NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 3, 2023

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vegas Golden Knights (46-22-7)
Minnesota Wild (44-22-9)
Unknown
Unknown
45.4%
54.6%




2.68
3.18
5.86


Nashville Predators (37-29-8)
Dallas Stars (41-20-14)
Unknown
Unknown
37.0%
63.0%




2.38
3.51
5.89


Arizona Coyotes (27-36-13)
Seattle Kraken (41-25-8)
Unknown
Unknown
32.8%
67.2%




2.47
3.74
6.21


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Sharks
Arizona Coyotes
49.2%
50.8%
-113
+103
-113
+104
-1½+210
+1½-236
-1½+220
+1½-240
7
2
-0.65676-0.65441-0.71019
Anaheim Ducks
Edmonton Oilers
23.9%
76.1%
+421
-500
+425
-500
+1½+175
-1½-197
+1½+175
-1½-190
0
6
-0.20728-0.20586-0.27377
Los Angeles Kings
Seattle Kraken
49.5%
50.5%
+104
-111
+102
-110
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+230
3
1
-0.72909-0.72177-0.70376
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
47.5%
52.5%
-101
-106
+104
-110
+1½-260
-1½+225
+1½-240
-1½+220
1
4
-0.68136-0.66054-0.64500
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
43.2%
56.8%
+147
-160
+145
-155
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
5
-0.50556-0.51371-0.56623
New Jersey Devils
Chicago Blackhawks
69.5%
30.5%
-323
+295
-325
+290
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+110
6
3
-0.28634-0.28916-0.36358
Florida Panthers
Columbus Blue Jackets
67.6%
32.4%
-258
+232
-245
+230
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+108
+1½-110
7
0
-0.34920-0.35538-0.39159
Carolina Hurricanes
Montreal Canadiens
68.8%
31.2%
-234
+215
-243
+222
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
0
-0.37372-0.36351-0.37449
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
55.6%
44.4%
-155
+142
-154
+145
-1½+158
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
3
0
-0.51869-0.51473-0.58789
Buffalo Sabres
Philadelphia Flyers
47.8%
52.2%
-104
-106
-102
-107
-1½+235
+1½-265
-1½+230
-1½+225
6
3
-0.69780-0.70492-0.73745
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
42.2%
57.8%
+130
-144
+138
-150
+1½-200
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+175
0
5
-0.55199-0.53079-0.54874
Boston Bruins
Pittsburgh Penguins
60.9%
39.1%
-110
+101
-112
+105
-1½+210
+1½-236
-1½+216
+1½-230
4
3
-0.66771-0.65406-0.49590
St. Louis Blues
Nashville Predators
44.8%
55.2%
+125
-133
+126
-130
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+181
1
6
-0.57583-0.57821-0.59346
Dallas Stars
Arizona Coyotes
64.2%
35.8%
-226
+205
-230
+211
-1½+118
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
5
2
-0.38727-0.37936-0.44276
Calgary Flames
Vancouver Canucks
52.4%
47.6%
-138
+137
-143
+135
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+185
+1½-195
5
4
-0.54678-0.54412-0.64539
Detroit Red Wings
Winnipeg Jets
34.9%
65.1%
+209
-233
+220
-234
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+105
2
6
-0.38016-0.36883-0.42986
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.52318 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.51900 
DRatings1310-3 (0.769)0-0.53785
-0.01467
-0.01885

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/31/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (58-12-5, 121 pts)62.613.95.5130.7100.0%81.6%60.0%42.4%32.1%
2Carolina Hurricanes (47-18-9, 103 pts)51.720.69.7113.1100.0%63.6%35.9%15.7%9.8%
3New Jersey Devils (47-20-8, 102 pts)51.122.38.6110.8100.0%53.5%26.9%10.4%5.9%
4Vegas Golden Knights (46-22-7, 99 pts)49.524.87.7106.8100.0%55.4%27.0%13.6%4.8%
5New York Rangers (44-21-11, 99 pts)47.623.011.5106.6100.0%49.2%25.5%10.1%5.6%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (44-20-10, 98 pts)48.422.810.8107.5100.0%57.6%20.6%10.2%5.7%
7Minnesota Wild (44-22-9, 97 pts)47.924.59.7105.4100.0%51.9%25.9%12.9%4.5%
8Edmonton Oilers (44-23-9, 97 pts)47.724.89.5104.9100.0%57.0%32.4%17.2%7.0%
9Dallas Stars (41-20-14, 96 pts)45.022.414.7104.6100.0%50.9%25.8%13.0%4.7%
10Los Angeles Kings (43-22-10, 96 pts)46.724.610.7104.2100.0%47.6%24.0%11.8%4.1%
11Colorado Avalanche (44-24-6, 94 pts)48.626.76.7103.9100.0%54.5%30.3%16.6%6.3%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (44-26-6, 94 pts)47.128.26.6100.9100.0%42.4%12.4%5.3%2.6%
13Seattle Kraken (41-25-8, 90 pts)45.627.78.799.999.4%42.8%18.7%8.1%2.3%
14New York Islanders (39-28-9, 87 pts)42.230.29.693.991.3%27.2%9.7%3.1%1.3%
15Winnipeg Jets (42-31-3, 87 pts)45.133.33.693.963.1%25.8%10.4%4.4%1.4%
16Calgary Flames (35-26-15, 85 pts)38.627.915.592.728.1%10.6%4.3%2.0%0.6%
17Pittsburgh Penguins (37-28-10, 84 pts)40.730.610.792.062.9%14.2%5.1%1.5%0.5%
18Florida Panthers (38-31-7, 83 pts)41.333.17.590.238.0%8.5%3.5%1.2%0.6%
19Nashville Predators (37-29-8, 82 pts)40.832.38.990.59.4%3.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
20Buffalo Sabres (36-31-7, 79 pts)39.534.58.087.05.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%
21Ottawa Senators (37-33-5, 79 pts)40.335.95.886.42.3%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.1%
22Washington Capitals (34-33-9, 77 pts)36.835.69.783.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23St. Louis Blues (35-34-6, 76 pts)37.937.26.982.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Vancouver Canucks (34-34-7, 75 pts)37.636.77.782.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Detroit Red Wings (33-33-9, 75 pts)36.036.29.881.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Philadelphia Flyers (29-32-13, 71 pts)32.435.713.978.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (27-36-13, 67 pts)29.738.613.773.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-40-6, 66 pts)32.343.06.871.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (21-39-15, 57 pts)23.442.616.062.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (23-42-10, 56 pts)25.445.710.961.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Columbus Blue Jackets (23-43-8, 54 pts)25.947.09.160.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (24-45-6, 54 pts)26.548.57.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.