NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 10, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Florida Panthers (26-11-4)
Dallas Stars (14-14-10)
Sergei Bobrovsky
Anton Khudobin
48.5%
51.5%
-110
+100
-105
-101
2.64
2.81
5.45
o5½+102
u5½-113
o5½+100
u5½-110
Boston Bruins (21-10-6)
Philadelphia Flyers (18-15-6)
Jeremy Swayman
Brian Elliott
57.5%
42.5%
-116
+105
-115
+110
3.24
2.43
5.67
o5½-109
u5½-101
o5½-115
u5½+100
Winnipeg Jets (24-13-3)
Montreal Canadiens (17-11-9)
Connor Hellebuyck
Carey Price
43.9%
56.1%
+113
-125
+117
-125
2.80
3.45
6.25
o5½-110
u5½+100
o5½-115
u5½-105
Chicago Blackhawks (18-18-5)
Columbus Blue Jackets (15-19-8)
Kevin Lankinen
Joonas Korpisalo
48.6%
51.4%
-116
+105
-114
+105
2.72
2.87
5.58
o5½-112
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Ottawa Senators (13-24-4)
Toronto Maple Leafs (27-10-3)
Matt Murray
Frederik Andersen
24.2%
75.8%
+290
-332
+297
-330
2.51
4.27
6.78
o6½+109
u6½-120
o6½+110
u6½-120
Detroit Red Wings (13-23-6)
Carolina Hurricanes (27-9-3)
Thomas Greiss
Petr Mrazek
21.0%
79.0%
+297
-340
+311
-340
1.72
3.80
5.51
o5½+105
u5½-115
o5½+100
u5½-115
Tampa Bay Lightning (27-11-2)
Nashville Predators (22-18-1)
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Juuse Saros
67.5%
32.5%
-175
+165
-180
+169
3.36
2.07
5.42
o5½+111
u5½-122
o5½+105
u5½-120
Minnesota Wild (24-13-2)
St. Louis Blues (18-16-6)
Cam Talbot
Ville Husso
50.2%
49.8%
-115
+104
-115
+107
2.72
2.70
5.42
o5½-105
u5½-105
o5½-110
u5½-105
Edmonton Oilers (25-14-2)
Calgary Flames (16-21-3)
Mike Smith
Jacob Markstrom
56.4%
43.6%
-109
-101
-109
+100
3.56
2.87
6.43
o6-102
u6-108
o6-110
u6-105
Los Angeles Kings (15-18-6)
San Jose Sharks (18-17-4)
Jonathan Quick
Devan Dubnyk
46.4%
53.6%
+122
-133
+120
-129
2.65
3.04
5.69
o5½-115
u5½+107
o5½-115
u5½+100
Games for Apr 9, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Rangers
New York Islanders
42.9%
57.1%
+120
-130
+120
-130
4
1
-0.80802-0.80802-0.84655
Dallas Stars
Chicago Blackhawks
56.9%
43.1%
-110
+100
-109
+100
5
1
-0.67015-0.67229-0.56338
Nashville Predators
Detroit Red Wings
61.7%
38.3%
-144
+130
-143
+135
7
1
-0.55199-0.54412-0.48281
Edmonton Oilers
Ottawa Senators
71.4%
28.6%
-195
+175
-185
+175
3
1
-0.43833-0.44482-0.33683
New Jersey Devils
Buffalo Sabres
50.4%
49.6%
-121
+110
-120
+110
6
3
-0.62581-0.62755-0.68496
Philadelphia Flyers
New York Islanders
38.6%
61.4%
+160
-170
+150
-159
2
3
-0.47678-0.50173-0.48789
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.51583 
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.51660 
DRatings75-2 (0.714)0-0.53809
-0.02227
-0.02149

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/09/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionStanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (27-9-4, 58 pts)37.013.75.279.3100.0%71.7%11.8%
2Carolina Hurricanes (27-9-3, 57 pts)37.414.24.479.2100.0%56.4%13.4%
3Toronto Maple Leafs (27-10-3, 57 pts)36.615.14.377.5100.0%87.3%9.6%
4Tampa Bay Lightning (27-11-2, 56 pts)37.015.73.277.3100.0%37.4%20.5%
5New York Islanders (26-11-4, 56 pts)34.516.25.374.398.8%32.8%7.1%
6Washington Capitals (26-11-4, 56 pts)33.816.85.573.098.4%24.8%3.8%
7Florida Panthers (26-11-4, 56 pts)33.716.85.572.999.9%6.2%3.9%
8Vegas Golden Knights (26-11-2, 54 pts)36.416.23.476.2100.0%26.1%7.2%
9Pittsburgh Penguins (26-13-2, 54 pts)35.317.53.273.898.4%26.4%7.4%
10Edmonton Oilers (25-14-2, 52 pts)32.619.13.368.699.6%5.8%3.5%
11Winnipeg Jets (24-13-3, 51 pts)31.018.54.566.599.9%5.7%1.5%
12Minnesota Wild (24-13-2, 50 pts)33.518.93.670.699.1%2.2%1.2%
13Boston Bruins (21-10-6, 48 pts)32.216.17.672.195.3%16.0%6.0%
14Nashville Predators (22-18-1, 45 pts)28.924.52.660.461.0%0.0%0.7%
15Montreal Canadiens (17-11-9, 43 pts)26.918.211.064.795.2%1.2%1.6%
16New York Rangers (19-16-5, 43 pts)27.821.76.562.07.5%0.0%0.2%
17Arizona Coyotes (19-17-5, 43 pts)25.723.56.858.235.0%0.0%0.1%
18Philadelphia Flyers (18-15-6, 42 pts)26.022.27.959.81.6%0.0%0.0%
19St. Louis Blues (18-16-6, 42 pts)25.422.87.858.737.6%0.0%0.1%
20Chicago Blackhawks (18-18-5, 41 pts)24.724.66.856.112.6%0.0%0.0%
21San Jose Sharks (18-17-4, 40 pts)25.624.46.057.222.2%0.0%0.1%
22Dallas Stars (14-14-10, 38 pts)22.921.111.957.825.4%0.0%0.4%
23Columbus Blue Jackets (15-19-8, 38 pts)21.425.09.652.41.1%0.0%0.0%
24Los Angeles Kings (15-18-6, 36 pts)22.725.38.053.46.1%0.0%0.0%
25Calgary Flames (16-21-3, 35 pts)22.126.44.548.71.2%0.0%0.0%
26Vancouver Canucks (16-18-3, 35 pts)22.123.54.448.64.1%0.0%0.0%
27New Jersey Devils (14-19-6, 34 pts)20.427.38.249.10.0%0.0%0.0%
28Detroit Red Wings (13-23-6, 32 pts)18.030.17.944.00.0%0.0%0.0%
29Anaheim Ducks (12-22-7, 31 pts)17.629.49.044.10.0%0.0%0.0%
30Ottawa Senators (13-24-4, 30 pts)18.731.36.043.50.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (9-25-6, 24 pts)14.033.78.336.30.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.