NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.4%
63.6%
+190
-220
+195
-220
+5-103
-5-110
+5-105
-4½-110
66.9
71.4
138.3
o135½-110
u135½-101
o135-110
u135½-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%
+290
-380
+320
-380
+8-110
-8-110
+8-109
-8-109
68.0
74.9
142.9
o143½-107
u144½-110
o143½-110
u144½-110
James Madison Dukes (18-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
58.0%
42.0%
-125
+105
-130
+115
-1½-110
+2-115
-2-109
+2-109
73.8
70.9
144.7
o142½-110
u142½-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
36.7%
63.3%
+160
-165
+160
-170
+4-109
-3½-110
+4-109
-3-110
72.1
76.4
148.5
o146½-110
u147-110
o147-110
u149-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
All Bet Values Active
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
9.8%
90.2%

+1200
-2000
+17½-120
-16-115
+16½-109
-16½-109
60.5
73.7
134.2
o134½-105
u134½-110
o134-110
u134½-110
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
42.8%
57.2%
+122
-125
+110
-115
+2½-115
-1½-110
+2-110
-1-109
69.3
72.0
141.3
o140-110
u140½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
25.3%
74.7%
+256
-310
+265
-310
+7-110
-7-110
+7-109
-7-109
71.3
78.9
150.2
o151½-110
u152½-105
o151½-110
u152½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+256
-310
+265
-310
+7-110
-6½-115
+7-109
-7-109
66.8
73.0
139.8
o140½-110
u141½-110
o140-110
u140½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
+105
-120
+115
-130
+1½-110
-1½-110
+2-109
-1½-110
75.8
77.3
153.1
o153½-110
u154-110
o153½-110
u153½-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-290
+263
-280
+245
-7-109
+7½-112
-6½-109
+7-110
76.6
69.5
146.1
o148-110
u149-110
o147½-110
u147½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%
+180
-195
+175
-195
+5-105
-4½-110
+4½-109
-4½-109
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u144½-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-500
+400
-500
+400
-9½-105
+9½-110
-9½-109
+9½-109
80.6
72.0
152.6
o155½-110
u155½-105
o155½-110
u156½-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+316
-380
+320
-380
+8½-112
-8-110
+8-109
-8-105
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-110
u138½-105
o138½-110
u138½-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%
-235
+195
-220
+190
-5-115
+5½-110
-5-109
+5-109
74.6
69.9
144.5
o147½-115
u148½-110
o146½-110
u148½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+255
-310
+260
-310
+7-110
-6½-115
+7-109
-7-109
60.6
67.3
127.9
o125-110
u125½-110
o125½-110
u125½-110
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+303
-380
+325
-380
+8-110
-8-110
+8½-109
-8-110
59.5
67.1
126.6
o121½-110
u123-105
o122-110
u122-110
All Bet Values Active
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+600
-700
+600
-800
+11½-107
-11½-110
+12-109
-12-109
69.6
79.2
148.8
o144½-110
u145-115
o144-110
u144½-110
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+125
-135
+135
-140
+2½-110
-2½-105
+3-109
-2-110
69.0
72.0
141.0
o136-114
u137-105
o136-110
u137-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%
-149
+119
-145
+125
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.5
72.0
147.5
o145½-110
u146-105
o146-110
u146-110
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-425
+334
-450
+375
-9-109
+8½-101
-8-110
+9-109
78.1
69.7
147.8
o147-110
u147-110
o146½-110
u147½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+135
-160
+145
-165
+3½-110
-3½-106
+3½-109
-3½-109
77.0
80.8
157.8
o155½-110
u155½-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-150
+145
-165
+3½-110
-3-110
+3½-109
-3½-109
71.4
73.4
144.8
o144-115
u144-105
o144½-110
u145-110
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+235
-285
+240
-280
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-109
-6½-109
70.5
78.0
148.5
o149½-110
u149½-105
o149-110
u149½-110
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-130
+115
-140
+125
-2-105
+1½-101
-2-110
+2½-109
75.9
73.3
149.2
o153-110
u153½-110
o153-110
u153-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1250
-4500
+1700
-3500
+19-115
-18½-108
+19-110
-18½-109
61.9
78.8
140.7
o141-110
u141½-110
o140½-110
u140½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-120
+115
-130
+2-110
-1½-108
+2-109
-1½-110
68.7
69.3
138.0
o135½-110
u136-110
o136½-110
u136½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+440
-714
+450
-600
+10½-110
-10½-110
+10½-109
-10½-109
68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+289
-330
+320
-340
+7½-110
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7½-105
79.3
85.3
164.6
o167½-110
u167½-110
o167-110
u167½-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-480
+400
-500
+400
-9½-110
+10-105
-9½-109
+9½-109
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u151½-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-125
+100
-115
-105
-1-112
+1½-110
-1-109
+1-109
74.1
73.8
147.9
o148½-110
u149-115
o147-110
u148½-110
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+220
-245
+220
-260
+6-110
-6-105
+6-109
-4½-110
72.2
77.6
149.8
o148-110
u149½-110
o148-110
u151-110
Overall Bet Value Active
All Bet Values Active
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+180
-210
+190
-215
+5-105
-5-110
+5-109
-5-109
69.3
74.0
143.3
o143½-110
u143½-110
o143½-110
u143½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-120
+101
-125
+105
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-109
+1½-109
77.7
75.2
152.9
o147-105
u147½-110
o146½-110
u146½-110
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
67.3%
32.7%
-285
+252
-280
+245
-6½-110
+7-112
-6½-109
+6½-109
83.3
77.8
161.1
o160½-110
u160-104
o160-110
u160½-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-140
+125
-145
+125
-2½-110
+2½-106
-2½-109
+2½-109
76.4
72.5
148.9
o147-105
u148-115
o147½-110
u147½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+130
-149
+135
-150
+3-110
-3-109
+3-109
-2-110
73.0
76.8
149.8
o151½-110
u152½-112
o152-110
u152-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-325
+280
-350
+290
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7½-105
+7½-109
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165-108
u165½-110
o165½-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+130
-145
+135
-155
+3-110
-2½-115
+3-109
-3-109
72.7
75.3
148.0
o147-113
u147½-110
o147½-110
u147½-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+220
-260
+220
-260
+6-108
-6-110
+6-109
-5-110
72.5
78.0
150.5
o149-110
u149-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
11.8%
88.2%
+975
-1600
+1050
-1600
+15½-110
-15-110
+15½-109
-14½-110
58.2
70.0
128.2
o125-105
u125½-110
o125½-110
u125½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-180
+165
-180
+160
-4-110
+4½-112
-4-109
+4-109
81.3
77.2
158.5
o156½-110
u157-110
o156½-110
u157-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+350
-440
+375
-450
+9-110
-9-105
+9-109
-9-109
64.6
73.7
138.3
o135½-110
u135½-110
o135½-110
u135½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+400
-500
+425
-500
+9½-108
-9½-110
+10-109
-9½-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o155½-110
u156-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-125
+110
-125
+115
-1½-112
+2-110
-1½-109
+2-110
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u150-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+232
-245
+215
-240
+6-105
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o146-105
u146-110
o145½-110
u147-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
MS Valley State Delta Devils
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions
9.4%
90.6%
+800
-1150
+875
-1000
+14-105
-14-110
+15½-110
-13½-110
70
69
-2.22785-2.28888-2.36616
Florida A&M Rattlers
Grambling State Tigers
34.5%
65.5%
+160
-180
+190
-180
+4-110
-4-110
+5½-110
-4½-109
66
59
-0.98262-1.05231-1.06352
Alabama Crimson Tide
Tennessee Volunteers
36.5%
63.5%
+220
-250
+225
-230
+6-105
-6-110
+6-110
-5½-109
71
69
-1.18958-1.18332-1.00657
Weber State Wildcats
Idaho State Bengals
42.3%
57.7%
+118
-130
+130
-130
+2-107
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
83
73
-0.80298-0.83292-0.85958
San Francisco Dons
Pacific Tigers
42.8%
57.2%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3½-108
-3½-109
+4-110
-3-110
72
61
-0.92644-0.93156-0.84971
Harvard Crimson
Penn Quakers
44.8%
55.2%
-102
-110
+100
-105
+0-110
+0-105
+1-110
+1-110
61
64
-0.67497-0.68116-0.59339
Liberty Flames
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
62.0%
38.0%
-160
+160
-165
+165
-3½-110
+4-110
-3½-109
+4½-110
81
78
-0.48552-0.47379-0.47804
Jacksonville Dolphins
North Florida Ospreys
57.5%
42.5%
-130
+110
-110
+115
-1½-115
+2-110
+0-110
+2-105
85
61
-0.61112-0.63550-0.55295
UNC Greensboro Spartans
Samford Bulldogs
22.1%
77.9%
+350
-450
+375
-450
+9-110
-9-108
+9-109
-8½-110
78
87
-0.24028-0.22897-0.24931
Brown Bears
Cornell Big Red
20.4%
79.6%
+350
-450
+425
-450
+9-110
-9-110
+9½-109
-9-110
80
86
-0.24028-0.20929-0.22812
McNeese State Cowboys
New Orleans Privateers
83.0%
17.0%
-550
+415
-500
+425
-10½-110
+11-110
-10½-109
+10½-109
66
63
-0.20658-0.20586-0.18676
SMU Mustangs
Stanford Cardinal
49.4%
50.6%
-105
+100
+105
+100
+1-115
+1-108
+1½-110
+1-109
75
95
-0.70528-0.68086-0.68183
Yale Bulldogs
Columbia Lions
71.2%
28.8%
-270
+226
-260
+235
-6-110
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-109
60
54
-0.35091-0.34595-0.33937
Dartmouth Big Green
Princeton Tigers
44.2%
55.8%
+120
-125
+115
-130
+2-108
-2-103
+2½-110
-2-109
61
82
-0.59784-0.60042-0.58388
Oklahoma Sooners
LSU Tigers
44.3%
55.7%
+115
-130
+115
-125
+2-110
-2-109
+2-110
-1½-109
83
67
-0.79536-0.78592-0.81475
Syracuse Orange
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
40.8%
59.2%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+4-110
-4-105
+3½-109
-3½-109
83
88
-0.48418-0.48418-0.52447
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4027-12 (0.688)1-0.59975 
Sportsbooks4028-12 (0.700)0-0.58551 
DRatings4027-13 (0.675)0-0.59110
0.00865
-0.00559

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.