NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
Indianapolis Colts (8-6)		Brock Purdy
Philip Rivers		62.9%
37.1%
-244
+215
-250
+220
-5-110
+5-103
-6+100
+5½-108
25.2
21.7		46.9
o46-110
u46+100
o46-110
u46½-110
Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs		15.3%
84.7%
+520
-660
+525
-600
+12-110
-13½+110
+11½-110
-11-110
10
26		-0.15833-0.16420-0.16616
Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers		41.8%
58.2%
+300
-340
+300
-320
+8-109
-7½-108
+8½-110
-7½-110
25
20		-1.43284-1.41038-0.87311
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders		67.4%
32.6%
-165
+160
-170
+160
-3-115
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-110
30
23		-0.47963-0.47401-0.39444
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears		59.9%
40.1%
-175
+165
-175
+170
-3½+100
+3½-109
-3-110
+3½-110
19
11		-0.46283-0.45730-0.51203
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams		16.6%
83.4%
+700
-890
+780
-1000
+13½-105
-14½+115
+14-110
-13½-110
9
17		-0.11991-0.10789-0.18171
Baltimore Ravens
Washington Commanders		89.0%
11.0%
-960
+710
-1100
+820
-15+108
+15-128
-14-110
+14-105
31
17		-0.11530-0.10095-0.11701
Los Angeles Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		25.6%
74.4%
+310
-360
+311
-350
+7½-105
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½-105
31
38		-0.26220-0.26496-0.29629
Seattle Seahawks
Miami Dolphins		70.3%
29.7%
-215
+200
-210
+190
-4½-109
+5-105
-4-110
+4½-110
31
23		-0.39364-0.40603-0.35263
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans		44.6%
55.4%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+110
-3½+101
+3½-110
-3½+100
31
23		-0.97421-0.97421-0.80773
Cleveland Browns
Dallas Cowboys		37.6%
62.4%
+165
-175
+165
-173
+3½-110
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-110
49
38		-0.99290-0.98932-0.97907
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals		46.4%
53.6%
+100
-115
+102
-120
+0-102
-1-109
+1½-110
-1-110
25
33		-0.65886-0.64398-0.62330
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers		71.7%
28.3%
-160
+150
-155
+146
-3-105
+3½-120
-3-105
+3+100
21
31		-0.93570-0.91797-1.26355
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions		76.8%
23.2%
-152
+145
-153
+145
-3-109
+3-105
-3-105
+3-110
35
29		-0.51500-0.51368-0.26456
Denver Broncos
New York Jets		47.7%
52.3%
+115
-117
+100
-110
+1-101
+0-117
+1-110
+0-110
37
28		-0.77009-0.71723-0.73942
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens		38.6%
61.4%
+160
-165
+160
-175
+3+106
-3-120
+3½-110
-3½+100
34
20		-0.96498-0.98315-0.95215
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints		38.8%
61.2%
+150
-150
+153
-155
+3+105
-3-110
+3+105
-3-110
37
30		-0.91629-0.93214-0.94636
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.64359 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.64511 
DRatings169-7 (0.562)0-0.63992
0.00367
0.00519

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts