NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vegas Golden Knights (33-21-7)
Columbus Blue Jackets (20-30-10)
Unknown
Unknown
59.1%
40.9%




3.65
2.68
6.33


Boston Bruins (35-13-14)
Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8)
Unknown
Unknown
44.9%
55.1%
+116
-127



2.84
3.38
6.22
o6-116
u6+102

Florida Panthers (41-16-4)
New York Rangers (40-17-4)
Unknown
Unknown
51.0%
49.0%
-110
+100

-1½+210
+1½-250

3.12
3.02
6.14
o6+100
u6-113

St. Louis Blues (31-26-3)
Philadelphia Flyers (32-23-7)
Unknown
Unknown
44.0%
56.0%




2.72
3.37
6.09


Chicago Blackhawks (15-41-5)
Colorado Avalanche (37-20-5)
Unknown
Unknown
24.1%
75.9%
+361
-416

+1½+150
-1½-175

2.22
3.98
6.20
o6-116
u6+102

Seattle Kraken (26-23-11)
Calgary Flames (30-25-5)
Unknown
Unknown
44.5%
55.5%
+115
-126

+1½-235
-1½+195

2.65
3.24
5.89
o6+104
u6-118

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Arizona Coyotes (24-31-5)
Washington Capitals (28-22-9)
47.2%
52.8%
+122
-133
+119
-130
+1½-202
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+185
6.05
o6-110
u6-101
o6-110
u6-105
1st P
07:27
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Penguins
Calgary Flames
45.4%
54.6%
+111
-124
+111
-120
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-235
-1½+205
3
4
-0.61850-0.62534-0.60501
Columbus Blue Jackets
Chicago Blackhawks
54.6%
45.4%
-150
+140
-145
+137
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-185
5
2
-0.52736-0.53820-0.60602
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
22.4%
77.6%
+480
-550
+475
-580
+1½+180
-1½-210
+1½+175
-1½-187
2
3
-0.18545-0.18556-0.25355
Boston Bruins
New York Islanders
55.4%
44.6%
-124
+117
-120
+112
-1½+195
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-230
1
5
-0.78902-0.76841-0.80685
Ottawa Senators
Philadelphia Flyers
46.8%
53.2%
+116
-129
+120
-130
+1½-198
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+190
2
4
-0.59984-0.59012-0.63126
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
33.5%
66.5%
+231
-255
+222
-249
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
4
-0.35106-0.36136-0.40752
Vegas Golden Knights
Buffalo Sabres
51.2%
48.8%
-110
-101
-108
-102
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+224
+1½-245
2
7
-0.71415-0.70719-0.71726
New York Rangers
Toronto Maple Leafs
48.2%
51.8%
+113
-123
+120
-125
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-221
-1½+195
3
4
-0.61582-0.59784-0.65776
Colorado Avalanche
Nashville Predators
51.7%
48.3%
-127
+115
-124
+115
-1½+187
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-215
1
5
-0.78975-0.78397-0.72701
Minnesota Wild
St. Louis Blues
48.5%
51.5%
-121
+110
-125
+115
-1½+200
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-225
1
3
-0.76535-0.78592-0.66324
Edmonton Oilers
Seattle Kraken
56.3%
43.7%
-155
+141
-152
+140
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
2
1
-0.52037-0.52520-0.57481
Florida Panthers
Detroit Red Wings
55.3%
44.7%
-170
+158
-160
+152
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
0
-0.47970-0.49765-0.59222
Winnipeg Jets
Carolina Hurricanes
44.6%
55.4%
+140
-144
+140
-150
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
3
-0.88228-0.89199-0.80688
New Jersey Devils
Anaheim Ducks
63.7%
36.3%
-274
+254
-270
+245
-1½-115
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½-105
3
4
-1.27909-1.25776-1.01388
Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals
53.0%
47.0%
-140
+131
-140
+128
-1½+200
+1½-212
-1½+195
+1½-220
2
5
-0.85334-0.84586-0.75587
Arizona Coyotes
Ottawa Senators
40.9%
59.1%
+169
-183
+170
-180
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
5
3
-1.00775-1.00641-0.89294
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.57970 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.58056 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.60354
-0.02384
-0.02298

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/02/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (41-16-4, 86 pts)53.522.75.9112.8100.0%80.9%59.2%23.6%14.5%
2New York Rangers (40-17-4, 84 pts)52.124.15.8110.099.9%82.5%27.8%17.4%8.7%
3Boston Bruins (35-13-14, 84 pts)45.420.516.0106.9100.0%12.1%6.9%10.7%4.5%
4Vancouver Canucks (38-17-7, 83 pts)49.223.98.9107.399.7%65.5%23.2%13.4%6.5%
5Dallas Stars (37-17-9, 83 pts)48.223.210.6107.199.8%29.5%17.8%16.7%9.1%
6Winnipeg Jets (38-16-5, 81 pts)50.924.07.1108.9100.0%59.7%44.0%17.3%9.3%
7Colorado Avalanche (37-20-5, 79 pts)48.127.06.9103.298.9%10.4%5.5%10.6%4.8%
8Carolina Hurricanes (36-19-6, 78 pts)48.225.87.9104.499.9%17.3%2.9%17.7%8.8%
9Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8, 78 pts)47.124.810.1104.399.1%6.9%3.2%12.9%6.5%
10Edmonton Oilers (36-20-2, 74 pts)50.327.74.0104.699.7%30.2%9.1%22.6%12.6%
11Vegas Golden Knights (33-21-7, 73 pts)44.228.79.197.585.2%1.9%0.0%5.9%2.6%
12Detroit Red Wings (33-22-6, 72 pts)43.730.18.295.681.0%0.1%0.0%6.1%2.3%
13Nashville Predators (35-25-2, 72 pts)45.732.43.995.372.7%0.4%0.1%4.3%1.7%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (33-24-6, 72 pts)43.031.17.993.971.4%0.0%0.0%5.7%2.3%
15Philadelphia Flyers (32-23-7, 71 pts)41.931.09.192.961.3%0.1%0.0%3.1%1.0%
16Los Angeles Kings (30-19-10, 70 pts)42.827.012.297.786.9%2.3%0.3%5.4%2.4%
17New York Islanders (26-20-14, 66 pts)36.529.116.489.426.3%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
18Calgary Flames (30-25-5, 65 pts)41.833.17.190.827.5%0.1%0.0%2.6%1.0%
19St. Louis Blues (31-26-3, 65 pts)42.034.75.389.317.7%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
20Washington Capitals (28-22-9, 65 pts)38.032.311.787.717.5%0.0%0.0%0.4%0.1%
21New Jersey Devils (30-26-4, 64 pts)40.435.26.587.217.2%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.3%
22Seattle Kraken (26-23-11, 63 pts)37.331.413.387.98.2%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.2%
23Pittsburgh Penguins (27-23-8, 62 pts)38.932.610.588.222.2%0.1%0.0%1.0%0.3%
24Minnesota Wild (28-27-6, 62 pts)39.034.88.286.23.7%0.0%0.0%0.4%0.2%
25Buffalo Sabres (29-28-4, 62 pts)38.836.86.584.04.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (23-28-10, 56 pts)30.838.312.974.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Ottawa Senators (25-31-3, 53 pts)35.640.85.676.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Arizona Coyotes (24-31-5, 53 pts)33.940.57.575.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (20-30-10, 50 pts)28.740.512.770.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (22-35-3, 47 pts)30.745.55.867.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31San Jose Sharks (15-38-6, 36 pts)23.049.89.255.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (15-41-5, 35 pts)22.252.07.952.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.