Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen		13.4%
67.5%		19.1%
+476
-176

1
1		-1.51590-1.65684
Go Ahead Eagles
Almere City		47.9%
26.0%		26.0%
+155
+159

0
0		-1.38342-1.34523
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax		8.9%
76.6%		14.5%
+540
-211

1
1		-1.62399-1.93233
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen		32.4%
40.6%		27.0%
+227
+121

0
1		-0.81765-0.90118
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard		24.0%
52.1%		23.9%
+413
-136

0
1		-0.58429-0.65256
Zwolle
Feyenoord		7.4%
79.7%		13.0%
+1198
-449

0
4		-0.24033-0.22752
Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk		49.8%
25.6%		24.6%
-107
+272

4
0		-0.69929-0.69657
PSV Eindhoven
Twente		58.6%
19.9%		21.6%
-152
+358

3
1		-0.54418-0.53457
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar		8.5%
78.6%		12.9%
+509
-190

1
1		-1.55699-2.04818
Heracles Almelo
Groningen		22.8%
52.8%		24.4%
+318
+103

1
4		-0.74680-0.63779
Ajax
Utrecht		45.0%
29.8%		25.2%
+104
+261

0
4		-1.31841-1.21096
Almere City
Heerenveen		15.7%
63.6%		20.7%
+330
-120

1
2		-0.63622-0.45276
Ajax
Willem II		70.1%
12.6%		17.4%
-290
+801

2
1		-0.33526-0.35546
Twente
Zwolle		53.9%
22.7%		23.4%
+102
+265

1
1		-1.35681-1.45098
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		57.4%
20.4%		22.2%
+110
+257

0
1		-1.30985-1.59145
Groningen
Utrecht		15.3%
64.4%		20.3%
+329
-105

1
3		-0.70360-0.44041
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.