NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.4%
63.6%
+170
-200

+5-109
-4½-111
+5-110
-4½-110
70.3
74.6
144.9
o135-110
u135½-110
o135-110
u136-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%


+8-110
-8-110

68.0
74.9
142.9
o145½-115
u145½-105

James Madison Dukes (17-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
57.7%
42.3%
-135
+115

-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
73.8
70.9
144.7
o144-105
u144-110

Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
41.4%
58.6%
+130
-150

+2½-101
-3-110
+3-110
-2½-110
72.7
75.8
148.5
o148-110
u148-110
o147½-110
u149-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
15.3%
84.7%


+17½-110
-17½-110

63.1
73.8
136.9
o134½-110
u134½-110

American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
47.7%
52.3%


+3-110
-3-110
+3-110
-3-110
68.8
69.8
138.6
o142-110
u142-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
22.5%
77.5%


+7-110
-7-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
69.4
77.8
147.2
o151½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
32.2%
67.8%


+7-110
-7-110

67.1
72.7
139.8
o143-110
u143-110

MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
51.6%
48.4%
+115
-135

+2½-115
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
76.9
76.2
153.1
o153½-110
u154½-110
o154½-110
u155-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
78.1%
21.9%
-285
+235

-6½-105
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
77.3
68.8
146.1
o148½-105
u148½-115
o147½-110
u147½-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%
+165
-195

+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u144½-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.2%
21.8%
-460
+340

-9-110
+9-105
-8½-110
+9½-110
80.5
72.1
152.6
o156-110
u156½-110
o156-110
u156½-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+340
-460

+8½-105
-8½-110
+8½-110
-8½-110
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-110
u138½-105
o138½-110
u138½-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
59.7%
40.3%


-5-110
+5-110

72.6
69.3
141.9
o145½-110
u145½-110

Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%


+6½-110
-6½-110

60.6
67.3
127.9
o127-110
u127-110

Eastern Illinois Panthers (12-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
24.9%
75.1%
+250
-300

+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
62.0
69.8
131.8
o123½-110
u123½-110

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (9-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
17.7%
82.3%
+375
-525

+9½-110
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
72.6
82.4
155.0
o145-105
u145-115

Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.5%
58.5%
+130
-150

+2½-110
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2-110
71.8
75.0
146.8
o136-110
u136-105
o136-110
u137-110
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
65.2%
34.8%


-2½-110
+2½-110

76.2
71.3
147.5
o146-115
u146-105

Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-430
+320

-9-105
+9-110
-8-110
+9-110
80.0
71.6
151.6
o146-105
u147-110
o146½-110
u146½-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
34.0%
66.0%


+3½-110
-3½-110

76.3
81.5
157.8
o155½-110
u155½-110

Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%


+3½-110
-3½-110

71.4
73.4
144.8
o143½-115
u143½-105

Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%


+6-110
-6-110

69.5
76.9
146.4
o151½-115
u151½-105

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.9%
43.1%
-125
+105

-1½-110
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
75.9
73.3
149.2
o151½-105
u152-115
o151-110
u152-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.2%
94.8%
+1250
-4500

+19-110
-18½-110
+19-110
-18-110
63.4
80.2
143.6
o141½-110
u142-110
o139½-110
u140½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+115
-135

+2-110
-2-109
+2-110
-2-110
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136½-105
o136½-110
u136½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%


+10½-110
-10½-110

68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110

Georgia Southern Eagles (16-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.2%
70.8%




79.3
85.3
164.6


Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-525
+375

-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%


-1-110
+1-110

74.1
73.8
147.9
o149½-110
u149½-110

Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+175
-210

+5½-110
-5-110
+6-110
-4½-110
70.8
76.1
146.9
o150-105
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+175
-210

+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-5-110
67.9
72.6
140.5
o142½-110
u142½-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.3%
43.7%


-1½-110
+1½-110

77.7
75.2
152.9
o150-110
u150-110

South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
61.5%
38.5%
-300
+250

-6-110
+6-105
-5½-110
+6½-110
84.0
80.4
164.4
o160½-110
u160½-102
o160-110
u160½-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-145
+125

-2½-110
+2½-109
-2½-110
+2½-110
76.4
72.5
148.9
o149-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.1%
61.9%
+115
-135

+2-105
-2-105
+2-110
-1½-110
73.0
76.8
149.8
o151½-110
u152-110
o152-110
u152½-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.8%
26.2%
-430
+320

-8-110
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-110
84.0
76.7
160.7
o165-110
u165-110
o165-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (17-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
42.5%
57.5%
-105
-115

+1-110
-1-110
+1-110
-1-110
72.6
75.4
148.0
o148½-110
u148½-110

South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.6%
67.4%


+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-5-110
76.1
81.5
157.6
o149-118
u150-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
14.0%
86.0%
+775
-1500

+14½-110
-14-115
+14½-110
-13½-110
61.5
72.7
134.2
o125-110
u125½-105
o124½-110
u125½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+140

-3½-110
+3½-110
-4-110
+4-110
82.1
78.0
160.1
o157-110
u157-105
o157-110
u157½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.7%
80.3%
+340
-460

+9-110
-9-110
+9-110
-8½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o135½-110
u136-110
o135½-110
u135½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+375
-525

+9½-110
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
75.2
84.7
159.9
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
60.9%
39.1%
-125
+105

-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-110
+1½-110
77.7
74.0
151.7
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u150½-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+180
-220

+6-115
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5-110
72.0
78.3
150.3
o145½-115
u146½-110
o146-110
u147-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Idaho Vandals
Eastern Washington Eagles
43.0%
57.0%
+135
-155
+140
-155
+3-105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
85
81
-0.88724-0.89968-0.84281
Lamar Cardinals
Houston Christian Huskies
54.3%
45.7%
-125
+115
-135
+120
-2-106
+2½-110
-2-109
+2½-110
53
75
-0.78592-0.81706-0.78379
Montana Grizzlies
Northern Colorado Bears
30.8%
69.2%
+220
-250
+220
-260
+6-110
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
57
85
-0.36291-0.35955-0.36827
Montana State Bobcats
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
72.7%
27.3%
-240
+210
-245
+210
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5½-105
+5½-109
76
65
-0.37637-0.37449-0.31883
Texas A&M Commerce Lions
Texas A&M CC Islanders
25.7%
74.3%
+320
-400
+330
-380
+8½-110
-8-110
+8-109
-8-109
71
84
-0.26053-0.25755-0.29729
Southeastern Louisiana Lions
New Orleans Privateers
29.0%
71.0%
+250
-300
+270
-280
+7-110
-6½-107
+7-110
-6-110
82
78
-1.28786-1.31543-1.23619
McNeese State Cowboys
Nicholls State Colonels
83.8%
16.2%
-625
+475
-605
+500
-10-110
+10-106
-10-109
+10-109
75
65
-0.18377-0.17749-0.17665
Northwestern State Demons
UTRGV Vaqueros
20.9%
79.1%
+410
-525
+400
-500
+9-110
-9-110
+9-109
-9-109
62
74
-0.20980-0.21511-0.23390
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Incarnate Word Cardinals
76.4%
23.6%
-350
+295
-335
+300
-7-105
+7-107
-7-105
+7-109
76
68
-0.28178-0.28113-0.26933
IUPUI Jaguars
Cleveland State Vikings
43.1%
56.9%
-130
+120
-125
+115
-2-110
+2-104
-1½-109
+2-110
93
101
-0.80802-0.78592-0.56433
Duke Blue Devils
NC State Wolfpack
82.1%
17.9%
-500
+400
-450
+415
-9½+101
+9½-110
-9-109
+9½-110
93
64
-0.21511-0.21295-0.19692
Coppin State Eagles
Howard Bison
8.0%
92.0%
+1356
-3500
+1700
-3000
+19-110
-18½-115
+19-105
-18½-109
70
90
-0.06826-0.05582-0.08302
North Carolina Central Eagles
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks
46.1%
53.9%
+125
-140
+120
-135
+2½-110
-3-101
+2½-110
-2-109
77
73
-0.83833-0.81706-0.77475
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Delaware State Hornets
45.1%
54.9%
+145
-165
+145
-155
+3½-110
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-109
61
59
-0.92644-0.91198-0.79596
Norfolk State Spartans
Morgan State Bears
58.9%
41.1%
-155
+155
-155
+155
-3-116
+4-115
-3-109
+3½-110
84
90
-0.93609-0.93609-0.88816
Wichita State Shockers
UTSA Roadrunners
88.2%
11.8%
-1300
+900
-1450
+950
-15½-108
+15½-104
-15-110
+15½-109
84
67
-0.10228-0.09695-0.12531
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4027-12 (0.688)1-0.59975 
Sportsbooks4028-12 (0.700)0-0.58551 
DRatings4027-13 (0.675)0-0.59110
0.00865
-0.00559

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.