New England at Miami

Updated

New England Patriots

(4-13)
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
21.3%78.7%
New England WinMiami Win
16.5Projected Points 26.7
17Final Score 31

Miami Dolphins

(11-7)
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.779.677

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.2712.8156

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 25-29 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+335
L 17-21 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo+135
L 34-0 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones-128
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 17-31 at Philadelphia EaglesMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • PHI: Jalen Hurts+150
W 21-42 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-1050
W 16-31 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-735
L 20-48 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+138
W 20-70 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-260

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJosh UcheOut
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterProbable
  • OLVederian LoweOut
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • OLTrent BrownQuestionable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
  • DLDeatrich Wise Jr.Probable
  • DTChristian BarmoreQuestionable
  • DEKeion WhiteProbable
  • LBMatt JudonIR
  • OLCalvin AndersonOut
  • OLRiley ReiffIR

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TTerron ArmsteadIR
  • -Isaiah WynnIR
  • OLConnor WilliamsProbable
  • WRRiver CracraftOut
  • CBXavien HowardOut
  • LBDavid Long Jr.Probable
  • RBRaheem MostertProbable
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • RBDevon AchaneIR
  • RBChristopher BrooksIR
  • FBAlec IngoldProbable
  • CBNik NeedhamProbable
  • SJevon HollandOut
  • CBJalen RamseyProbable
  • CBCam SmithProbable
ENE 14 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°85°85°84°
Humidity63%63%62%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindENE 14 mphENE 14 mphENE 14 mphENE 14 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+400+300+280+300+305+300+305+314.9
Miami-550-380-360-370-390-370-360-314.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+500+300+296+285+330+300+330+314.9
Miami-700-360-350-365-400-400-350-314.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+12-108+7½-108+7½-110+7½-112+8-115+7½-112+7½-108+7½-102
Miami-12-108-7½-108-7½-110-7½-108-8-105-7½-108-7½-108-7½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+12½-110+8-110+7½-120+7½-110+8-110+7½-110+8-110+7½-102
Miami-12½-110-8-110-7½+100-7½-110-8-110-7½-110-7½+100-7½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 80.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +9½-109 to +8½-110
Miami Spread moved from -7½-105 to -7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 90.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +9½-110 to +8½-110
Miami Spread moved from -8-105 to -8-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-108o46-108o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-108o46½+100
Underu47-108u46-108u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o46-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46½+100
Underu45½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o46½-115
The Under moved from u46½-105 to u46½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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