NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 18, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-2-0)
Detroit Red Wings (1-1-0)
Elvis Merzlikins
Thomas Greiss
65.8%
34.2%
-160
+145
-160
+146
3.39
2.15
5.54
o5½-105
u5½-105
o5½-105
u5½-110
Boston Bruins (1-0-1)
New York Islanders (1-1-0)
Tuukka Rask
Semyon Varlamov
62.1%
37.9%
-130
+118
-125
+115
3.27
2.17
5.44
o5½+109
u5½-120
o5½+105
u5½-125
Winnipeg Jets (1-0-0)
Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-0)
Connor Hellebuyck
Frederik Andersen
36.4%
63.6%
+140
-150
+143
-155
2.49
3.65
6.14
o6½-105
u6½-105
o6½-110
u6½-105
Buffalo Sabres (0-2-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (2-0-0)
Linus Ullmark
Carter Hart
33.5%
66.5%
+145
-154
+140
-148
2.19
3.45
5.63
o6-105
u6-105
o6-105
u6-110
San Jose Sharks (1-1-0)
St. Louis Blues (1-1-0)
Martin Jones
Jordan Binnington
39.9%
60.1%
+165
-181
+169
-180
2.43
3.46
5.89
o6+100
u6-110
o6+100
u6-110
Carolina Hurricanes (1-1-0)
Nashville Predators (2-0-0)
Petr Mrazek
Juuse Saros
53.2%
46.8%
-117
+106
-120
+111
2.91
2.56
5.47
o5½-115
u5½+109
o5½-110
u5½+100
Montreal Canadiens (1-0-1)
Edmonton Oilers (1-2-0)
Carey Price
Mikko Koskinen
53.8%
46.2%
-106
-104
-105
-105
3.40
2.99
6.38
o6½-102
u6½-108
o6½-110
u6½-110
Vancouver Canucks (1-2-0)
Calgary Flames (1-0-1)
Braden Holtby
Jacob Markstrom
42.7%
57.3%
+120
-130
+125
-133
2.52
3.30
5.82
o6-110
u6+100
o6-110
u6-110
Minnesota Wild (2-0-0)
Anaheim Ducks (0-1-1)
Cam Talbot
John Gibson
61.4%
38.6%
-121
+110
-126
+120
3.40
2.32
5.72
o5½+100
u5½-110
o5½-105
u5½-115
Arizona Coyotes (1-0-1)
Vegas Golden Knights (2-0-0)
Darcy Kuemper
Robin Lehner
29.9%
70.1%
+171
-190
+175
-185
2.32
3.70
6.02
o6+109
u6-120
o5½-120
u6-115
Games for Jan 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Hurricanes
Detroit Red Wings
80.5%
19.5%
-225
+205
-221
+205
2
4
-1.13513-1.13134-1.63650
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
48.9%
51.1%
-115
+105
-107
+105
0
5
-0.74028-0.72256-0.67103
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
72.6%
27.4%
-200
+180
-205
+190
3
2
-0.42898-0.41412-0.32072
Montreal Canadiens
Edmonton Oilers
47.6%
52.4%
+104
-110
-102
+100
5
1
-0.72685-0.68824-0.74141
San Jose Sharks
Arizona Coyotes
50.4%
49.6%
+111
-123
+115
-121
3
5
-0.62018-0.61493-0.70027
Boston Bruins
New Jersey Devils
75.6%
24.4%
-185
+166
-180
+170
1
2
-1.00307-1.00641-1.40866
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.57910 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.56978 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.51815
0.06096
0.05164

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionStanley Cup
1Tampa Bay Lightning (2-0-0, 4 pts)34.017.44.672.688.0%42.5%15.4%
2Vegas Golden Knights (2-0-0, 4 pts)33.417.84.871.686.8%40.4%10.0%
3Philadelphia Flyers (2-0-0, 4 pts)31.619.25.168.479.2%26.9%6.2%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (2-1-0, 4 pts)31.119.85.167.279.2%28.3%6.0%
5Nashville Predators (2-0-0, 4 pts)30.620.05.466.772.5%18.9%5.0%
6Minnesota Wild (2-0-0, 4 pts)29.720.75.665.063.1%12.1%2.7%
7Washington Capitals (2-0-0, 4 pts)29.520.85.764.663.4%14.7%2.6%
8Boston Bruins (1-0-1, 3 pts)30.719.06.367.673.8%27.2%6.4%
9Montreal Canadiens (1-0-1, 3 pts)30.019.96.166.174.9%24.2%5.7%
10Calgary Flames (1-0-1, 3 pts)28.321.16.663.263.5%16.3%3.0%
11Arizona Coyotes (1-0-1, 3 pts)27.122.16.961.043.6%5.4%0.8%
12New Jersey Devils (1-0-1, 3 pts)25.223.57.357.728.1%3.3%0.6%
13Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0, 2 pts)32.119.05.069.180.1%25.9%8.1%
14Carolina Hurricanes (1-1-0, 2 pts)30.420.45.266.072.1%14.2%5.5%
15Winnipeg Jets (1-0-0, 2 pts)29.021.15.963.965.9%16.8%2.9%
16New York Rangers (1-1-0, 2 pts)29.121.45.563.759.0%11.9%2.8%
17St. Louis Blues (1-1-0, 2 pts)29.021.55.663.556.7%11.0%2.6%
18New York Islanders (1-1-0, 2 pts)27.622.65.861.144.0%7.6%1.0%
19San Jose Sharks (1-1-0, 2 pts)26.823.35.959.638.7%3.2%1.0%
20Edmonton Oilers (1-2-0, 2 pts)26.823.75.559.145.2%5.8%1.2%
21Vancouver Canucks (1-2-0, 2 pts)26.523.85.858.742.7%5.4%1.1%
22Ottawa Senators (1-1-0, 2 pts)24.325.26.555.128.6%3.2%0.3%
23Detroit Red Wings (1-1-0, 2 pts)23.426.06.653.416.2%0.8%0.1%
24Los Angeles Kings (0-0-2, 2 pts)22.025.38.752.611.8%0.8%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (0-1-1, 1 pts)24.024.67.455.319.2%1.2%0.2%
26Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)30.520.15.466.571.9%17.2%5.1%
27Pittsburgh Penguins (0-2-0, 0 pts)27.622.85.560.842.1%7.8%2.1%
28Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)26.323.46.358.836.4%3.3%0.9%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (0-2-0, 0 pts)25.924.15.957.830.0%2.8%0.9%
30Chicago Blackhawks (0-2-0, 0 pts)22.926.66.552.212.9%0.3%0.2%
31Buffalo Sabres (0-2-0, 0 pts)22.726.86.551.910.4%0.6%0.2%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.