NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 13, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (27-23-6)
Washington Capitals (36-15-5)
Unknown
Unknown
43.0%
57.0%
+118
-130
+170
-130
2.66
3.40
6.06
o6-115
u6+104
o6-120
u6+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11)
Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7)
Unknown
Unknown
36.8%
63.2%
+165
-183
+165
-185
2.50
3.65
6.15
o5½-120
u5½+109
o5½-120
u5½+105
Vancouver Canucks (23-29-4)
Edmonton Oilers (35-19-2)
Unknown
Unknown
34.4%
65.6%
+160
-170
+155
-170
2.62
3.85
6.47
o6½+107
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Blackhawks (24-25-7)
Colorado Avalanche (39-13-4)
Unknown
Unknown
28.7%
71.3%
+260
-295
+260
-300
2.21
3.64
5.85
o6-105
u6-105
o6-110
u6-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 14, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
30.2%
69.8%
+218
-236
+225
-242
0
1
-0.36999-0.36106-0.35971
Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens
66.8%
33.2%
-142
+135
-142
+135
2
3
-0.86664-0.86664-1.10410
Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens
66.8%
33.2%
-117
+110
-120
+115
6
3
-0.63297-0.61667-0.40402
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
29.5%
70.5%
+180
-193
+177
-190
1
3
-0.43320-0.43891-0.34900
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
30.4%
69.6%
+176
-189
+180
-190
1
5
-0.44085-0.43510-0.36218
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
35.4%
64.6%
+165
-180
+165
-173
0
1
-0.46185-0.46718-0.43620
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/07/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3, 75 pts)36.017.03.075.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11, 59 pts)24.021.011.059.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights (40-14-2, 82 pts)40.014.02.082.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4New York Islanders (32-17-7, 71 pts)32.017.07.071.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Colorado Avalanche (39-13-4, 82 pts)39.013.04.082.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Carolina Hurricanes (36-12-8, 80 pts)36.012.08.080.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston Bruins (33-16-7, 73 pts)33.016.07.073.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Winnipeg Jets (30-23-3, 63 pts)30.023.03.063.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Florida Panthers (37-14-5, 79 pts)37.014.05.079.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7, 77 pts)35.014.07.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Pittsburgh Penguins (37-16-3, 77 pts)37.016.03.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Washington Capitals (36-15-5, 77 pts)36.015.05.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (35-16-5, 75 pts)35.016.05.075.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Edmonton Oilers (35-19-2, 72 pts)35.019.02.072.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Nashville Predators (31-23-2, 64 pts)31.023.02.064.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (27-20-9, 63 pts)27.020.09.063.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Dallas Stars (23-19-14, 60 pts)23.019.014.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18New York Rangers (27-23-6, 60 pts)27.023.06.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Philadelphia Flyers (25-23-8, 58 pts)25.023.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Chicago Blackhawks (24-25-7, 55 pts)24.025.07.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Calgary Flames (26-27-3, 55 pts)26.027.03.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Arizona Coyotes (24-26-6, 54 pts)24.026.06.054.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Ottawa Senators (23-28-5, 51 pts)23.028.05.051.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Vancouver Canucks (23-29-4, 50 pts)23.029.04.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25San Jose Sharks (21-28-7, 49 pts)21.028.07.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Los Angeles Kings (21-28-7, 49 pts)21.028.07.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (19-27-10, 48 pts)19.027.010.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Columbus Blue Jackets (18-26-12, 48 pts)18.026.012.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New Jersey Devils (19-30-7, 45 pts)19.030.07.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (17-30-9, 43 pts)17.030.09.043.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (15-34-7, 37 pts)15.034.07.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.