NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 23, 2023

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota Wild (41-22-8)
Philadelphia Flyers (26-32-12)
Unknown
Unknown
60.6%
39.4%
-151
+138
-150
+140
-1½+167
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-178
3.44
2.39
5.83
o6+105
u6-115
o6+100
u6-115
Toronto Maple Leafs (42-19-9)
Florida Panthers (36-28-7)
Unknown
Unknown
49.8%
50.2%
+102
-110
-100
-108
+1½-230
-1½+203
+1½-210
-1½+210
3.29
3.31
6.60
o7-108
u7+100
o7-110
u7-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Rangers (41-20-10)
Carolina Hurricanes (46-15-8)
Unknown
Unknown
43.1%
56.9%
+125
-135
+125
-134
+1½-207
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+186
2.58
3.33
5.91
o6+104
u6-115
o6+100
u6-120
Chicago Blackhawks (24-40-6)
Washington Capitals (33-31-8)
Unknown
Unknown
33.2%
66.8%
+210
-235
+210
-234
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
2.37
3.64
6.01
o6½+112
u6+102
o6½+105
u6½-125
Montreal Canadiens (28-37-6)
Boston Bruins (54-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
20.3%
79.7%
+331
-375
+340
-388
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-155
1.95
4.09
6.04
o6½-105
u6½-105
o6½-110
u6½-105
Tampa Bay Lightning (42-24-6)
Ottawa Senators (34-32-5)
Unknown
Unknown
54.1%
45.9%
-140
+127
-140
+130
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
3.47
3.03
6.50
o6½-115
u6½+104
o6½-120
u6½+100
St. Louis Blues (31-33-6)
Detroit Red Wings (31-30-9)
Unknown
Unknown
46.7%
53.3%
+115
-124
+115
-122
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-210
-1½+200
2.95
3.30
6.25
o6½+104
u6½-115
o6½+100
u6½-115
Seattle Kraken (39-24-7)
Nashville Predators (35-26-8)
Unknown
Unknown
50.5%
49.5%
-123
+112
-125
+115
-1½+200
+1½-227
-1½+197
+1½-220
3.06
3.00
6.06
o6-115
u6+104
o6-120
u6+100
Pittsburgh Penguins (34-26-10)
Dallas Stars (38-19-14)
Unknown
Unknown
38.8%
61.2%
+143
-158
+135
-155
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-185
-1½+165
2.54
3.61
6.15
o6½-103
u6½-105
o6½-105
u6½-115
Vegas Golden Knights (44-21-6)
Calgary Flames (32-25-15)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
+127
-134
+125
-135
+1½-202
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+180
2.98
3.07
6.05
o6-115
u6½-115
o6½+100
u6½-115
Winnipeg Jets (40-29-3)
Anaheim Ducks (23-38-10)
Unknown
Unknown
64.0%
36.0%
-217
+201
-220
+205
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-135
3.74
2.57
6.31
o6-115
u6+104
o6-120
u6+100
San Jose Sharks (19-37-15)
Vancouver Canucks (31-34-5)
Unknown
Unknown
39.8%
60.2%
+147
-162
+148
-163
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+155
2.83
3.87
6.70
o6½-133
u6½+121
o6½-130
u7-135
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 22, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
29.1%
70.9%
+265
-300
+295
-300
+1½+127
-1½-138
+1½+135
-1½-135
4
5
-0.31137-0.29083-0.34435
Chicago Blackhawks
Colorado Avalanche
27.4%
72.6%
+325
-355
+335
-365
+1½+147
-1½-160
+1½+160
-1½-160
0
5
-0.26357-0.25687-0.32037
Florida Panthers
Detroit Red Wings
56.0%
44.0%
-190
+176
-190
+175
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
2
-0.44020-0.44150-0.57935
Ottawa Senators
Pittsburgh Penguins
41.2%
58.8%
+155
-170
+165
-164
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
1
-0.95763-0.97313-0.88637
Vancouver Canucks
Anaheim Ducks
54.0%
46.0%
-125
+115
-124
+118
-1½+183
+1½-207
-1½+190
+1½-200
2
1
-0.60825-0.60358-0.61548
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues
51.1%
48.9%
-130
+127
-137
+130
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+176
+1½-190
0
3
-0.82551-0.84567-0.71500
Nashville Predators
New York Rangers
38.6%
61.4%
+208
-230
+210
-230
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
7
-0.38243-0.38037-0.48827
New Jersey Devils
Tampa Bay Lightning
49.1%
50.9%
+108
-113
+105
-113
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+195
5
2
-0.74360-0.73601-0.71086
Columbus Blue Jackets
Vegas Golden Knights
30.6%
69.4%
+265
-300
+300
-320
+1½+112
-1½-123
+1½+122
-1½-125
2
7
-0.31137-0.28377-0.36590
Washington Capitals
Minnesota Wild
44.4%
55.6%
+121
-133
+125
-133
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
5
-0.58372-0.57583-0.58623
Boston Bruins
Buffalo Sabres
61.2%
38.8%
-170
+157
-170
+155
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
7
0
-0.48119-0.48418-0.49124
New York Islanders
San Jose Sharks
59.9%
40.1%
-176
+165
-180
+170
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-160
4
1
-0.46485-0.45497-0.51201
Chicago Blackhawks
Arizona Coyotes
44.0%
56.0%
+129
-143
+132
-135
+1½-200
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+176
2
4
-0.55506-0.55979-0.57916
Vancouver Canucks
Los Angeles Kings
39.4%
60.6%
+166
-185
+170
-185
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
2
-1.00307-1.01255-0.93120
Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames
49.8%
50.2%
+118
-129
+118
-125
+1½-225
-1½+198
+1½-223
-1½+200
6
5
-0.80111-0.79350-0.69742
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
41.4%
58.6%
+130
-143
+135
-140
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+180
0
6
-0.55321-0.54782-0.53432
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.54546 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.54120 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.59126
-0.04580
-0.05005

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/21/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Boston Bruins (54-11-5, 113 pts)62.214.05.8130.1100.0%79.5%58.9%40.2%30.6%
2Carolina Hurricanes (46-15-8, 100 pts)53.919.19.0116.8100.0%67.8%40.2%19.1%12.2%
3New Jersey Devils (45-18-8, 98 pts)51.421.69.0111.7100.0%53.4%25.9%10.5%6.1%
4Vegas Golden Knights (44-21-6, 94 pts)49.725.27.1106.4100.0%55.2%29.4%15.5%5.5%
5Toronto Maple Leafs (42-19-9, 93 pts)48.423.410.2107.0100.0%57.1%19.9%9.3%5.0%
6New York Rangers (41-20-10, 92 pts)47.223.811.0105.4100.0%47.3%22.6%9.3%5.2%
7Los Angeles Kings (41-20-10, 92 pts)46.924.011.1104.999.9%50.4%24.4%12.1%4.3%
8Dallas Stars (38-19-14, 90 pts)44.322.715.0103.799.9%51.4%25.4%12.7%4.3%
9Minnesota Wild (41-22-8, 90 pts)47.125.99.0103.399.9%49.9%24.8%12.5%4.5%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (42-24-6, 90 pts)46.928.07.1100.999.9%42.8%13.0%5.2%2.5%
11Colorado Avalanche (41-22-6, 88 pts)48.826.17.1104.8100.0%58.1%32.3%17.1%6.8%
12Edmonton Oilers (40-23-8, 88 pts)46.526.68.9101.999.7%52.7%28.3%15.0%5.9%
13Seattle Kraken (39-24-7, 85 pts)45.628.38.199.496.2%40.8%18.0%8.0%2.4%
14Winnipeg Jets (40-29-3, 83 pts)45.432.64.094.770.0%29.2%12.7%5.3%1.5%
15New York Islanders (37-27-8, 82 pts)42.330.79.093.682.0%23.3%8.7%2.6%1.1%
16Florida Panthers (36-28-7, 79 pts)41.932.08.191.965.0%18.7%7.4%2.7%1.2%
17Calgary Flames (32-25-15, 79 pts)37.728.415.991.314.2%5.8%2.4%1.0%0.2%
18Nashville Predators (35-26-8, 78 pts)41.031.59.591.520.2%6.5%2.4%0.8%0.2%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (34-26-10, 78 pts)40.030.711.391.346.3%9.6%3.2%1.1%0.4%
20Washington Capitals (33-31-8, 74 pts)37.835.19.184.82.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
21Ottawa Senators (34-32-5, 73 pts)39.136.86.284.31.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (33-31-6, 72 pts)38.536.27.384.32.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Detroit Red Wings (31-30-9, 71 pts)36.335.310.483.10.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (31-33-6, 68 pts)36.438.37.480.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Vancouver Canucks (31-34-5, 67 pts)37.038.86.280.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Arizona Coyotes (27-33-11, 65 pts)31.638.112.375.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Philadelphia Flyers (26-32-12, 64 pts)31.137.413.575.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (28-37-6, 62 pts)32.242.37.571.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Anaheim Ducks (23-38-10, 56 pts)27.043.511.565.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Chicago Blackhawks (24-40-6, 54 pts)28.645.97.564.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31San Jose Sharks (19-37-15, 53 pts)22.942.716.562.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Columbus Blue Jackets (22-41-7, 51 pts)26.347.18.661.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.