NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
New York Rangers
50.2%
49.8%
-106
+101
-105
-101
-1½+240
+1½-280
-1½+243
+1½-270
1
2
-0.71013-0.70275-0.69730
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
49.2%
50.8%
+116
-124
+114
-124
+1½-200
-1½+197
+1½-226
-1½+198
3
2
-0.78651-0.78145-0.71015
Florida Panthers
New York Rangers
49.6%
50.4%
-115
+102
-110
+106
-1½+235
-1½+225
-1½+230
+1½-264
3
0
-0.65520-0.65583-0.70128
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
54.4%
45.6%
-146
+133
-141
+135
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
3
2
-0.54414-0.54657-0.60932
Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers
40.3%
59.7%
+169
-186
+174
-175
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
5
-0.45210-0.45331-0.51622
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
49.1%
50.9%
-101
-108
+100
-110
+1½-255
-1½+220
+1½-240
-1½+220
2
1
-0.70966-0.71668-0.71090
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
53.0%
47.0%
-137
+127
-137
+130
-1½+193
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-200
2
1
-0.56650-0.56084-0.63546
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
53.7%
46.3%
-135
+128
-140
+130
-1½+175
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-190
2
3
-0.83716-0.85085-0.76990
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
44.4%
55.6%
+144
-155
+141
-150
+1½-183
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
5
3
-0.90951-0.89446-0.81083
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
43.8%
56.2%
+135
-145
+135
-145
+1½-175
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
3
-0.87165-0.87165-0.82652
Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers
40.3%
59.7%
+186
-197
+185
-200
+1½-133
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+122
2
3
-0.42339-0.42286-0.51604
Boston Bruins
Florida Panthers
39.5%
60.5%
+190
-208
+184
-204
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+132
2
1
-1.08465-1.06671-0.92864
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
48.8%
51.2%
-101
-106
+100
-109
+1½-245
-1½+230
+1½-230
-1½+220
5
1
-0.70508-0.71445-0.71777
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
-107
+101
-104
-104
-1½+227
+1½-265
-1½+245
+1½-260
4
1
-0.67421-0.69315-0.72175
Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers
40.1%
59.9%
+184
-193
+175
-190
+1½-138
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-1.05458-1.03022-0.91364
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
52.6%
47.4%
-155
+145
-158
+150
-1½+165
+1½-168
-1½+163
+1½-175
3
2
-0.51371-0.50269-0.64173
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%53.3%
2Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%46.7%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.