Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning Montreal Canadiens | 61.3% 38.7% | -180 +165 -165 +170 | -1½+142 +1½-155 -1½+144 +1½-150 | 5 3 | -0.46185-0.46678 | -0.48954 | |
| Utah Hockey Club Washington Capitals | 35.1% 64.9% | +168 -186 +165 -180 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+140 | 5 4 | -1.00904-0.99458 | -1.04648 | |
| Anaheim Ducks Los Angeles Kings | 36.1% 63.9% | +209 -225 +215 -227 | +1½-128 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+112 | 2 1 | -1.14398-1.15900 | -1.01799 | |
| Dallas Stars San Jose Sharks | 67.0% 33.0% | -216 +200 -227 +210 | -1½+113 +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 8 3 | -0.39720-0.38164 | -0.40025 | |
| Seattle Kraken Calgary Flames | 47.3% 52.7% | +118 -129 +116 -125 | +1½-212 -1½+190 +1½-224 -1½+200 | 3 2 | -0.80111-0.78847 | -0.74771 | |
| New York Islanders Minnesota Wild | 43.6% 56.4% | +136 -150 +142 -153 | +1½-188 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 3 6 | -0.53428-0.52076 | -0.57244 | |
| Buffalo Sabres Nashville Predators | 49.4% 50.6% | +100 -113 +104 -110 | +1½-227 -1½+200 +1½-220 -1½+205 | 4 6 | -0.66396-0.66054 | -0.68027 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs Vancouver Canucks | 55.4% 44.6% | -145 +137 -142 +132 | -1½+175 +1½-195 -1½+180 +1½-190 | 1 2 | -0.87659-0.85923 | -0.80726 | |
| Ottawa Senators Florida Panthers | 40.5% 59.5% | +167 -175 +163 -172 | +1½-158 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+150 | 1 5 | -0.46283-0.47082 | -0.51914 | |
| New York Rangers Columbus Blue Jackets | 50.7% 49.3% | -142 +128 -140 +130 | -1½+168 +1½-188 -1½+175 +1½-185 | 4 3 | -0.55816-0.55696 | -0.67861 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks St. Louis Blues | 36.1% 63.9% | +215 -240 +218 -240 | +1½-120 -1½+107 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 5 6 | -0.37138-0.36846 | -0.44769 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins Philadelphia Flyers | 40.6% 59.4% | +151 -163 +156 -155 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+170 | 2 3 | -0.49643-0.49631 | -0.52115 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Boston Bruins | 53.4% 46.6% | -148 +142 -145 +145 | -1½+165 +1½-178 -1½+171 +1½-175 | 4 3 | -0.52616-0.52452 | -0.62672 | |
| New Jersey Devils Montreal Canadiens | 60.7% 39.3% | -150 +138 -155 +142 | -1½+165 +1½-183 -1½+170 +1½-180 | 4 0 | -0.53079-0.51869 | -0.49936 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Detroit Red Wings | 57.6% 42.4% | -160 +146 -154 +146 | -1½+160 +1½-173 -1½+160 +1½-180 | 6 3 | -0.50717-0.51309 | -0.55205 | |
| Utah Hockey Club Carolina Hurricanes | 37.2% 62.8% | +173 -195 +190 -200 | +1½-145 -1½+132 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3 7 | -0.44093-0.41690 | -0.46574 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 02/09/25| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win Rd. 1 | Win Rd. 2 | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Winnipeg Jets (39-14-3, 81 pts) | 54.3 | 22.5 | 5.2 | 113.8 | 100.0% | 71.9% | 42.2% | 26.3% | 15.7% |
| 2 | Washington Capitals (36-11-8, 80 pts) | 52.0 | 19.7 | 10.3 | 114.4 | 100.0% | 67.9% | 37.6% | 21.2% | 11.0% |
| 3 | Dallas Stars (35-18-2, 72 pts) | 50.7 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 105.7 | 99.9% | 60.0% | 31.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (34-17-4, 72 pts) | 49.5 | 26.1 | 6.4 | 105.3 | 100.0% | 64.4% | 39.5% | 20.3% | 11.1% |
| 5 | Vegas Golden Knights (33-17-6, 72 pts) | 47.5 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 103.4 | 99.5% | 55.1% | 25.8% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| 6 | Florida Panthers (34-20-3, 71 pts) | 48.5 | 28.3 | 5.2 | 102.2 | 99.7% | 59.3% | 33.4% | 17.5% | 9.2% |
| 7 | Carolina Hurricanes (33-19-4, 70 pts) | 47.9 | 27.7 | 6.4 | 102.3 | 99.6% | 54.8% | 29.1% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| 8 | Minnesota Wild (33-19-4, 70 pts) | 46.5 | 28.9 | 6.6 | 99.6 | 97.8% | 34.5% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| 9 | Toronto Maple Leafs (33-20-2, 68 pts) | 47.8 | 29.6 | 4.6 | 100.3 | 98.7% | 52.2% | 25.5% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| 10 | Colorado Avalanche (33-22-2, 68 pts) | 47.6 | 30.3 | 4.1 | 99.3 | 97.4% | 45.2% | 22.7% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
| 11 | New Jersey Devils (31-20-6, 68 pts) | 44.7 | 28.9 | 8.4 | 97.8 | 96.7% | 43.6% | 21.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| 12 | Tampa Bay Lightning (31-20-4, 66 pts) | 46.1 | 29.4 | 6.5 | 98.8 | 96.0% | 51.4% | 27.3% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Kings (29-17-7, 65 pts) | 44.7 | 27.5 | 9.8 | 99.2 | 96.9% | 40.4% | 17.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| 14 | Vancouver Canucks (26-18-11, 63 pts) | 39.0 | 29.1 | 14.0 | 91.9 | 65.5% | 18.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 15 | Ottawa Senators (29-23-4, 62 pts) | 43.3 | 32.3 | 6.4 | 93.0 | 74.7% | 29.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| 16 | Detroit Red Wings (28-22-5, 61 pts) | 40.1 | 33.8 | 8.1 | 88.2 | 32.6% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 17 | Calgary Flames (26-21-8, 60 pts) | 38.0 | 32.9 | 11.1 | 87.1 | 22.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 18 | Columbus Blue Jackets (26-22-8, 60 pts) | 37.8 | 33.3 | 10.9 | 86.4 | 19.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 19 | Boston Bruins (27-24-6, 60 pts) | 38.8 | 34.5 | 8.7 | 86.4 | 20.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 20 | New York Rangers (27-24-4, 58 pts) | 40.7 | 34.6 | 6.7 | 88.1 | 35.9% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 21 | New York Islanders (25-23-7, 57 pts) | 38.1 | 34.1 | 9.9 | 86.0 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 22 | Utah Hockey Club (24-23-9, 57 pts) | 36.8 | 33.3 | 11.8 | 85.5 | 13.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 23 | St. Louis Blues (25-26-5, 55 pts) | 37.0 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Montreal Canadiens (25-26-5, 55 pts) | 36.6 | 37.4 | 8.0 | 81.2 | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Philadelphia Flyers (24-26-7, 55 pts) | 35.3 | 36.9 | 9.8 | 80.3 | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Pittsburgh Penguins (23-25-9, 55 pts) | 34.2 | 36.0 | 11.8 | 80.1 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Anaheim Ducks (24-24-6, 54 pts) | 36.1 | 36.5 | 9.4 | 81.6 | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Seattle Kraken (24-29-4, 52 pts) | 35.0 | 40.2 | 6.9 | 76.8 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Buffalo Sabres (22-27-5, 49 pts) | 34.7 | 39.1 | 8.2 | 77.5 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Nashville Predators (19-28-7, 45 pts) | 31.9 | 40.0 | 10.1 | 73.9 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks (17-31-7, 41 pts) | 27.6 | 44.0 | 10.4 | 65.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | San Jose Sharks (15-35-7, 37 pts) | 23.5 | 48.1 | 10.4 | 57.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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