Upcoming Games for April 27, 2024
Time | Teams | Goalies | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Goals | Total Goals | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7) New York Islanders (39-27-16) | Frederik Andersen Semyon Varlamov | 59.5% 40.5% | -180 +161 -180 +165 | -1½+155 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 3.41 2.41 | 5.82 | o5½-101 u5½-113 o5½+100 u5½-115 | |||
Florida Panthers (52-24-6) Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8) | Sergei Bobrovsky Andrei Vasilevskiy | 51.8% 48.2% | -123 +110 -120 +110 | -1½+200 +1½-227 -1½+200 +1½-230 | 3.17 2.97 | 6.14 | o6-118 u6+105 o6-120 u6+105 | |||
Boston Bruins (47-20-15) Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) | Linus Ullmark Ilya Samsonov | 51.0% 49.0% | +102 -112 +105 -110 | +1½-255 -1½+222 +1½-246 -1½+230 | 3.07 2.95 | 6.02 | o6+104 u6-118 o6+100 u6-115 | |||
Dallas Stars (52-21-9) Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8) | Jake Oettinger Logan Thompson | 51.6% 48.4% | +101 -109 +105 -112 | +1½-236 -1½+215 +1½-245 -1½+216 | 3.12 2.95 | 6.07 | o6+107 u5½+109 o5½-120 u5½+105 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Hurricanes New York Islanders | 60.1% 39.9% | -165 +155 -160 +152 | -1½+167 +1½-177 -1½+170 +1½-180 | 3 2 | -0.48848-0.49765 | -0.50913 | |
Florida Panthers Tampa Bay Lightning | 53.0% 47.0% | +104 -116 +104 -114 | +1½-245 -1½+220 +1½-255 -1½+222 | 5 3 | -0.73982-0.73560 | -0.63410 | |
Los Angeles Kings Edmonton Oilers | 41.9% 58.1% | +167 -180 +170 -180 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 5 4 | -0.99932-1.00641 | -0.86898 | |
Vegas Golden Knights Dallas Stars | 40.8% 59.2% | +154 -170 +146 -155 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+163 | 3 1 | -0.95524-0.91442 | -0.89681 | |
Boston Bruins Toronto Maple Leafs | 50.6% 49.4% | -106 -106 -102 -107 | +1½-265 -1½+225 +1½-256 -1½+225 | 4 2 | -0.69315-0.70492 | -0.68104 | |
Nashville Predators Vancouver Canucks | 43.1% 56.9% | +109 -122 +112 -122 | +1½-225 -1½+196 +1½-230 -1½+205 | 4 1 | -0.76479-0.77245 | -0.84067 | |
Colorado Avalanche Winnipeg Jets | 46.0% 54.0% | +137 +110 -120 +113 | +1½-150 +1½-224 -1½+200 +1½-220 | 5 2 | -0.75545-0.62096 | -0.77644 | |
Tampa Bay Lightning Florida Panthers | 40.1% 59.9% | +164 -175 +164 -170 | +1½-158 -1½+145 +1½-163 -1½+150 | 2 3 | -0.46703-0.47101 | -0.51276 | |
Washington Capitals New York Rangers | 34.1% 65.9% | +242 -276 +245 -270 | +1½-112 -1½-103 +1½-105 -1½-103 | 3 4 | -0.33529-0.33448 | -0.41644 | |
Los Angeles Kings Edmonton Oilers | 42.4% 57.6% | +164 -172 +162 -170 | +1½-158 -1½+145 +1½-162 -1½+160 | 4 7 | -0.46940-0.47387 | -0.55229 | |
Vegas Golden Knights Dallas Stars | 41.5% 58.5% | +133 -145 +137 -145 | +1½-205 -1½+178 +1½-205 -1½+190 | 4 3 | -0.86669-0.87659 | -0.87914 | |
New York Islanders Carolina Hurricanes | 35.6% 64.4% | +209 -233 +212 -236 | +1½-133 -1½+117 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 3 5 | -0.38016-0.37592 | -0.44082 | |
Toronto Maple Leafs Boston Bruins | 43.3% 56.7% | +135 -146 +132 -140 | +1½-188 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3 2 | -0.87328-0.85583 | -0.83780 | |
Nashville Predators Vancouver Canucks | 42.9% 57.1% | +140 -147 +136 -149 | +1½-193 -1½+183 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 2 4 | -0.53071-0.53539 | -0.56021 | |
Colorado Avalanche Winnipeg Jets | 46.2% 53.8% | -104 +112 -105 -103 | +1½-280 +1½-175 +1½-265 -1½+240 | 6 7 | -0.73274-0.69788 | -0.62055 | |
Washington Capitals New York Rangers | 34.5% 65.5% | +246 -278 +250 -270 | +1½-115 -1½-102 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 1 4 | -0.33145-0.33041 | -0.42326 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.61415 | |
Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.61662 | |
DRatings | 2 | 2-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.57162 | 0.04254 0.04501 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 04/25/24Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win Rd. 1 | Win Rd. 2 | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
1 | Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts) | 52.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 97.0% | 60.6% | 30.9% | 19.2% |
2 | Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts) | 52.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 111.0 | 100.0% | 98.1% | 54.0% | 30.0% | 18.5% |
3 | New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts) | 55.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 114.0 | 100.0% | 93.4% | 44.3% | 23.1% | 13.2% |
4 | Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts) | 49.5 | 26.4 | 6.1 | 105.1 | 100.0% | 57.5% | 33.0% | 17.8% | 8.1% |
5 | Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts) | 51.6 | 24.3 | 6.1 | 109.2 | 100.0% | 51.0% | 29.1% | 15.8% | 7.0% |
6 | Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts) | 49.5 | 25.4 | 7.1 | 106.1 | 100.0% | 49.0% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 6.0% |
7 | Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts) | 47.0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 71.5% | 27.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
8 | Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts) | 50.4 | 22.5 | 9.1 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 52.6% | 26.0% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
9 | Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts) | 45.7 | 28.2 | 8.1 | 99.5 | 100.0% | 74.9% | 30.0% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
10 | Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts) | 52.0 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 113.0 | 100.0% | 25.1% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
11 | Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts) | 47.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 99.0 | 100.0% | 47.4% | 21.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
12 | Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts) | 43.7 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 98.5 | 100.0% | 42.5% | 20.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
13 | Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts) | 46.0 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 102.0 | 100.0% | 28.5% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
14 | Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts) | 45.0 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
15 | Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts) | 40.0 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 91.0 | 100.0% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
16 | New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts) | 39.0 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 94.0 | 100.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
17 | St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts) | 43.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
18 | Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts) | 41.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 91.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
19 | Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts) | 39.6 | 32.3 | 10.1 | 89.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
20 | Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts) | 38.0 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 88.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
21 | Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts) | 38.0 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 87.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
22 | Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts) | 39.0 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 84.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
23 | New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts) | 38.0 | 39.0 | 5.0 | 81.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
24 | Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts) | 37.7 | 39.2 | 5.1 | 80.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
25 | Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts) | 33.4 | 35.5 | 13.1 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
26 | Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts) | 37.0 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 78.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
27 | Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts) | 36.0 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 77.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
28 | Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts) | 30.0 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 76.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
29 | Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts) | 27.0 | 43.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
30 | Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts) | 26.3 | 50.6 | 5.2 | 57.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
31 | Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts) | 23.3 | 53.6 | 5.2 | 51.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
32 | San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts) | 19.3 | 53.6 | 9.1 | 47.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
Related Blog Posts
2024 March Madness Preview
Our breakdowns for each of the brackets in the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
The Comeback Effect in Basketball
How much value do we place on the comeback effect in college basketball?
Are Betting Splits A Useful Variable for Bettors?
Settling the debate as to whether or not betting splits are a useful tool
The Distribution of Totals for Betting Basketball
This post delves into the nuances of totals betting in basketball.
MLB Strikeout Distribution Analysis
Modeling the distribution of strikeouts for pitchers