Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best Line | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators Anaheim Ducks | 42.0% 58.0% | +120 -131 +120 -130 | 2 5 | -0.58648-0.58819 | -0.54418 | |
| New York Rangers Dallas Stars | 39.4% 60.6% | +147 -163 +150 -165 | 4 2 | -0.93512-0.94500 | -0.93042 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Detroit Red Wings | 64.3% 35.7% | -235 +220 -250 +230 | 5 2 | -0.36458-0.34866 | -0.44086 | |
| Nashville Predators Montreal Canadiens | 48.3% 51.7% | -110 +100 -110 +100 | 4 2 | -0.66963-0.66963 | -0.72672 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins New Jersey Devils | 51.6% 48.4% | -170 +154 -165 +150 | 5 2 | -0.48133-0.49213 | -0.66209 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs | 45.6% 54.4% | +106 -115 +105 -110 | 1 2 | -0.64489-0.65776 | -0.60923 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | Log Loss | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Boston Bruins (44-14-12, 100 pts) | 51.5 | 17.6 | 12.9 | 116.0 | 100.0% | 96.2% | 95.2% | 17.2% | 8.7% |
| 2 | St. Louis Blues (42-19-10, 94 pts) | 48.2 | 22.8 | 11.0 | 107.5 | 100.0% | 58.2% | 57.8% | 15.9% | 7.0% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-6, 92 pts) | 50.6 | 24.5 | 7.0 | 108.1 | 100.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 13.6% | 7.4% |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche (42-20-8, 92 pts) | 48.5 | 24.3 | 9.1 | 106.2 | 100.0% | 41.6% | 41.4% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| 5 | Washington Capitals (41-20-8, 90 pts) | 48.6 | 24.2 | 9.2 | 106.5 | 99.8% | 61.6% | 1.0% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| 6 | Philadelphia Flyers (41-21-7, 89 pts) | 48.0 | 25.7 | 8.3 | 104.4 | 100.0% | 29.2% | 0.4% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins (40-23-6, 86 pts) | 47.1 | 27.5 | 7.3 | 101.6 | 98.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| 8 | Vegas Golden Knights (39-24-8, 86 pts) | 45.3 | 27.8 | 8.9 | 99.5 | 99.8% | 75.8% | 0.6% | 14.6% | 7.3% |
| 9 | Edmonton Oilers (37-25-9, 83 pts) | 42.5 | 29.4 | 10.1 | 95.1 | 95.0% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| 10 | Dallas Stars (37-24-8, 82 pts) | 44.2 | 28.6 | 9.2 | 97.6 | 93.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| 11 | Carolina Hurricanes (38-25-5, 81 pts) | 45.4 | 30.1 | 6.5 | 97.3 | 78.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| 12 | Toronto Maple Leafs (36-25-9, 81 pts) | 42.6 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 95.3 | 75.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| 13 | Columbus Blue Jackets (33-22-15, 81 pts) | 38.4 | 27.2 | 16.4 | 93.2 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| 14 | New York Islanders (35-23-10, 80 pts) | 41.9 | 28.6 | 11.5 | 95.4 | 52.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| 15 | Winnipeg Jets (37-28-6, 80 pts) | 41.9 | 32.8 | 7.2 | 91.1 | 45.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| 16 | Calgary Flames (36-27-7, 79 pts) | 42.2 | 31.6 | 8.2 | 92.6 | 65.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| 17 | New York Rangers (37-28-5, 79 pts) | 42.6 | 33.1 | 6.4 | 91.5 | 18.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 18 | Florida Panthers (35-26-8, 78 pts) | 42.0 | 30.8 | 9.2 | 93.3 | 49.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| 19 | Nashville Predators (35-26-8, 78 pts) | 41.8 | 30.9 | 9.3 | 92.9 | 67.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| 20 | Vancouver Canucks (36-27-6, 78 pts) | 42.4 | 32.3 | 7.3 | 92.1 | 62.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 21 | Minnesota Wild (35-27-7, 77 pts) | 41.7 | 32.0 | 8.3 | 91.6 | 57.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 22 | Arizona Coyotes (33-29-8, 74 pts) | 38.9 | 33.8 | 9.3 | 87.1 | 12.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| 23 | Chicago Blackhawks (32-30-8, 72 pts) | 37.9 | 34.9 | 9.3 | 85.0 | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 24 | Montreal Canadiens (31-31-9, 71 pts) | 36.5 | 35.4 | 10.1 | 83.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Buffalo Sabres (30-31-8, 68 pts) | 35.5 | 36.9 | 9.6 | 80.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils (28-29-12, 68 pts) | 33.3 | 35.0 | 13.7 | 80.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Anaheim Ducks (29-33-9, 67 pts) | 33.8 | 37.9 | 10.3 | 78.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Kings (29-35-6, 64 pts) | 34.3 | 40.4 | 7.3 | 75.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | San Jose Sharks (29-36-5, 63 pts) | 34.2 | 41.4 | 6.5 | 74.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Ottawa Senators (25-34-12, 62 pts) | 29.0 | 39.5 | 13.5 | 71.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Detroit Red Wings (17-49-5, 39 pts) | 20.1 | 55.2 | 6.7 | 46.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
Related Blog Posts
Betting Analysis Methodology
A brief explainer on how to use our predictive analysis to get an advantage in the betting markets.
Sports Betting Glossary and Slang
The sports betting glossary provides a list of terms and phrases that are used in the sports betting industry. This terminology is used throughout our site.
Top 5 Las Vegas Sportsbooks
We discuss the best sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip.
Advantage Betting Using Implied Margin
Implied margin is one of the many ways in which a sharp bettor can find an advantage over a sportbook.
Explaining Log Loss
A quick introduction to the analytic term that is used to judge accuracy.