NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New England Patriots (11-3)
Baltimore Ravens (7-7)		Drake Maye
Lamar Jackson		43.4%
56.6%
+168
-180
+165
-180
+3½-104
-3½-106
+3½-108
-3½-108
23.3
25.8		49.1
o48-108
u48-105
o48½-110
u49-110
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Points		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlanta Falcons (5-9)
Arizona Cardinals (3-11)		52.9%
47.1%
-140
+128
-145
+130
-2½-110
+2½+102
-2½+100
+2½+100
47.1
o48½-105
u48-102
o48-110
u48½-110
1st Q
01:23		3
10
Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4)
Denver Broncos (12-2)		39.8%
60.2%
+166
-173
+165
-180
+3½-108
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
45.5
o46-110
u46-102
o46½-110
u47-110
2nd Q
14:08		7
0
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6)
Detroit Lions (8-6)		29.7%
70.3%
+320
-360
+350
-400
+7½-101
-7½+100
+7½+100
-7½-108
48.7
o52+100
u52½-110
o52-110
u53-110
1st Q
02:07		3
0
Las Vegas Raiders (2-12)
Houston Texans (9-5)		13.3%
86.7%
+795
-1000
+900
-1200
+14-110
-14-101
+14+100
-14-108
39.9
o39½-109
u40-110
o39½-110
u39½-110
1st Q
08:10		0
7

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens		35.4%
64.6%
+155
-170
+150
-170
+3+105
-3-108
+3½-115
-3-110
19
56		-0.48418-0.49182-0.43666
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys		31.0%
69.0%
+205
-225
+200
-215
+5½-110
-5-105
+5-110
-4½-110
19
20		-0.38769-0.39768-0.37141
New York Jets
Cleveland Browns		25.8%
74.2%
+270
-325
+288
-320
+7-115
-6½-108
+7-110
-6½-110
20
37		-0.30265-0.29138-0.29791
Baltimore Ravens
San Francisco 49ers		38.1%
61.9%
+235
-280
+261
-267
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½+100
33
19		-1.24368-1.28822-0.96438
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles		19.5%
80.5%
+625
-790
+625
-750
+14-108
-14-108
+14-110
-14-110
25
33		-0.14444-0.14525-0.21640
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs		20.7%
79.3%
+530
-575
+500
-575
+11-106
-10½-108
+11½-110
-10½-110
20
14		-1.85106-1.81009-1.57359
New England Patriots
Denver Broncos		28.3%
71.7%
+275
-330
+310
-315
+7-105
-7-108
+7+100
-7-110
26
23		-1.35530-1.41391-1.26365
Arizona Cardinals
Chicago Bears		34.1%
65.9%
+189
-205
+180
-200
+4½-108
-4½-105
+4½-105
-4½-110
16
27		-0.41529-0.42898-0.41729
Dallas Cowboys
Miami Dolphins		48.1%
51.9%
+110
-120
+105
-120
+2-115
-1-108
+1½-110
-1-110
20
22		-0.62755-0.63885-0.65491
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		40.6%
59.4%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-110
+2½-108
-1½-110
+2½-105
12
30		-0.79536-0.80802-0.52098
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings		54.1%
45.9%
-140
+121
-140
+130
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½+100
30
24		-0.57419-0.55696-0.61428
Washington Commanders
New York Jets		43.5%
56.5%
+147
-155
+145
-140
+3-105
-3-108
+3+100
-3-110
28
30		-0.51046-0.53045-0.57148
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans		53.6%
46.4%
-150
+145
-160
+145
-3-101
+3-108
-3-105
+3-110
20
17		-0.51896-0.50878-0.62274
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans		45.0%
55.0%
-150
+140
-150
+140
-3-105
+3-108
-3-110
+3-110
36
22		-0.52736-0.52736-0.79871
Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers		62.9%
37.1%
-190
+170
-180
+170
-3½-103
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
33
30		-0.44809-0.45497-0.46294
Indianapolis Colts
Atlanta Falcons		48.2%
51.8%
+135
-145
+135
-144
+2½+102
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-115
10
29		-0.54173-0.54294-0.65819
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks233154-77 (0.663)1-0.60885 
Sportsbooks233154-78 (0.661)0-0.60894 
DRatings233152-80 (0.652)0-0.61092
-0.00207
-0.00198

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts