NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
Indianapolis Colts (8-6)		Brock Purdy
Philip Rivers		62.9%
37.1%
-227
+200
-235
+210
-5+101
+4½-105
-4½-105
+5-110
25.2
21.7		46.9
o46-110
u46-102
o46-110
u46-110
Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Pittsburgh Steelers		59.2%
40.8%
-115
+105
-118
+100
-1-105
+1½-110
-1-110
+1-110
30
7		-0.64814-0.65427-0.52400
Tennessee Titans
New Orleans Saints		29.2%
70.8%
+133
-150
+136
-150
+2½+100
-2½-115
+3-110
-3+100
15
16		-0.53959-0.53428-0.34482
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings		35.9%
64.1%
+180
-195
+175
-186
+4-108
-4-108
+4½-110
-3½-110
20
17		-1.04762-1.02549-1.02385
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts		67.1%
32.9%
-190
+165
-180
+175
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-110
+4-110
31
21		-0.45487-0.44830-0.39943
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns		61.0%
39.0%

-110
-110
+1-115
+0-108
+0-110
+0-110
3
24		-0.69315-0.94087
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens		14.9%
85.1%
+380
-440
+375
-445
+9½-108
-9½-108
+9½-110
-9½-110
9
25		-0.22768-0.22940-0.16152
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons		32.0%
68.0%
+167
-185
+170
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
10
24		-0.45552-0.45144-0.38494
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs		22.0%
78.0%
+180
-200
+180
-195
+4-108
-4-108
+4-110
-4-110
21
20		-1.05317-1.04762-1.51322
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles		47.4%
52.6%
-101
-115
+110
-114
+0-101
-1-108
+1½-110
-1-110
38
35		-0.72486-0.75080-0.74558
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs		44.0%
56.0%
+115
-130
+117
-118
+2-108
-2-108
+2-110
-1½-110
20
23		-0.60042-0.61593-0.58071
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles		40.1%
59.9%
+135
-145
+137
-142
+2½+102
-3+105
+3-110
-3+100
7
31		-0.54173-0.54178-0.51218
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers		36.7%
63.3%
+165
-175
+170
-180
+3½-108
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-110
12
19		-0.46561-0.45497-0.45672
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills		32.1%
67.9%
+230
-240
+232
-260
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
-5½-110
27
10		-1.20281-1.22312-1.13479
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles		20.5%
79.5%
+325
-360
+320
-380
+9½-120
-8-108
+8-110
-8-105
7
38		-0.26286-0.26295-0.22998
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs		16.5%
83.5%
+415
-450
+435
-526
+9½-108
-9½-105
+9½-110
-9½-110
20
27		-0.21295-0.20086-0.18038
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		65.2%
34.8%
-135
+125
-140
+130
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
31
14		-0.57304-0.55696-0.42699
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks238156-80 (0.658)1-0.61360 
Sportsbooks238156-81 (0.655)0-0.61401 
DRatings238154-83 (0.647)0-0.61391
-0.00031
0.00010

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts