NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Hurricanes
Vegas Golden Knights
56.7%
43.3%
-116
+105
-110
+102
-1½+222
+1½-238
-1½+230
+1½-250
3
0
-0.64623-0.66532-0.56817
Vegas Golden Knights
Carolina Hurricanes
39.5%
60.5%
+141
-142
+139
-148
+1½-182
-1½+210
+1½-185
-1½+165
2
4
-0.53483-0.53128-0.50182
Carolina Hurricanes
Vegas Golden Knights
53.3%
46.7%
+155
-101
-105
+100
+1½-125
+1½-270
+1½-250
+1½-260
5
3
-0.82476-0.68116-0.62937
Carolina Hurricanes
Vegas Golden Knights
53.9%
46.1%
-103
+125
+105
-105
-1½+230
+1½-200
-1½+230
-1½+225
4
5
-0.76158-0.66904-0.77505
Vegas Golden Knights
Carolina Hurricanes
39.7%
60.3%
+149
+130
+145
-150
+1½-180
+1½-140
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.65425-0.51896-0.50597
Vegas Golden Knights
Carolina Hurricanes
39.2%
60.8%
+149
-160
+145
-150
+1½-170
-1½+164
+1½-175
-1½+170
5
4
-0.92912-0.90421-0.93540
Montreal Canadiens
Carolina Hurricanes
40.0%
60.0%
+221
-238
+225
-250
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+105
1
6
-0.36632-0.35820-0.51098
Carolina Hurricanes
Montreal Canadiens
52.2%
47.8%
-145
+390
-142
+131
-1½+170
+1½+150
-1½+170
+1½-190
4
0
-0.29627-0.55259-0.64976
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
56.6%
43.4%
+625
+100
+100
-107
-1½+220
+1½-244
-1½+240
+1½-260
1
2
-0.24361-0.67666-0.83418
Carolina Hurricanes
Montreal Canadiens
51.8%
48.2%
-145
+175
-140
+135
-1½+170
+1½-145
-1½+175
+1½-182
3
2
-0.47897-0.54782-0.65739
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
57.5%
42.5%
+200
+140
-145
+136
+1½+125
+1½-185
-1½+180
+1½-190
3
5
-0.58778-0.87412-0.85581
Montreal Canadiens
Carolina Hurricanes
41.6%
58.4%
+178
-125
+180
-200
+1½-143
+1½-215
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
3
-0.49924-0.42898-0.53732
Vegas Golden Knights
Colorado Avalanche
36.6%
63.4%
+166
-125
+168
-180
+1½-164
+1½-195
+1½-145
-1½+140
3
1
-0.90736-1.00169-1.00529
Montreal Canadiens
Carolina Hurricanes
40.6%
59.4%
+186
-208
+190
-200
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
6
2
-1.07549-1.07614-0.90027
Vegas Golden Knights
Colorado Avalanche
37.0%
63.0%
+150
-156
+155
-165
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.92563-0.95078-0.99420
Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres
47.8%
52.2%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-238
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+220
3
2
-0.71668-0.71668-0.73710
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.