NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 24, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Bruins (47-20-15)
Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10)
Linus Ullmark
Ilya Samsonov
50.7%
49.3%
-103
-108
-105
-102
+1½-265
-1½+235
-1½+226
-1½+235
3.05
2.97
6.02
o6+102
u6-117
o6+100
u6-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8)
Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Logan Thompson
Jake Oettinger
40.8%
59.2%
+145
-159
+145
-157
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
2.54
3.53
6.07
o6-103
u6-108
o5½-125
u6-110
Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11)
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Cam Talbot
Stuart Skinner
41.9%
58.1%
+166
-180
+170
-182
+1½-147
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
2.59
3.46
6.05
o6-113
u6+102
o6-112
u6-105
Games for Apr 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
Colorado Avalanche
47.7%
52.3%
+235
-250
+235
-246
+1½-112
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+102
1
5
-0.34919-0.35055-0.64882
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames
27.7%
72.3%
+262
-280
+245
-270
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-110
1
5
-0.31837-0.33448-0.32408
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Jets
47.6%
52.4%
-126
+112
-120
+112
-1½+218
+1½-227
+1½-250
-1½+240
2
4
-0.78021-0.76841-0.64720
Seattle Kraken
Minnesota Wild
46.1%
53.9%
+163
-170
+160
-168
+1½-157
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.97678-0.96693-0.77371
Edmonton Oilers
Arizona Coyotes
61.0%
39.0%
-163
+151
-160
+148
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
5
-0.93828-0.92669-0.94217
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
33.3%
66.7%
+237
-260
+223
-250
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-120
-1½+103
1
2
-0.34421-0.36008-0.40486
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.5%
56.5%
+103
-115
+115
-113
+1½-222
-1½+198
+1½-200
-1½+200
4
6
-0.65283-0.62953-0.57008
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
48.1%
51.9%
-129
+121
-128
+117
-1½+195
+1½-212
-1½+197
+1½-220
4
5
-0.80867-0.79671-0.65620
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.1%
73.9%
+340
-390
+335
-384
+1½+133
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-145
1
3
-0.25118-0.25445-0.30227
Calgary Flames
Vancouver Canucks
38.0%
62.0%
+191
-215
+191
-210
+1½-135
+1½-460
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
4
-0.40777-0.41030-0.47796
Seattle Kraken
Winnipeg Jets
37.0%
63.0%
+197
-222
+199
-220
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+121
3
4
-0.39768-0.39641-0.46219
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
43.9%
56.1%
+142
-156
+151
-155
+1½-163
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
5
-0.51767-0.50408-0.57846
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
67.9%
32.1%
-141
+130
-140
+132
-1½+170
+1½-183
-1½+175
+1½-185
3
6
-0.85257-0.85583-1.13688
Detroit Red Wings
Montreal Canadiens
55.0%
45.0%
-190
+175
-195
+176
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
4
-0.44150-0.43705-0.59826
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins
35.1%
64.9%
+197
-220
+198
-220
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
1
-1.11249-1.11474-1.04751
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
43.7%
56.3%
+123
-132
+122
-125
+1½-210
-1½+193
+1½-210
-1½+190
2
1
-0.81925-0.80350-0.82803
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.58064 
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.54972 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.63658
-0.05594
-0.08685

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%92.0%51.5%29.5%17.8%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%88.1%54.2%28.6%16.6%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%92.9%44.8%22.6%12.6%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%74.7%43.9%23.5%11.9%
5Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%46.3%25.5%14.6%7.3%
6Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%51.7%28.4%15.4%7.3%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%54.3%26.0%12.5%5.3%
8Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%48.3%24.2%12.3%5.3%
9Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%50.6%21.1%8.5%3.9%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%49.4%19.4%7.6%3.4%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%53.7%22.0%9.4%3.1%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%45.8%18.6%7.7%2.6%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%25.4%11.6%4.6%1.7%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%11.9%5.3%2.1%0.9%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%8.0%2.2%0.7%0.2%
16Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%7.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.