NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 16, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11)
Vegas Golden Knights (40-14-2)
Carey Price
Marc-Andre Fleury
34.3%
65.7%
+225
-240
+235
-250
2.25
3.48
5.73
o5-132
u5+120
o5½+125
u5+115
Games for Jun 15, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
Carolina Hurricanes
51.7%
48.3%
-115
+105
-112
+105
2
0
-0.64814-0.65406-0.65985
Winnipeg Jets
Montreal Canadiens
48.0%
52.0%
+130
-140
+133
-140
2
3
-0.55696-0.55144-0.65316
New York Islanders
Boston Bruins
45.2%
54.8%
+175
-190
+170
-185
5
4
-1.03022-1.01255-0.79474
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
55.4%
44.6%
+102
-107
+100
-108
1
5
-0.67178-0.67446-0.80726
Winnipeg Jets
Montreal Canadiens
48.6%
51.4%
+108
-119
+110
-118
1
5
-0.63380-0.63113-0.66475
Boston Bruins
New York Islanders
51.7%
48.3%
-135
+129
-135
+130
1
4
-0.83965-0.84211-0.72792
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.43137 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.43700 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.48656
-0.05519
-0.04956

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Vegas Golden Knights (40-14-2, 82 pts)40.014.02.082.0100.0%100.0%100.0%81.1%39.3%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3, 75 pts)36.017.03.075.0100.0%100.0%100.0%50.2%31.9%
3New York Islanders (32-17-7, 71 pts)32.017.07.071.0100.0%100.0%100.0%49.8%24.3%
4Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11, 59 pts)24.021.011.059.0100.0%100.0%100.0%18.9%4.5%
5Colorado Avalanche (39-13-4, 82 pts)39.013.04.082.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Carolina Hurricanes (36-12-8, 80 pts)36.012.08.080.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston Bruins (33-16-7, 73 pts)33.016.07.073.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Winnipeg Jets (30-23-3, 63 pts)30.023.03.063.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Florida Panthers (37-14-5, 79 pts)37.014.05.079.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7, 77 pts)35.014.07.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Washington Capitals (36-15-5, 77 pts)36.015.05.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Pittsburgh Penguins (37-16-3, 77 pts)37.016.03.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (35-16-5, 75 pts)35.016.05.075.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Edmonton Oilers (35-19-2, 72 pts)35.019.02.072.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Nashville Predators (31-23-2, 64 pts)31.023.02.064.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (27-20-9, 63 pts)27.020.09.063.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New York Rangers (27-23-6, 60 pts)27.023.06.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Dallas Stars (23-19-14, 60 pts)23.019.014.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Philadelphia Flyers (25-23-8, 58 pts)25.023.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Chicago Blackhawks (24-25-7, 55 pts)24.025.07.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Calgary Flames (26-27-3, 55 pts)26.027.03.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Arizona Coyotes (24-26-6, 54 pts)24.026.06.054.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Ottawa Senators (23-28-5, 51 pts)23.028.05.051.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Vancouver Canucks (23-29-4, 50 pts)23.029.04.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25San Jose Sharks (21-28-7, 49 pts)21.028.07.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Los Angeles Kings (21-28-7, 49 pts)21.028.07.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Columbus Blue Jackets (18-26-12, 48 pts)18.026.012.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Detroit Red Wings (19-27-10, 48 pts)19.027.010.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New Jersey Devils (19-30-7, 45 pts)19.030.07.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (17-30-9, 43 pts)17.030.09.043.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (15-34-7, 37 pts)15.034.07.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.