Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+105
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		64.3%
16.1%		19.6%
-204
+572

2
0		-0.42928-0.44141
Almere City
Utrecht		10.9%
71.9%		17.2%
+651
-233

1
0		-2.04973-2.21972
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		9.3%
75.7%		15.1%
+600
-209

0
3		-0.42607-0.27878
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen		34.7%
36.6%		28.7%
+170
+193

1
2		-1.10766-1.00441
Willem II
PSV Eindhoven		3.4%
89.0%		7.6%
+1617
-670

1
1		-2.23297-2.58164
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo		42.2%
31.5%		26.3%
+144
+199

2
4		-1.12092-1.15569
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II		52.8%
23.6%		23.6%
-150
+494

2
0		-0.54943-0.63862
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam		22.0%
53.8%		24.2%
+378
-125

0
1		-0.62652-0.61975
Feyenoord
Ajax		28.2%
47.3%		24.6%
+248
+116

1
2		-0.80087-0.74932
Twente
Go Ahead Eagles		39.0%
33.9%		27.0%
+151
+169

2
2		-1.35000-1.30771
RKC Waalwijk
Almere City		24.4%
50.0%		25.5%
+220
+130

4
1		-1.20041-1.40928
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		70.6%
12.1%		17.3%
-201
+536

3
3		-1.58465-1.75695
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen		27.7%
47.4%		24.9%
+365
-132

2
2		-1.40255-1.39159
Utrecht
Zwolle		42.6%
31.4%		26.0%
+137
+200

3
3		-1.29295-1.34696
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda		25.8%
51.4%		22.7%
+372
-124

1
1		-1.33340-1.48236
Groningen
Heracles Almelo		33.0%
39.3%		27.6%


1
1		-1.28754
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.