NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (55-23-4)
Washington Capitals (40-31-11)
Igor Shesterkin
Charlie Lindgren
59.7%
40.3%
-165
+155
-163
+150
-1½+160
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
3.37
2.35
5.72
o5½-110
u5½-102
o5½-110
u5½-105
Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9)
Nashville Predators (47-30-5)
Casey DeSmith
Juuse Saros
48.1%
51.9%
-105
-106
-101
-108
+1½-255
-1½+220
+1½-260
-1½+227
2.95
3.15
6.10
o5½-118
u5½+104
o5½-118
u5½+105
Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6)
Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7)
Connor Hellebuyck
Alexandar Georgiev
44.3%
55.7%
+147
-150
+148
-163
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+150
2.71
3.33
6.04
o6½-108
u6½-107
o6½-105
u6½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11)
Stuart Skinner
Cam Talbot
51.7%
48.3%
-139
+124
-134
+123
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-205
3.11
2.94
6.05
o6½+105
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-120
Games for Apr 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.4%
59.6%
+163
-180
+160
-170
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
3
-0.46466-0.47678-0.51815
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-139
+129
-135
+1½-198
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
1
5
-0.55823-0.56539-0.58064
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
35.9%
64.1%
+229
-235
+216
-240
+1½-124
-1½+112
+1½-127
-1½+120
1
3
-0.35998-0.37040-0.44413
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
23.3%
76.7%
+353
-386
+340
-380
+1½+136
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-145
4
5
-0.24525-0.25238-0.26566
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.4%
73.6%
+311
-355
+330
-380
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-143
4
1
-1.43666-1.48254-1.33355
Edmonton Oilers
Colorado Avalanche
47.7%
52.3%
+235
-250
+235
-246
+1½-112
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+102
1
5
-0.34919-0.35055-0.64882
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames
27.7%
72.3%
+262
-280
+245
-270
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-110
1
5
-0.31837-0.33448-0.32408
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Jets
47.6%
52.4%
-126
+112
-120
+112
-1½+218
+1½-227
+1½-250
-1½+240
2
4
-0.78021-0.76841-0.64720
Seattle Kraken
Minnesota Wild
46.1%
53.9%
+163
-170
+160
-168
+1½-157
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.97678-0.96693-0.77371
Edmonton Oilers
Arizona Coyotes
61.0%
39.0%
-163
+151
-160
+148
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
5
-0.93828-0.92669-0.94217
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
33.3%
66.7%
+237
-260
+223
-250
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-120
-1½+103
1
2
-0.34421-0.36008-0.40486
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.5%
56.5%
+103
-115
+115
-113
+1½-222
-1½+198
+1½-200
-1½+200
4
6
-0.65283-0.62953-0.57008
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
48.1%
51.9%
-129
+121
-128
+117
-1½+195
+1½-212
-1½+197
+1½-220
4
5
-0.80867-0.79671-0.65620
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.1%
73.9%
+340
-390
+335
-384
+1½+133
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-145
1
3
-0.25118-0.25445-0.30227
Calgary Flames
Vancouver Canucks
38.0%
62.0%
+191
-215
+191
-210
+1½-135
+1½-460
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
4
-0.40777-0.41030-0.47796
Seattle Kraken
Winnipeg Jets
37.0%
63.0%
+197
-222
+199
-220
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+121
3
4
-0.39768-0.39641-0.46219
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.61415 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.61662 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.57162
0.04254
0.04501

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%97.0%60.6%30.9%19.2%
2Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%98.1%54.0%30.0%18.5%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%93.4%44.3%23.1%13.2%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%57.5%33.0%17.8%8.1%
5Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%51.0%29.1%15.8%7.0%
6Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%49.0%27.4%14.6%6.0%
7Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%71.5%27.8%11.2%5.5%
8Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%52.6%26.0%12.3%5.0%
9Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%74.9%30.0%13.8%5.0%
10Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%25.1%13.5%7.9%4.0%
11Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%47.4%21.1%9.0%3.2%
12Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%42.5%20.0%8.9%3.2%
13Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%28.5%10.3%4.0%1.9%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%3.0%1.3%0.5%0.2%
15Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%6.6%1.2%0.3%0.1%
16New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.