NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 19, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dallas Stars (1-2-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0-1)
Unknown
Unknown
42.2%
57.8%
+119
-131

2.35
3.19
5.54
o5½-128
u5½+116

San Jose Sharks (1-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-3-0)
Unknown
Unknown
40.4%
59.6%
+121
-130

2.45
3.47
5.92
o5½-115
u5½+104

Seattle Kraken (1-1-1)
New Jersey Devils (1-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
42.4%
57.6%
+120
-133

2.41
3.22
5.63
o6-105
u5½+116

Vancouver Canucks (1-1-1)
Buffalo Sabres (2-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
50.5%
49.5%
-120
+110

3.02
2.98
6.00
o6-105
u6-105

Florida Panthers (2-0-0)
Tampa Bay Lightning (2-1-0)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+125
-135

2.32
3.41
5.73
o6½+104
u6½-110

Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0)
Washington Capitals (1-0-1)
Unknown
Unknown
55.2%
44.8%
+111
-123

3.22
2.69
5.91
o6-113
u6+102

Columbus Blue Jackets (2-0-0)
Detroit Red Wings (1-0-1)
Unknown
Unknown
54.5%
45.5%
+109
-120

2.84
2.35
5.19
o5½-125
u5½+113

Winnipeg Jets (0-2-0)
Minnesota Wild (2-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
38.5%
61.5%
+132
-145

2.32
3.40
5.72
o5½+104
u5½-115

Los Angeles Kings (1-1-0)
Nashville Predators (0-2-0)
Unknown
Unknown
37.1%
62.9%
+130
-137

2.09
3.22
5.31
o5½-107
u5½+100

New York Islanders (0-2-0)
Chicago Blackhawks (0-2-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.7%
43.3%
-110
+101

3.16
2.44
5.60
o5½-125
u5½+113

Anaheim Ducks (1-1-0)
Edmonton Oilers (2-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
23.0%
77.0%
+193
-215

2.00
3.88
5.88
o5½-106
u5½-104

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Stars
Ottawa Senators
75.9%
24.1%
-140
+129
-135
+128
2
3
-0.84838-0.83716-1.42109
Minnesota Wild
Los Angeles Kings
52.2%
47.8%
-113
+102
-114
+104
3
2
-0.65915-0.65243-0.64992
Winnipeg Jets
San Jose Sharks
51.6%
48.4%
-136
+123
-130
+123
3
4
-0.82640-0.81556-0.72563
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
41.4%
58.6%
+145
-155
+140
-150
2
5
-0.51371-0.52736-0.53370
St. Louis Blues
Colorado Avalanche
32.2%
67.8%
+131
-145
+130
-140
5
3
-0.86168-0.85085-1.13199
Carolina Hurricanes
Nashville Predators
59.2%
40.8%
-111
+101
-112
+104
3
2
-0.66563-0.65643-0.52362
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.84838 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.83716 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-1.42109
-0.57271
-0.58393

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/17/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0-1, 5 pts)44.727.18.197.673.0%36.6%19.0%10.2%5.3%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (2-1-0, 4 pts)47.525.06.5101.490.8%58.6%34.9%23.0%14.3%
3Florida Panthers (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.727.17.298.684.4%42.4%21.1%12.8%7.0%
4Carolina Hurricanes (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.126.87.197.376.0%43.9%24.9%14.5%7.8%
5Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-0, 4 pts)43.629.97.594.769.5%27.8%12.0%6.4%3.4%
6Minnesota Wild (2-0-0, 4 pts)42.229.97.992.368.1%35.4%17.3%7.5%3.3%
7Edmonton Oilers (2-0-0, 4 pts)41.729.57.891.375.7%36.5%18.8%8.2%3.4%
8Columbus Blue Jackets (2-0-0, 4 pts)38.332.08.785.331.8%12.0%5.0%2.0%0.8%
9Buffalo Sabres (2-0-0, 4 pts)35.435.19.580.419.0%5.2%1.8%0.7%0.2%
10Ottawa Senators (2-1-0, 4 pts)35.234.89.079.520.1%5.9%1.8%0.6%0.2%
11Washington Capitals (1-0-1, 3 pts)42.528.08.593.563.6%31.7%15.6%8.1%3.9%
12New York Rangers (1-1-1, 3 pts)41.030.38.890.748.6%27.5%13.5%6.9%3.3%
13Seattle Kraken (1-1-1, 3 pts)38.231.69.285.657.5%27.1%12.0%4.6%1.9%
14Detroit Red Wings (1-0-1, 3 pts)36.234.710.182.520.9%5.1%1.6%0.5%0.2%
15Vancouver Canucks (1-1-1, 3 pts)35.633.79.880.935.4%13.2%5.3%1.6%0.5%
16Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0, 2 pts)46.027.16.998.986.7%59.4%38.7%22.5%12.6%
17Vegas Golden Knights (1-1-0, 2 pts)44.628.27.296.485.0%51.8%32.0%16.5%8.2%
18Boston Bruins (1-0-0, 2 pts)44.528.17.496.476.9%38.0%19.1%11.0%6.2%
19St. Louis Blues (1-0-0, 2 pts)41.231.48.490.857.0%29.6%12.6%4.8%1.9%
20Dallas Stars (1-2-0, 2 pts)40.731.47.989.456.9%32.8%15.1%6.7%3.0%
21New Jersey Devils (1-0-0, 2 pts)37.033.18.983.024.9%11.3%4.7%1.9%0.8%
22San Jose Sharks (1-0-0, 2 pts)36.033.99.181.136.6%16.9%6.4%1.9%0.5%
23Los Angeles Kings (1-1-0, 2 pts)35.835.29.080.729.4%10.2%3.9%1.0%0.3%
24Anaheim Ducks (1-1-0, 2 pts)35.135.79.379.427.4%8.3%2.9%0.8%0.2%
25Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-1, 1 pts)38.332.29.586.130.3%11.9%4.6%1.8%0.7%
26Chicago Blackhawks (0-2-1, 1 pts)37.233.59.383.733.9%15.1%6.1%2.5%0.9%
27Arizona Coyotes (0-1-1, 1 pts)34.835.010.179.821.4%7.7%3.2%0.8%0.3%
28New York Islanders (0-2-0, 0 pts)42.130.47.591.751.8%33.2%17.1%9.1%4.6%
29Nashville Predators (0-2-0, 0 pts)38.432.68.084.846.3%21.1%9.5%3.7%1.5%
30Calgary Flames (0-1-0, 0 pts)38.132.48.584.753.0%20.5%10.1%3.9%1.5%
31Winnipeg Jets (0-2-0, 0 pts)36.734.78.582.029.7%14.4%6.3%2.3%0.9%
32Montreal Canadiens (0-3-0, 0 pts)36.435.98.781.518.4%9.0%3.4%1.3%0.6%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.