NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 26, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0)
Carolina Hurricanes (2-1-0)
Unknown
Unknown
54.2%
45.8%


2.81
2.36
5.16


Florida Panthers (2-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (2-2-2)
Unknown
Unknown
51.8%
48.2%


2.75
2.56
5.31


Philadelphia Flyers (3-2-1)
New Jersey Devils (2-1-1)
Unknown
Unknown
60.8%
39.2%


3.12
2.07
5.19


Pittsburgh Penguins (3-2-0)
Boston Bruins (3-1-1)
Unknown
Unknown
47.2%
52.8%


2.69
2.99
5.68


New York Islanders (3-1-0)
Washington Capitals (3-0-2)
Unknown
Unknown
43.4%
56.6%


2.24
2.95
5.19


New York Rangers (1-2-1)
Buffalo Sabres (1-3-1)
Unknown
Unknown
49.5%
50.5%


2.80
2.85
5.65


Chicago Blackhawks (1-3-1)
Nashville Predators (2-2-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.7%
66.3%


2.41
3.66
6.06


Edmonton Oilers (2-4-0)
Winnipeg Jets (4-1-0)
Unknown
Unknown
47.7%
52.3%


3.04
3.29
6.34


Los Angeles Kings (1-2-2)
Minnesota Wild (4-1-0)
Unknown
Unknown
28.8%
71.2%


1.90
3.32
5.22


Detroit Red Wings (2-3-0)
Dallas Stars (1-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
23.9%
76.1%


1.70
3.49
5.19


Anaheim Ducks (1-2-2)
Arizona Coyotes (2-2-1)
Unknown
Unknown
41.0%
59.0%


2.25
3.22
5.46


Toronto Maple Leafs (4-2-0)
Calgary Flames (2-0-1)
Unknown
Unknown
54.8%
45.2%


3.42
2.91
6.33


San Jose Sharks (2-3-0)
Colorado Avalanche (3-2-0)
Unknown
Unknown
29.4%
70.6%


2.16
3.57
5.73


St. Louis Blues (3-1-1)
Vegas Golden Knights (4-1-0)
Unknown
Unknown
38.2%
61.8%


2.34
3.43
5.77


Games for Jan 27, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
Winnipeg Jets
55.4%
44.6%
-138
+125
-130
+125
4
3
-0.56900-0.58016-0.59128
San Jose Sharks
Minnesota Wild
42.3%
57.7%
+125
-135
+130
-140
5
3
-0.82968-0.85085-0.85982
Nashville Predators
Dallas Stars
40.9%
59.1%
-105
-104
-102
+102
2
3
-0.69549-0.70310-0.52601
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
72.8%
27.2%
-185
+170
-180
+170
1
3
-1.01255-1.00641-1.30111
Los Angeles Kings
St. Louis Blues
27.3%
72.7%
+170
-189
+175
-190
6
3
-1.01730-1.03022-1.29898
New York Islanders
New Jersey Devils
58.7%
41.3%
-166
+150
-160
+151
0
2
-0.94007-0.93397-0.88394
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.72586 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.73114 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.76102
-0.03516
-0.02989

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/23/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionStanley Cup
1Montreal Canadiens (4-0-2, 10 pts)32.417.06.671.492.1%41.6%8.7%
2Vegas Golden Knights (4-1-0, 8 pts)33.418.04.771.488.0%37.3%8.6%
3Toronto Maple Leafs (4-2-0, 8 pts)30.920.34.866.679.9%18.6%5.0%
4Winnipeg Jets (4-1-0, 8 pts)30.520.45.266.179.4%17.5%3.0%
5Minnesota Wild (4-1-0, 8 pts)30.120.75.265.464.1%13.4%2.2%
6Washington Capitals (3-0-2, 8 pts)28.520.27.464.358.7%14.7%2.3%
7Boston Bruins (3-1-1, 7 pts)31.618.65.868.978.9%34.3%7.6%
8St. Louis Blues (3-1-1, 7 pts)28.920.96.264.062.5%10.7%2.2%
9Philadelphia Flyers (3-2-1, 7 pts)28.421.56.162.953.1%12.1%2.5%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0, 6 pts)34.317.34.473.093.0%48.5%14.9%
11Colorado Avalanche (3-2-0, 6 pts)32.818.74.570.287.1%29.8%9.8%
12Pittsburgh Penguins (3-2-0, 6 pts)30.220.85.065.465.5%17.9%4.7%
13New York Islanders (3-1-0, 6 pts)28.621.85.662.854.6%10.0%1.7%
14Columbus Blue Jackets (2-2-2, 6 pts)25.822.77.559.240.1%3.4%1.0%
15Calgary Flames (2-0-1, 5 pts)30.019.76.366.377.6%18.7%4.1%
16Arizona Coyotes (2-2-1, 5 pts)27.122.56.560.642.0%4.3%0.6%
17New Jersey Devils (2-1-1, 5 pts)25.423.67.057.827.7%3.9%0.6%
18Carolina Hurricanes (2-1-0, 4 pts)29.718.74.764.068.0%11.5%4.8%
19Florida Panthers (2-0-0, 4 pts)28.320.35.462.055.0%7.8%2.2%
20Nashville Predators (2-2-0, 4 pts)26.922.75.459.239.3%3.8%1.4%
21San Jose Sharks (2-3-0, 4 pts)26.723.85.458.932.5%3.4%0.7%
22Edmonton Oilers (2-4-0, 4 pts)25.724.85.556.932.4%1.8%0.6%
23Vancouver Canucks (2-5-0, 4 pts)25.025.55.555.426.6%1.2%0.6%
24Anaheim Ducks (1-2-2, 4 pts)23.524.67.954.916.9%1.0%0.2%
25Los Angeles Kings (1-2-2, 4 pts)21.526.18.451.46.9%0.1%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (2-3-0, 4 pts)22.327.26.451.110.5%0.2%0.1%
27New York Rangers (1-2-1, 3 pts)26.223.26.759.035.4%4.5%1.2%
28Buffalo Sabres (1-3-1, 3 pts)25.224.26.657.026.1%2.6%1.1%
29Chicago Blackhawks (1-3-1, 3 pts)21.926.77.451.310.9%0.5%0.0%
30Ottawa Senators (1-3-1, 3 pts)21.627.17.450.512.0%0.6%0.0%
31Dallas Stars (1-0-0, 2 pts)31.719.15.168.683.2%24.3%7.4%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.