German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg 		46.4%
29.4%		24.2%
+145
+205
+135
+200
1.65
1.27		2.92
o2½-114
u2¾-111
o2½-120
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Augsburg
RB Leipzig 		12.2%
70.9%		16.8%
+680
-245
+560
-245
0.92
2.45		3.37
o3¼-122
u3½-111
o3½+105
u3½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg 		31.2%
44.5%		24.3%
+185
+164
+185
+150
1.31
1.62		2.93
o2¾-102
u2¾-113
o2½-130
u2½+115
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05 		44.1%
30.5%		25.4%
-103
+275
-110
+280
1.50
1.21		2.71
o3-109
u3-101
o3-115
u3+100
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim 		58.1%
20.2%		21.8%
-182
+490
-195
+500
1.94
1.06		3.00
o3¼-106
u3¼-104
o3-130
u3+115
Dortmund
FC Koln 		59.9%
19.7%		20.4%
-116
+324
-125
+330
2.14
1.15		3.29
o3+105
u3-114
o3+120
u3-125
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Freiburg		21.9%
56.2%		21.9%
+297
-109
+280
-110
2
3		-0.68361-0.68720-0.57679
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim		80.1%
7.3%		12.6%
-355
+895
-325
+795
4
0		-0.28216-0.29926-0.22239
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05		18.9%
59.9%		21.2%
+275
+104
+255
+100
2
2		-1.34504-1.35899-1.55334
Holstein Kiel
RB Leipzig		7.1%
81.2%		11.8%
+570
-221
+600
-234
1
1		-1.68298-1.72974-2.14106
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen		20.3%
58.6%		21.2%
+420
-164
+455
-176
0
1		-0.51121-0.48921-0.53502
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		14.9%
66.6%		18.4%
+350
-128
+332
-130
0
3		-0.60448-0.61323-0.40572
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart		12.7%
70.7%		16.7%
+343
-137
+340
-140
2
1		-1.52308-1.52129-2.06609
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		8.4%
78.7%		12.9%
+528
-215
+555
-230
2
2		-1.71302-1.70534-2.05074
Augsburg
VfL Bochum		31.3%
43.4%		25.3%
+217
+140
+235
+137
2
1		-1.18391-1.22772-1.16120
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim		38.5%
36.0%		25.5%
+197
+147
+185
+155
0
2		-0.93351-0.96443-1.02193
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		29.1%
46.5%		24.3%
+212
+125
+205
+125
2
1		-1.17244-1.15683-1.23350
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		7.0%
80.4%		12.6%
+810
-266
+850
-283
0
0		-1.69271-1.73036-2.07426
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel		41.0%
34.0%		24.9%
+118
+250
+125
+231
2
1		-0.80901-0.84269-0.89104
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg		37.5%
36.1%		26.4%
+150
+186
+143
+180
3
2		-0.93389-0.92609-0.98072
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin		29.2%
45.0%		25.8%
+235
+131
+225
+128
0
1		-0.86415-0.86379-0.79831
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC St. Pauli		33.5%
41.7%		24.7%
+220
+130
+220
+135
1
1		-1.28522-1.27622-1.39825
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.24501 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21573 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12341
0.12160
0.09232

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.