English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Luton Town
Manchester City
2.0%
91.8%
6.1%
+2500
-939
+2200
-1200
1
5
-0.11735-0.12555-0.08502
Wolverhampton
Nottingham Forest
31.3%
38.9%
29.8%
+268
+118
+270
+110
2
2
-1.27289-1.28446-1.21153
Sheffield United
Brentford
15.1%
63.2%
21.7%
+583
-211
+545
-210
0
2
-0.40680-0.41761-0.45809
Brighton and Hove Albion
Burnley
38.3%
32.8%
28.9%
-104
+294
+100
+270
1
1
-1.40735-1.36790-1.24188
Tottenham
Newcastle United
35.8%
37.1%
27.1%
+145
+169
+139
+165
0
4
-1.01542-1.01813-0.99147
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
8.1%
77.4%
14.5%
+555
-223
+550
-240
1
3
-0.39835-0.39226-0.25614
Chelsea
Sheffield United
67.9%
12.3%
19.8%
-223
+560
-238
+575
2
2
-1.71009-1.70007-1.61984
Liverpool
Manchester United
43.0%
30.5%
26.5%
-167
+410
-170
+410
2
2
-1.60137-1.61039-1.32821
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
49.5%
25.0%
25.5%
-184
+562
-185
+550
3
0
-0.44569-0.45229-0.70342
Burnley
Everton
22.8%
52.0%
25.2%
+370
-130
+365
-130
0
1
-0.59695-0.60342-0.65373
Newcastle United
Fulham
44.2%
29.1%
26.8%
+183
+145
+182
+140
1
0
-1.06807-1.07746-0.81758
West Ham United
Wolverhampton
34.4%
36.7%
28.9%
+152
+190
+155
+180
2
1
-0.95047-0.97051-1.06618
Brentford
Aston Villa
17.6%
60.6%
21.8%
+430
-150
+425
-150
3
3
-1.46694-1.46326-1.52221
Bournemouth
Luton Town
44.0%
28.5%
27.5%
-108
+290
-115
+285
1
2
-1.38629-1.39171-1.25572
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
71.1%
11.1%
17.9%
-280
+950
-310
+1245
4
2
-0.32594-0.28824-0.34153
Manchester United
Chelsea
21.1%
54.9%
23.9%
+296
-122
+282
-120
3
4
-0.62510-0.64516-0.59907
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.