NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
Indianapolis Colts (8-6)		Brock Purdy
Philip Rivers		64.2%
35.8%
-210
+184
-210
+190
-4-106
+4-104
-4-105
+4-105
25.4
21.5		46.9
o46½-110
u46+100
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers		58.8%
41.2%
-126
+110
-130
+115
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-110
+2½-110
23
37		-0.77510-0.79536-0.88574
New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns		33.6%
66.4%
+160
-165
+160
-180
+3+100
-3-113
+3½-110
-3-115
17
10		-0.96273-0.98262-1.08945
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings		31.8%
68.2%
+188
-218
+200
-215
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4½-110
-4-110
24
27		-0.40979-0.39768-0.38218
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets		42.1%
57.9%
+125
-135
+135
-140
+2½-105
-1-128
+2½+100
-2½-110
19
3		-0.82968-0.86325-0.86401
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers		17.5%
82.5%
+305
-350
+320
-350
+7½-108
-9+105
+7½-110
-7½-110
12
24		-0.27570-0.26707-0.19240
New York Giants
Washington Commanders		30.2%
69.8%
+185
-195
+190
-190
+4-108
-4-105
+4-110
-3½-110
20
12		-1.05915-1.06470-1.19660
Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		53.7%
46.3%
-165
+155
-165
+160
-3-108
+3½-120
-3-110
+3½-119
34
23		-0.48848-0.48102-0.62114
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers		43.6%
56.4%
+135
-145
+135
-150
+3-115
-3+102
+3-101
-3+100
14
17		-0.54173-0.53604-0.57345
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders		56.3%
43.7%
+115
-135
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-102
+2½-105
-2-110
24
30		-0.59314-0.57304-0.82725
Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos		28.9%
71.1%
+105
-123
+115
-125
+2-108
+0-123
+2-110
-1½-110
15
24		-0.63360-0.60825-0.34127
Dallas Cowboys
Jacksonville Jaguars		73.6%
26.4%
-190
+175
-192
+180
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-110
34
40		-1.03022-1.04418-1.33029
Pittsburgh Steelers
Carolina Panthers		50.0%
50.0%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+2½+100
-2½-113
+3-120
-2½-110
24
16		-0.85918-0.87165-0.69221
Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago Bears		87.0%
13.0%
-400
+330
-370
+335
-8½-106
+8½-108
-8½-110
+9-110
25
20		-0.25519-0.25621-0.13983
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans		92.0%
8.0%
-900
+700
-900
+750
-14-108
+14½-120
-14-110
+14½-110
30
24		-0.13005-0.12286-0.08336
Detroit Lions
New York Jets		47.9%
52.1%
+118
-130
+125
-130
+2-106
-2-108
+2½-110
-2-110
20
17		-0.80298-0.82055-0.73664
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints		35.7%
64.3%
+208
-230
+208
-220
+5-105
-5-108
+5½-110
-4½-110
18
21		-0.38243-0.38680-0.44124
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks238156-80 (0.658)1-0.61360 
Sportsbooks238156-81 (0.655)0-0.61401 
DRatings238154-83 (0.647)0-0.61391
-0.00031
0.00010

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts