NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.4%
63.6%
+200
-220

+5½-110
-5-113
+4½-110
-4½-110
70.3
74.6
144.9
o135½-105
u135½-110
o135-110
u136-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%


+7½+100
-8-110

68.0
74.9
142.9
o145½-110
u145½-110

James Madison Dukes (17-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
57.7%
42.3%
-135
+115

-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
73.8
70.9
144.7
o142½-110
u142½-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
41.4%
58.6%
+145
-160

+3½-110
-3-110
+3½-110
-2½-110
72.7
75.8
148.5
o148-105
u148-110
o147½-110
u149-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
15.3%
84.7%


+17½-110
-17½+100
+17½-110
-17½-110
63.1
73.8
136.9
o133½-110
u134½-110
o134-110
u134-110
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
47.7%
52.3%


+3½-115
-3-110
+3-109
-3-109
68.8
69.8
138.6
o142-110
u142½-110
o142-110
u142½-110
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
22.5%
77.5%


+7-110
-6½-115
+7-110
-6½-110
69.4
77.8
147.2
o151½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
32.2%
67.8%


+7-110
-6½-115
+7-110
-7-110
67.1
72.7
139.8
o141½-110
u142½-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
51.6%
48.4%
+115
-130

+2-110
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
76.9
76.2
153.1
o153½-110
u154½-110
o154½-110
u155-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
78.1%
21.9%
-275
+240

-6½-110
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-110
77.3
68.8
146.1
o148-110
u148-110
o147½-110
u147½-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%
+170
-195

+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u144½-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.2%
21.8%
-460
+383

-9½-106
+9½-110
-8½-110
+9½-110
80.5
72.1
152.6
o155½-110
u156-110
o156-110
u156½-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+350
-450

+9-113
-8½-110
+8½-110
-8½-110
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-110
u138½-105
o138½-110
u138½-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
59.7%
40.3%


-5-110
+5½-110

72.6
69.3
141.9
o145½-110
u145½-110

Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%


+6½-105
-6½-115

60.6
67.3
127.9
o126-110
u126-110

Eastern Illinois Panthers (12-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
24.9%
75.1%
+250
-300

+7-110
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
62.0
69.8
131.8
o121½-110
u122-110
o122-110
u122-110
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (9-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
17.7%
82.3%
+383
-500

+9½-110
-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-110
72.6
82.4
155.0
o145-105
u145-110
o144-110
u144-110
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.5%
58.5%
+130
-145

+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2-110
71.8
75.0
146.8
o136-110
u136-110
o136-110
u137-110
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
65.2%
34.8%


-2½-110
+2½-110

76.2
71.3
147.5
o146½-105
u146-105

Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-460
+367

-9-110
+9½-115
-8-110
+9-110
80.0
71.6
151.6
o146-105
u147-110
o146½-110
u146½-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
34.0%
66.0%


+3½-110
-3½-110

76.3
81.5
157.8
o155½-110
u155½-110

Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%


+3½-110
-3½-105

71.4
73.4
144.8
o142½-110
u143½-120

Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%


+6½-110
-6½-110

69.5
76.9
146.4
o151½-110
u151½-110

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.9%
43.1%
-125
+107

-1½-110
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
75.9
73.3
149.2
o151-110
u151-110
o151-110
u152-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.2%
94.8%
+1250
-4500

+19-108
-18½-110
+19-110
-18-110
63.4
80.2
143.6
o141½-110
u141½-110
o139½-110
u140½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+115
-130

+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136½-110
o136½-110
u136½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%


+10½-110
-10½-110

68.4
79.6
148.0
o144½-115
u145-110

Georgia Southern Eagles (16-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.2%
70.8%
+250
-280

+6½-107
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
79.3
85.3
164.6
o167½-110
u168-110
o167-110
u167-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-525
+400

-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%


-1-105
+1½-120

74.1
73.8
147.9
o149½-110
u149½-110

Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+200
-220

+5½-110
-5-110
+6-110
-4½-110
70.8
76.1
146.9
o150-105
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+180
-210

+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-5-110
67.9
72.6
140.5
o142½-110
u143-105
o142½-110
u142½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.3%
43.7%


-1½-110
+1½-110

77.7
75.2
152.9
o149½-110
u149½-110

South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
61.5%
38.5%
-260
+230

-6-110
+6-105
-5½-110
+6½-110
84.0
80.4
164.4
o160½-110
u160½-110
o160-110
u160½-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-145
+125

-2½-110
+2½-109
-2½-110
+2½-110
76.4
72.5
148.9
o149-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.1%
61.9%
+120
-130

+2-105
-2-110
+2-110
-1½-110
73.0
76.8
149.8
o151½-110
u152½-110
o152-110
u152½-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.8%
26.2%
-370
+310

-8-110
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-110
84.0
76.7
160.7
o165-110
u165-110
o165-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (17-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
42.5%
57.5%
-105
-115

+1½-110
-1-110
+2-110
-1½-110
72.6
75.4
148.0
o147-110
u147-110
o147½-110
u147½-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.6%
67.4%
+207
-250

+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-5-110
76.1
81.5
157.6
o149-110
u149-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
14.0%
86.0%
+836
-1400

+14½-108
-14½-110
+14½-110
-13½-110
61.5
72.7
134.2
o125-110
u125½-110
o125½-110
u125½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+145

-3½-110
+3½-110
-4-110
+4-110
82.1
78.0
160.1
o156½-110
u157-110
o156½-110
u157-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.7%
80.3%
+350
-450

+9-110
-9-110
+9-110
-8½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o135½-110
u135½-110
o135½-110
u135½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+383
-460

+9½-110
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
75.2
84.7
159.9
o155½-110
u156-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
60.9%
39.1%
-130
+110

-1½-110
+2-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
77.7
74.0
151.7
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u150½-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+200
-220

+5½-110
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5-110
72.0
78.3
150.3
o145½-115
u146½-110
o146-110
u147-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
59.3%
40.7%
-120
+110
-125
+110
-1½-110
+2-114
-1½-109
+2-110
67
81
-0.76336-0.77319-0.89882
Ole Miss Rebels
Auburn Tigers
15.7%
84.3%
+476
-600
+520
-600
+11-108
-11-110
+11-109
-11-109
85
79
-1.78124-1.84282-1.84909
Oregon State Beavers
Santa Clara Broncos
8.9%
91.1%
+1075
-2000
+1100
-1700
+16-105
-16-110
+17-110
-16-109
72
93
-0.08559-0.08456-0.09365
Duquesne Dukes
Saint Louis Billikens
11.1%
88.9%
+825
-1200
+925
-1300
+13½-102
-13½-107
+14½-110
-13½-110
76
91
-0.11075-0.09991-0.11714
Villanova Wildcats
St. John's Red Storm
29.7%
70.3%
+285
-330
+290
-330
+7½+100
-7½-110
+7½-105
-7-110
57
89
-0.29152-0.28827-0.35274
Cal State Northridge Matadors
UC Riverside Highlanders
67.5%
32.5%
-210
+185
-200
+190
-4½-109
+5½-110
-5-105
+5½-109
84
95
-1.07523-1.07614-1.12356
Baylor Bears
UCF Knights
44.4%
55.6%
+110
-125
+115
-125
+2-110
-1-110
+2-110
-1½-105
87
86
-0.77319-0.78592-0.81175
Omaha Mavericks
St. Thomas Tommies
16.4%
83.6%
+575
-750
+600
-750
+11½-110
-11-110
+12-110
-11-109
53
68
-0.15522-0.15007-0.17902
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
UMKC Kangarros
60.2%
39.8%
-175
+165
-180
+160
-3½-114
+3½-103
-3½-109
+4-110
94
70
-0.46561-0.46893-0.50796
Washington State Cougars
Pepperdine Waves
74.1%
25.9%
-350
+280
-330
+280
-8-105
+8-110
-7½-109
+7½-109
79
88
-1.37512-1.36512-1.35019
Boise State Broncos
Fresno State Bulldogs
76.0%
24.0%
-290
+250
-320
+290
-7-108
+7½-110
-7-109
+7½-110
69
53
-0.32515-0.29008-0.27462
Stony Brook Seawolves
Hofstra Pride
17.8%
82.2%
+575
-775
+600
-780
+11½-110
-11-115
+12½-110
-11½-105
58
67
-0.15467-0.14943-0.19603
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Cal State Fullerton Titans
60.2%
39.8%
-165
+155
-170
+165
-3½-110
+3½-105
-3½-109
+4-110
87
85
-0.48848-0.46959-0.50765
Wright State Raiders
Northern Kentucky Norse
43.1%
56.9%
+135
-155
+145
-155
+3½-113
-3-110
+3-109
-3-105
92
91
-0.88724-0.91198-0.84225
TCU Horned Frogs
Kansas State Wildcats
56.1%
43.9%
-160
+140
-150
+140
-3-112
+3-105
-3-109
+3-105
77
68
-0.51706-0.52736-0.57766
Northwestern State Demons
Texas A&M CC Islanders
25.9%
74.1%
+170
-195
+220
-195
+5-115
-4½-110
+6-110
-4½-110
59
71
-0.44488-0.38713-0.30027
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4027-12 (0.688)1-0.59975 
Sportsbooks4028-12 (0.700)0-0.58551 
DRatings4027-13 (0.675)0-0.59110
0.00865
-0.00559

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.