NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 1, 2022

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vegas Golden Knights (17-6-1)
Pittsburgh Penguins (11-8-4)
Unknown
Unknown
48.4%
51.6%
+107
-115
+105
-112
+1½-240
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+210
3.21
3.37
6.58
o6½+104
u6½-113
o6-125
u6½-115
Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1)
Buffalo Sabres (9-12-1)
Unknown
Unknown
67.5%
32.5%
-195
+173
-200
+175
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
3.96
2.66
6.62
o6½-103
u6½-110
o6½-105
u6½-115
Tampa Bay Lightning (13-8-1)
Philadelphia Flyers (8-10-5)
Unknown
Unknown
66.2%
33.8%
-210
+188
-210
+195
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-130
3.61
2.36
5.97
o6-108
u6-102
o6-110
u6-110
Nashville Predators (10-9-2)
New Jersey Devils (19-4-0)
Unknown
Unknown
43.3%
56.7%
+186
-200
+180
-188
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+127
2.80
3.53
6.33
o6-117
u6+106
o6½+100
u6+105
Overall Bet Value Active
Edmonton Oilers (12-10-0)
Minnesota Wild (10-9-2)
Unknown
Unknown
42.5%
57.5%
+120
-133
+120
-135
+1½-193
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
2.88
3.69
6.57
o6½-123
u6½+107
o6½-125
u6½+105
Carolina Hurricanes (12-6-5)
St. Louis Blues (11-11-0)
Unknown
Unknown
54.3%
45.7%
-131
+119
-130
+120
-1½+195
+1½-217
-1½+185
+1½-210
3.22
2.75
5.97
o6+107
u6-115
o6+100
u6-120
Anaheim Ducks (6-15-2)
Dallas Stars (13-6-4)
Unknown
Unknown
30.2%
69.8%
+245
-275
+250
-280
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-112
2.38
3.75
6.13
o6-120
u6+109
o6-120
u6+100
Montreal Canadiens (11-10-1)
Calgary Flames (10-9-3)
Unknown
Unknown
30.4%
69.6%
+250
-283
+250
-280
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½-103
-1½-110
2.51
3.89
6.40
o6-118
u6+109
o6-120
u6+100
Washington Capitals (10-11-3)
Seattle Kraken (14-5-3)
Unknown
Unknown
49.8%
50.2%
+108
-118
+110
-120
+1½-240
-1½+209
+1½-230
-1½+210
3.01
3.04
6.05
o6+100
u6-105
o6-105
u6-110
Florida Panthers (10-9-4)
Vancouver Canucks (9-11-3)
Unknown
Unknown
53.0%
47.0%
-133
+123
-129
+120
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
3.52
3.20
6.72
o6½-130
u7-135
o6½-135
u7-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Coyotes (7-10-3)
Los Angeles Kings (12-9-4)
Unknown
Unknown
34.0%
66.0%
+218
-244
+224
-250
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
2.48
3.72
6.20
o6-113
u6+102
o6-115
u6-105
Games for Nov 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
Calgary Flames
41.5%
58.5%
+136
-149
+140
-149
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
6
-0.53539-0.52846-0.53566
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
57.1%
42.9%
-130
+120
-125
+115
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
0
5
-0.80802-0.78592-0.84579
Anaheim Ducks
Nashville Predators
34.5%
65.5%
+200
-224
+204
-220
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+107
1
2
-0.39349-0.39102-0.42289
New York Islanders
Philadelphia Flyers
62.5%
37.5%
-175
+168
-175
+175
-1½+150
+1½-158
-1½+146
+1½-150
1
3
-0.99528-1.01159-0.97992
Carolina Hurricanes
Pittsburgh Penguins
51.0%
49.0%
-101
-109
+103
-112
+1½-240
-1½+225
+1½-240
-1½+213
3
2
-0.71192-0.72873-0.67338
Tampa Bay Lightning
Boston Bruins
41.1%
58.9%
+155
-169
+160
-165
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.48503-0.48102-0.52928
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.56271 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.55864 
DRatings44-0 (1.000)0-0.48480
0.07790
0.07384

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/29/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (19-3-0, 38 pts)54.522.45.0114.199.8%65.6%38.7%24.6%14.4%
2New Jersey Devils (19-4-0, 38 pts)49.826.35.9105.497.4%47.4%22.5%9.3%4.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (17-6-1, 35 pts)48.327.06.7103.394.5%52.3%27.5%13.0%5.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (14-5-5, 33 pts)46.525.010.5103.594.7%48.6%23.7%13.2%7.1%
5Seattle Kraken (14-5-3, 31 pts)43.729.19.296.678.4%30.6%12.4%4.8%1.7%
6Dallas Stars (13-6-4, 30 pts)44.727.79.799.085.4%39.9%17.6%8.7%3.8%
7New York Islanders (15-9-0, 30 pts)45.530.75.896.876.5%36.0%17.5%7.5%3.4%
8Carolina Hurricanes (12-6-5, 29 pts)45.326.410.3100.888.1%46.9%25.9%12.1%6.5%
9Winnipeg Jets (14-6-1, 29 pts)46.728.46.8100.389.0%43.1%19.2%8.9%4.1%
10Los Angeles Kings (12-9-4, 28 pts)39.832.010.189.844.1%16.1%6.7%2.6%0.8%
11Tampa Bay Lightning (13-8-1, 27 pts)46.628.96.599.785.5%43.5%21.1%11.7%6.3%
12Pittsburgh Penguins (11-8-4, 26 pts)42.629.89.794.866.5%33.8%16.2%7.0%3.0%
13Detroit Red Wings (11-6-4, 26 pts)37.733.211.186.623.5%7.6%2.2%0.5%0.2%
14Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1, 25 pts)49.125.96.1104.297.3%64.4%42.0%27.1%16.1%
15Edmonton Oilers (12-10-0, 24 pts)45.131.35.695.775.5%43.4%23.4%11.2%5.2%
16Florida Panthers (10-9-4, 24 pts)41.630.69.893.159.5%26.9%12.6%5.9%3.2%
17New York Rangers (10-9-4, 24 pts)40.731.310.091.448.0%23.9%11.6%5.0%2.2%
18Calgary Flames (10-9-3, 23 pts)43.530.08.595.473.3%40.2%21.4%10.6%4.8%
19Washington Capitals (10-11-3, 23 pts)39.433.69.187.832.0%14.4%6.3%2.7%1.2%
20Montreal Canadiens (11-10-1, 23 pts)36.537.28.381.39.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
21Minnesota Wild (10-9-2, 22 pts)41.931.98.192.054.7%26.3%11.9%5.4%2.5%
22St. Louis Blues (11-11-0, 22 pts)41.833.96.389.944.8%22.4%10.0%4.5%2.1%
23Nashville Predators (10-9-2, 22 pts)38.233.48.484.830.2%10.7%4.0%1.6%0.5%
24Vancouver Canucks (9-11-3, 21 pts)38.334.59.285.824.5%9.1%3.4%1.4%0.6%
25Philadelphia Flyers (8-10-5, 21 pts)32.137.512.476.63.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26San Jose Sharks (8-13-4, 20 pts)31.639.411.074.21.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Buffalo Sabres (9-12-1, 19 pts)36.637.77.880.97.9%1.7%0.6%0.2%0.1%
28Ottawa Senators (8-12-1, 17 pts)36.038.17.979.96.4%2.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%
29Arizona Coyotes (7-10-3, 17 pts)33.538.010.477.55.5%1.5%0.4%0.2%0.0%
30Columbus Blue Jackets (7-12-2, 16 pts)32.339.49.373.81.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (6-11-4, 16 pts)30.639.811.672.81.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
32Anaheim Ducks (6-15-2, 14 pts)29.543.29.468.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.