German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		27.4%
48.3%		24.3%
+260
+126
+235
+125
1
3		-0.84292-0.85590-0.72828
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		54.0%
23.5%		22.6%
-109
+285
-115
+275
1
1		-1.46516-1.46477-1.48899
Union Berlin
Freiburg		29.4%
44.9%		25.7%
+322
+116
+306
+110
1
4		-0.78539-0.78209-0.80087
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05		28.5%
47.5%		24.0%
+160
+175
+150
+175
1
1		-1.28616-1.31539-1.42866
Bayern Munich
Schalke 04		81.1%
7.0%		11.9%
-433
+1248
-500
+1150
2
0		-0.22748-0.22965-0.20993
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen		48.0%
27.7%		24.3%
-102
+284
-114
+277
2
1		-0.70104-0.67662-0.73370
VfL Bochum
Augsburg		24.4%
52.2%		23.4%
+200
+151
+190
+142
1
0		-1.11673-1.10991-1.41239
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim		18.0%
61.6%		20.4%
+263
+113
+246
+110
2
1		-1.30221-1.28334-1.71363
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		12.7%
70.3%		16.9%
+344
-115
+330
-120
0
2		-0.64145-0.63999-0.35177
Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach		42.5%
33.0%		24.4%
+105
+250
+105
+230
2
4		-1.27300-1.24327-1.10718
Mainz 05
Schalke 04		38.9%
35.0%		26.1%
+108
+270
+110
+245
0
1		-1.32448-1.27758-1.04908
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		27.4%
49.7%		23.0%
+405
-146
+375
-145
2
4		-0.54290-0.56694-0.70013
Augsburg
Union Berlin		12.6%
69.6%		17.7%
+430
-131
+410
-125
2
2		-1.34396-1.30993-1.72912
Freiburg
RB Leipzig		16.9%
62.9%		20.2%
+390
-124
+360
-120
1
3		-0.60534-0.63522-0.46434
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Koln		44.5%
30.9%		24.6%
+133
+215
+125
+220
2
1		-0.86776-0.84139-0.80867
Hertha BSC
VfB Stuttgart		21.8%
56.0%		22.2%
+265
+111
+262
+105
1
2		-0.76688-0.75734-0.57987
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.71816 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.71803 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.84148
-0.12332
-0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.