NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Stars
Los Angeles Kings
52.0%
48.0%
-102
-107
+100
-105
-1½+250
-1½+230
-1½+245
-1½+230
4
5
-0.68152-0.68116-0.73409
Colorado Avalanche
Edmonton Oilers
39.8%
60.2%
+160
-176
+163
-175
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
5
4
-0.97755-0.98345-0.92186
Nashville Predators
Chicago Blackhawks
57.6%
42.4%
-200
+186
-200
+182
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-138
2
6
-1.06700-1.05780-0.85774
New York Islanders
Winnipeg Jets
35.4%
64.6%
+165
-180
+170
-179
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+146
3
4
-0.46185-0.45571-0.43696
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
37.2%
62.8%
+184
-202
+182
-200
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
2
-1.06459-1.05780-0.98916
Vancouver Canucks
San Jose Sharks
58.9%
41.1%
-180
+168
-185
+174
-1½+133
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-140
2
1
-0.45770-0.44612-0.52987
Toronto Maple Leafs
Seattle Kraken
55.3%
44.7%
-152
+142
-150
+140
-1½+165
+1½-178
-1½+170
+1½-185
3
1
-0.52182-0.52736-0.59251
Colorado Avalanche
Calgary Flames
57.2%
42.8%
-150
+137
-149
+142
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+170
+1½-185
4
2
-0.53253-0.52506-0.55886
Florida Panthers
St. Louis Blues
58.5%
41.5%
-165
+149
-165
+152
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
3
2
-0.49774-0.49307-0.53536
Carolina Hurricanes
Minnesota Wild
58.4%
41.6%
-183
+165
-180
+168
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
1
2
-0.99826-1.00169-0.87755
Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
43.0%
57.0%
-120
+108
-120
+112
-1½+214
+1½-245
+1½-300
-1½+250
3
1
-0.63203-0.62315-0.84364
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.1%
56.9%
+142
-155
+144
-157
+1½-173
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
5
-0.51869-0.51336-0.56322
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
58.5%
41.5%
-159
+145
-155
+145
-1½+165
+1½-172
-1½+165
+1½-175
4
3
-0.50974-0.51371-0.53555
Utah Hockey Club
Columbus Blue Jackets
50.6%
49.4%
-158
+144
-150
+146
-1½+162
+1½-176
-1½+170
+1½-180
3
2
-0.51236-0.51730-0.68063
Montreal Canadiens
Los Angeles Kings
35.0%
65.0%
+221
-235
+222
-240
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-109
-1½+105
3
6
-0.36749-0.36462-0.43091
Edmonton Oilers
Chicago Blackhawks
64.7%
35.3%
-265
+242
-270
+240
-1½-110
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-105
4
3
-0.33843-0.33865-0.43504
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/09/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (39-14-3, 81 pts)54.322.55.2113.8100.0%71.9%42.2%26.3%15.7%
2Washington Capitals (36-11-8, 80 pts)52.019.710.3114.4100.0%67.9%37.6%21.2%11.0%
3Dallas Stars (35-18-2, 72 pts)50.727.04.3105.799.9%60.0%31.5%18.3%10.1%
4Edmonton Oilers (34-17-4, 72 pts)49.526.16.4105.3100.0%64.4%39.5%20.3%11.1%
5Vegas Golden Knights (33-17-6, 72 pts)47.526.08.5103.499.5%55.1%25.8%11.1%5.3%
6Florida Panthers (34-20-3, 71 pts)48.528.35.2102.299.7%59.3%33.4%17.5%9.2%
7Carolina Hurricanes (33-19-4, 70 pts)47.927.76.4102.399.6%54.8%29.1%15.8%7.8%
8Minnesota Wild (33-19-4, 70 pts)46.528.96.699.697.8%34.5%12.9%4.8%1.9%
9Toronto Maple Leafs (33-20-2, 68 pts)47.829.64.6100.398.7%52.2%25.5%11.9%5.4%
10Colorado Avalanche (33-22-2, 68 pts)47.630.34.199.397.4%45.2%22.7%11.0%5.5%
11New Jersey Devils (31-20-6, 68 pts)44.728.98.497.896.7%43.6%21.5%10.7%4.8%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (31-20-4, 66 pts)46.129.46.598.896.0%51.4%27.3%13.5%5.9%
13Los Angeles Kings (29-17-7, 65 pts)44.727.59.899.296.9%40.4%17.0%5.8%2.5%
14Vancouver Canucks (26-18-11, 63 pts)39.029.114.091.965.5%18.4%5.7%1.6%0.5%
15Ottawa Senators (29-23-4, 62 pts)43.332.36.493.074.7%29.2%11.4%4.8%1.6%
16Detroit Red Wings (28-22-5, 61 pts)40.133.88.188.232.6%12.9%3.9%1.5%0.4%
17Calgary Flames (26-21-8, 60 pts)38.032.911.187.122.3%6.5%1.7%0.4%0.1%
18Columbus Blue Jackets (26-22-8, 60 pts)37.833.310.986.419.2%4.3%1.5%0.5%0.1%
19Boston Bruins (27-24-6, 60 pts)38.834.58.786.420.5%5.1%1.7%0.6%0.2%
20New York Rangers (27-24-4, 58 pts)40.734.66.788.135.9%11.5%4.6%1.5%0.6%
21New York Islanders (25-23-7, 57 pts)38.134.19.986.018.9%5.3%1.9%0.6%0.2%
22Utah Hockey Club (24-23-9, 57 pts)36.833.311.885.513.1%2.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
23St. Louis Blues (25-26-5, 55 pts)37.037.08.082.03.3%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
24Montreal Canadiens (25-26-5, 55 pts)36.637.48.081.23.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
25Philadelphia Flyers (24-26-7, 55 pts)35.336.99.880.31.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
26Pittsburgh Penguins (23-25-9, 55 pts)34.236.011.880.11.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Anaheim Ducks (24-24-6, 54 pts)36.136.59.481.63.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (24-29-4, 52 pts)35.040.26.976.80.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Buffalo Sabres (22-27-5, 49 pts)34.739.18.277.50.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (19-28-7, 45 pts)31.940.010.173.90.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (17-31-7, 41 pts)27.644.010.465.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (15-35-7, 37 pts)23.548.110.457.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.