NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7)
New York Islanders (39-27-16)
Frederik Andersen
Semyon Varlamov
59.5%
40.5%
-180
+161
-180
+165
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
3.41
2.41
5.82
o5½-101
u5½-113
o5½+100
u5½-115
Florida Panthers (52-24-6)
Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8)
Sergei Bobrovsky
Andrei Vasilevskiy
51.8%
48.2%
-123
+110
-120
+110
-1½+200
+1½-227
-1½+200
+1½-230
3.17
2.97
6.14
o6-118
u6+105
o6-120
u6+105
Boston Bruins (47-20-15)
Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10)
Linus Ullmark
Ilya Samsonov
51.0%
49.0%
+102
-112
+105
-110
+1½-255
-1½+222
+1½-246
-1½+230
3.07
2.95
6.02
o6+104
u6-118
o6+100
u6-115
Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8)
Jake Oettinger
Logan Thompson
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-109
+105
-112
+1½-236
-1½+215
+1½-245
-1½+216
3.12
2.95
6.07
o6+107
u5½+109
o5½-120
u5½+105

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
60.1%
39.9%
-165
+155
-160
+152
-1½+167
+1½-177
-1½+170
+1½-180
3
2
-0.48848-0.49765-0.50913
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.0%
47.0%
+104
-116
+104
-114
+1½-245
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+222
5
3
-0.73982-0.73560-0.63410
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
41.9%
58.1%
+167
-180
+170
-180
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
4
-0.99932-1.00641-0.86898
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
40.8%
59.2%
+154
-170
+146
-155
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
3
1
-0.95524-0.91442-0.89681
Boston Bruins
Toronto Maple Leafs
50.6%
49.4%
-106
-106
-102
-107
+1½-265
-1½+225
+1½-256
-1½+225
4
2
-0.69315-0.70492-0.68104
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
43.1%
56.9%
+109
-122
+112
-122
+1½-225
-1½+196
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
1
-0.76479-0.77245-0.84067
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.0%
54.0%
+137
+110
-120
+113
+1½-150
+1½-224
-1½+200
+1½-220
5
2
-0.75545-0.62096-0.77644
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.1%
59.9%
+164
-175
+164
-170
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+150
2
3
-0.46703-0.47101-0.51276
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
34.1%
65.9%
+242
-276
+245
-270
+1½-112
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½-103
3
4
-0.33529-0.33448-0.41644
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
42.4%
57.6%
+164
-172
+162
-170
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+160
4
7
-0.46940-0.47387-0.55229
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
41.5%
58.5%
+133
-145
+137
-145
+1½-205
-1½+178
+1½-205
-1½+190
4
3
-0.86669-0.87659-0.87914
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
35.6%
64.4%
+209
-233
+212
-236
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
5
-0.38016-0.37592-0.44082
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
43.3%
56.7%
+135
-146
+132
-140
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
2
-0.87328-0.85583-0.83780
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
42.9%
57.1%
+140
-147
+136
-149
+1½-193
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
4
-0.53071-0.53539-0.56021
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.2%
53.8%
-104
+112
-105
-103
+1½-280
+1½-175
+1½-265
-1½+240
6
7
-0.73274-0.69788-0.62055
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
34.5%
65.5%
+246
-278
+250
-270
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
4
-0.33145-0.33041-0.42326
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.61415 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.61662 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.57162
0.04254
0.04501

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%97.0%60.6%30.9%19.2%
2Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%98.1%54.0%30.0%18.5%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%93.4%44.3%23.1%13.2%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%57.5%33.0%17.8%8.1%
5Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%51.0%29.1%15.8%7.0%
6Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%49.0%27.4%14.6%6.0%
7Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%71.5%27.8%11.2%5.5%
8Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%52.6%26.0%12.3%5.0%
9Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%74.9%30.0%13.8%5.0%
10Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%25.1%13.5%7.9%4.0%
11Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%47.4%21.1%9.0%3.2%
12Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%42.5%20.0%8.9%3.2%
13Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%28.5%10.3%4.0%1.9%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%3.0%1.3%0.5%0.2%
15Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%6.6%1.2%0.3%0.1%
16New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.