61904-0.60825-0.66575
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Elon Phoenix
67.0%
33.0%
-206
+182
-210
+185
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
+5-109
76
57
-0.42315-0.41737-0.40107
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Virginia Cavaliers
11.6%
88.4%
+836
-1300
+875
-1300
+14½-110
-14-110
+14½-109
-14-110
70
75
-0.10891-0.10476-0.12295
Georgetown Hoyas
St. John's Red Storm
6.7%
93.3%
+975
-1700
+1100
-1600
+15½-109
-15½-110
+16-110
-15½-109
69
72
-0.09394-0.08484-0.06932
George Mason Patriots
VCU Rams
18.0%
82.0%
+450
-556
+450
-580
+10-110
-10-105
+10-109
-10-105
65
70
-0.19435-0.19323-0.19901
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks3725-11 (0.689)1-0.58549 
Sportsbooks3726-11 (0.703)0-0.57101 
DRatings3725-12 (0.676)0-0.57805
0.00744
-0.00704

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.