NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 2, 2022

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ottawa Senators (8-12-1)
New York Rangers (10-9-4)
Unknown
Unknown
36.8%
63.2%




2.54
3.69
6.23


Nashville Predators (10-9-2)
New York Islanders (15-9-0)
Unknown
Unknown
37.4%
62.6%




2.36
3.47
5.83


Columbus Blue Jackets (7-12-2)
Winnipeg Jets (14-6-1)
Unknown
Unknown
32.6%
67.4%




2.50
3.78
6.28


Games for Dec 3, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
Chicago Blackhawks
64.8%
35.2%
-214
+194
-215
+198
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
5
4
-0.40486-0.39988-0.43447
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
50.8%
49.2%
+115
-124
+120
-125
+1½-212
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
4
-0.78397-0.79851-0.67796
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs
23.6%
76.4%
+255
-288
+260
-292
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
1
3
-0.32172-0.31693-0.26855
New York Rangers
Ottawa Senators
57.2%
42.8%
+105
-115
+101
-110
-1½+230
+1½-270
+1½-240
+1½-260
3
1
-0.74028-0.71924-0.55823
Seattle Kraken
Los Angeles Kings
44.8%
55.2%
+118
-129
+118
-125
+1½-215
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+195
9
8
-0.80111-0.79350-0.80283
Washington Capitals
Vancouver Canucks
47.7%
52.3%
+100
-108
+103
-109
+1½-235
-1½+215
+1½-230
-1½+205
5
1
-0.71219-0.72208-0.73955
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.56271 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.55864 
DRatings44-0 (1.000)0-0.48480
0.07790
0.07384

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/29/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (19-3-0, 38 pts)54.522.45.0114.199.8%65.6%38.7%24.6%14.4%
2New Jersey Devils (19-4-0, 38 pts)49.826.35.9105.497.4%47.4%22.5%9.3%4.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (17-6-1, 35 pts)48.327.06.7103.394.5%52.3%27.5%13.0%5.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (14-5-5, 33 pts)46.525.010.5103.594.7%48.6%23.7%13.2%7.1%
5Seattle Kraken (14-5-3, 31 pts)43.729.19.296.678.4%30.6%12.4%4.8%1.7%
6Dallas Stars (13-6-4, 30 pts)44.727.79.799.085.4%39.9%17.6%8.7%3.8%
7New York Islanders (15-9-0, 30 pts)45.530.75.896.876.5%36.0%17.5%7.5%3.4%
8Carolina Hurricanes (12-6-5, 29 pts)45.326.410.3100.888.1%46.9%25.9%12.1%6.5%
9Winnipeg Jets (14-6-1, 29 pts)46.728.46.8100.389.0%43.1%19.2%8.9%4.1%
10Los Angeles Kings (12-9-4, 28 pts)39.832.010.189.844.1%16.1%6.7%2.6%0.8%
11Tampa Bay Lightning (13-8-1, 27 pts)46.628.96.599.785.5%43.5%21.1%11.7%6.3%
12Pittsburgh Penguins (11-8-4, 26 pts)42.629.89.794.866.5%33.8%16.2%7.0%3.0%
13Detroit Red Wings (11-6-4, 26 pts)37.733.211.186.623.5%7.6%2.2%0.5%0.2%
14Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1, 25 pts)49.125.96.1104.297.3%64.4%42.0%27.1%16.1%
15Edmonton Oilers (12-10-0, 24 pts)45.131.35.695.775.5%43.4%23.4%11.2%5.2%
16Florida Panthers (10-9-4, 24 pts)41.630.69.893.159.5%26.9%12.6%5.9%3.2%
17New York Rangers (10-9-4, 24 pts)40.731.310.091.448.0%23.9%11.6%5.0%2.2%
18Calgary Flames (10-9-3, 23 pts)43.530.08.595.473.3%40.2%21.4%10.6%4.8%
19Washington Capitals (10-11-3, 23 pts)39.433.69.187.832.0%14.4%6.3%2.7%1.2%
20Montreal Canadiens (11-10-1, 23 pts)36.537.28.381.39.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
21Minnesota Wild (10-9-2, 22 pts)41.931.98.192.054.7%26.3%11.9%5.4%2.5%
22St. Louis Blues (11-11-0, 22 pts)41.833.96.389.944.8%22.4%10.0%4.5%2.1%
23Nashville Predators (10-9-2, 22 pts)38.233.48.484.830.2%10.7%4.0%1.6%0.5%
24Vancouver Canucks (9-11-3, 21 pts)38.334.59.285.824.5%9.1%3.4%1.4%0.6%
25Philadelphia Flyers (8-10-5, 21 pts)32.137.512.476.63.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26San Jose Sharks (8-13-4, 20 pts)31.639.411.074.21.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Buffalo Sabres (9-12-1, 19 pts)36.637.77.880.97.9%1.7%0.6%0.2%0.1%
28Ottawa Senators (8-12-1, 17 pts)36.038.17.979.96.4%2.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%
29Arizona Coyotes (7-10-3, 17 pts)33.538.010.477.55.5%1.5%0.4%0.2%0.0%
30Columbus Blue Jackets (7-12-2, 16 pts)32.339.49.373.81.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (6-11-4, 16 pts)30.639.811.672.81.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
32Anaheim Ducks (6-15-2, 14 pts)29.543.29.468.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.