NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 18, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (1-1-1)
Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-0)
Igor Shesterkin
Jack Campbell
42.8%
57.2%
+165
-180
+165
-180
2.75
3.53
6.28
o6-110
u6+101
o6-105
u6-110
Seattle Kraken (1-1-1)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-1)
Philipp Grubauer
Carter Hart
45.3%
54.7%
+115
-127
+120
-120
2.68
3.18
5.86
o5½-123
u5½+112
o5½-125
u6-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Anaheim Ducks (1-1-0)
Calgary Flames (0-1-0)
John Gibson
Jacob Markstrom
34.9%
65.1%
+178
-198
+175
-190
2.17
3.38
5.55
o5½+102
u5½-113
o5½-105
u5½-115
St. Louis Blues (1-0-0)
Arizona Coyotes (0-1-1)
Jordan Binnington
Carter Hutton
58.2%
41.8%
-165
+152
-170
+155
3.12
2.23
5.35
o5½-101
u5½-109
o5½-110
u5½+100
Games for Oct 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Canucks
Detroit Red Wings
40.3%
59.7%
-118
+107
-120
+110
1
3
-0.75162-0.76336-0.51666
Chicago Blackhawks
Pittsburgh Penguins
28.2%
71.8%
+120
-133
+120
-128
2
5
-0.58573-0.59314-0.33173
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
23.9%
76.1%
+235
-265
+230
-248
1
3
-0.34441-0.35432-0.27289
Seattle Kraken
Columbus Blue Jackets
51.6%
48.4%
-115
+104
-115
+105
1
2
-0.73771-0.74028-0.72668
Dallas Stars
Boston Bruins
41.6%
58.4%
+165
-175
+160
-174
1
3
-0.46561-0.47353-0.53816
New York Rangers
Montreal Canadiens
56.0%
44.0%
-103
-107
-103
-105
3
1
-0.70249-0.69788-0.57982
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.84838 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.83716 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-1.42109
-0.57271
-0.58393

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/17/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0-1, 5 pts)44.727.18.197.673.0%36.6%19.0%10.2%5.3%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (2-1-0, 4 pts)47.525.06.5101.490.8%58.6%34.9%23.0%14.3%
3Florida Panthers (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.727.17.298.684.4%42.4%21.1%12.8%7.0%
4Carolina Hurricanes (2-0-0, 4 pts)45.126.87.197.376.0%43.9%24.9%14.5%7.8%
5Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-0, 4 pts)43.629.97.594.769.5%27.8%12.0%6.4%3.4%
6Minnesota Wild (2-0-0, 4 pts)42.229.97.992.368.1%35.4%17.3%7.5%3.3%
7Edmonton Oilers (2-0-0, 4 pts)41.729.57.891.375.7%36.5%18.8%8.2%3.4%
8Columbus Blue Jackets (2-0-0, 4 pts)38.332.08.785.331.8%12.0%5.0%2.0%0.8%
9Buffalo Sabres (2-0-0, 4 pts)35.435.19.580.419.0%5.2%1.8%0.7%0.2%
10Ottawa Senators (2-1-0, 4 pts)35.234.89.079.520.1%5.9%1.8%0.6%0.2%
11Washington Capitals (1-0-1, 3 pts)42.528.08.593.563.6%31.7%15.6%8.1%3.9%
12New York Rangers (1-1-1, 3 pts)41.030.38.890.748.6%27.5%13.5%6.9%3.3%
13Seattle Kraken (1-1-1, 3 pts)38.231.69.285.657.5%27.1%12.0%4.6%1.9%
14Detroit Red Wings (1-0-1, 3 pts)36.234.710.182.520.9%5.1%1.6%0.5%0.2%
15Vancouver Canucks (1-1-1, 3 pts)35.633.79.880.935.4%13.2%5.3%1.6%0.5%
16Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0, 2 pts)46.027.16.998.986.7%59.4%38.7%22.5%12.6%
17Vegas Golden Knights (1-1-0, 2 pts)44.628.27.296.485.0%51.8%32.0%16.5%8.2%
18Boston Bruins (1-0-0, 2 pts)44.528.17.496.476.9%38.0%19.1%11.0%6.2%
19St. Louis Blues (1-0-0, 2 pts)41.231.48.490.857.0%29.6%12.6%4.8%1.9%
20Dallas Stars (1-2-0, 2 pts)40.731.47.989.456.9%32.8%15.1%6.7%3.0%
21New Jersey Devils (1-0-0, 2 pts)37.033.18.983.024.9%11.3%4.7%1.9%0.8%
22San Jose Sharks (1-0-0, 2 pts)36.033.99.181.136.6%16.9%6.4%1.9%0.5%
23Los Angeles Kings (1-1-0, 2 pts)35.835.29.080.729.4%10.2%3.9%1.0%0.3%
24Anaheim Ducks (1-1-0, 2 pts)35.135.79.379.427.4%8.3%2.9%0.8%0.2%
25Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-1, 1 pts)38.332.29.586.130.3%11.9%4.6%1.8%0.7%
26Chicago Blackhawks (0-2-1, 1 pts)37.233.59.383.733.9%15.1%6.1%2.5%0.9%
27Arizona Coyotes (0-1-1, 1 pts)34.835.010.179.821.4%7.7%3.2%0.8%0.3%
28New York Islanders (0-2-0, 0 pts)42.130.47.591.751.8%33.2%17.1%9.1%4.6%
29Nashville Predators (0-2-0, 0 pts)38.432.68.084.846.3%21.1%9.5%3.7%1.5%
30Calgary Flames (0-1-0, 0 pts)38.132.48.584.753.0%20.5%10.1%3.9%1.5%
31Winnipeg Jets (0-2-0, 0 pts)36.734.78.582.029.7%14.4%6.3%2.3%0.9%
32Montreal Canadiens (0-3-0, 0 pts)36.435.98.781.518.4%9.0%3.4%1.3%0.6%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.