NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 15, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Winnipeg Jets (25-14-3)
Toronto Maple Leafs (28-11-4)
Unknown
Unknown
30.0%
70.0%


2.56
3.94
6.49


Nashville Predators (24-19-1)
Carolina Hurricanes (27-10-4)
Unknown
Unknown
36.8%
63.2%
+171
-190
+176
-194
2.26
3.39
5.65
o5½-123
u5½+112
o5½-125
u5½+105
Florida Panthers (27-12-4)
Tampa Bay Lightning (28-12-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.3%
61.7%
+135
-149
+139
-152
2.29
3.38
5.67
o6-105
u6-105
o6-105
u6-115
Philadelphia Flyers (19-17-6)
Pittsburgh Penguins (27-13-2)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
+145
-161
+146
-160
2.37
3.52
5.89
o6-107
u6-103
o6-120
u6+100
New Jersey Devils (14-21-6)
New York Rangers (20-16-6)
Unknown
Unknown
34.0%
66.0%
+188
-210
+183
-203
2.30
3.54
5.84
o6+104
u6-115
o6+100
u6-120
Buffalo Sabres (10-25-7)
Washington Capitals (28-11-4)
Unknown
Unknown
27.9%
72.1%
+258
-293
+258
-288
2.17
3.63
5.81
o6+107
u6-118
o6+100
u6-120
New York Islanders (27-11-4)
Boston Bruins (22-12-6)
Unknown
Unknown
48.8%
51.2%
+102
-113
-101
-109
2.55
2.68
5.23
o5-140
u5+127
o5½+120
u5½-140
Chicago Blackhawks (20-18-5)
Detroit Red Wings (15-23-6)
Unknown
Unknown
59.4%
40.6%
-155
+140
-154
+140
3.27
2.27
5.53
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-115
u5½-105
Columbus Blue Jackets (15-20-9)
Dallas Stars (15-14-12)
Unknown
Unknown
39.6%
60.4%
+168
-187
+158
-174
2.04
3.08
5.13
o5½+123
u5½-135
o5½+120
u5½-140

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
Dallas Stars
52.2%
47.8%
-116
+105
-114
+107
3
2
-0.64623-0.64546-0.64992
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nashville Predators
66.4%
33.6%
-141
+130
-144
+132
2
7
-0.85257-0.86254-1.09184
Calgary Flames
Toronto Maple Leafs
45.7%
54.3%
+140
-143
+142
-154
3
2
-0.88059-0.90310-0.78292
Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals
40.5%
59.5%
+150
-154
+145
-155
1
6
-0.50667-0.51371-0.51960
Buffalo Sabres
Boston Bruins
30.8%
69.2%
+267
-300
+280
-310
2
3
-0.30991-0.29866-0.36821
New York Rangers
New Jersey Devils
63.5%
36.5%
-175
+165
-170
+160
3
0
-0.46561-0.47678-0.45490
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.61026 
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.61671 
DRatings64-2 (0.667)0-0.64456
-0.03430
-0.02786

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/13/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionStanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (29-9-4, 62 pts)37.713.15.280.5100.0%73.8%14.3%
2Toronto Maple Leafs (28-11-4, 60 pts)35.615.35.176.3100.0%87.1%8.6%
3Washington Capitals (28-11-4, 60 pts)35.115.65.375.599.9%42.0%6.7%
4Vegas Golden Knights (28-11-2, 58 pts)37.215.63.277.6100.0%25.5%8.1%
5Tampa Bay Lightning (28-12-2, 58 pts)36.816.13.176.7100.0%48.0%19.5%
6Carolina Hurricanes (27-10-4, 58 pts)35.615.15.376.5100.0%41.8%9.8%
7New York Islanders (27-11-4, 58 pts)35.015.85.275.199.1%29.6%7.6%
8Florida Panthers (27-12-4, 58 pts)33.817.05.372.8100.0%10.2%4.2%
9Pittsburgh Penguins (27-13-2, 56 pts)35.717.23.174.599.6%24.9%8.2%
10Winnipeg Jets (25-14-3, 53 pts)32.419.24.469.399.7%7.6%1.9%
11Edmonton Oilers (25-15-2, 52 pts)32.420.23.468.399.1%4.7%3.1%
12Minnesota Wild (24-13-3, 51 pts)32.918.64.570.399.9%0.7%1.0%
13Boston Bruins (22-12-6, 50 pts)30.917.67.569.387.3%3.5%3.0%
14Nashville Predators (24-19-1, 49 pts)29.823.92.461.965.8%0.0%1.0%
15New York Rangers (20-16-6, 46 pts)27.721.07.362.713.3%0.0%0.4%
16Montreal Canadiens (18-12-9, 45 pts)26.718.510.864.292.0%0.6%1.8%
17Chicago Blackhawks (20-18-5, 45 pts)25.923.66.558.316.4%0.0%0.1%
18St. Louis Blues (19-16-6, 44 pts)25.922.47.759.558.9%0.0%0.3%
19Philadelphia Flyers (19-17-6, 44 pts)25.522.87.658.70.8%0.0%0.0%
20Arizona Coyotes (19-19-5, 43 pts)25.124.46.456.725.7%0.0%0.1%
21Dallas Stars (15-14-12, 42 pts)22.420.013.658.517.7%0.0%0.3%
22San Jose Sharks (18-19-4, 40 pts)24.325.95.854.47.2%0.0%0.0%
23Calgary Flames (18-21-3, 39 pts)25.026.64.454.44.7%0.0%0.0%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (15-20-9, 39 pts)20.225.410.450.70.1%0.0%0.0%
25Los Angeles Kings (16-19-6, 38 pts)23.025.37.753.78.3%0.0%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (15-23-6, 36 pts)19.628.97.646.70.0%0.0%0.0%
27Vancouver Canucks (16-18-3, 35 pts)24.826.15.154.74.5%0.0%0.0%
28New Jersey Devils (14-21-6, 34 pts)19.628.48.047.30.0%0.0%0.0%
29Anaheim Ducks (13-23-7, 33 pts)17.929.38.744.60.0%0.0%0.0%
30Ottawa Senators (14-25-4, 32 pts)19.031.35.743.70.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (10-25-7, 27 pts)14.532.59.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.