NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Western Carolina Catamounts (19-8)
UNC Greensboro Spartans (19-8)
36.5%
63.5%


+5-108
-4½-115
+5-110
-4½-110
70.3
74.6
144.9
o137½-110
u138-105
o137½-110
u137½-110
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (10-15)
Army Black Knights (10-17)
47.9%
52.1%


-2-115
+2-105
-2½-110
+2½-110
65.5
66.5
132.0
o130½-110
u130½-110
o131-110
u131-110
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (16-9)
La Salle Explorers (12-14)
72.3%
27.7%


-6½-108
+7-115
-6½-110
+6½-110
74.5
67.7
142.2
o145-108
u145-108
o145-110
u145-110
Illinois Fighting Illini (19-6)
Penn State Nittany Lions (12-14)
71.5%
28.5%
-320
+260

-7½-108
+7½-105
-7-110
+7½-110
79.4
72.8
152.2
o157-105
u157-108
o157-110
u157-110
Presbyterian Blue Hose (12-16)
Winthrop Eagles (16-11)
17.7%
82.3%


+9-110
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
69.1
78.9
148.0
o145-105
u145-115
o145-110
u145-110
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (8-17)
Georgia State Panthers (12-14)
23.7%
76.3%


+10-108
-10-108
+10-110
-10-110
73.4
81.6
155.0
o153-110
u153½-105
o154-110
u154-110
VMI Keydets (4-23)
ETSU Buccaneers (13-14)
7.7%
92.3%
+950
-2000

+17½-108
-17½-108
+17-110
-17-110
68.1
82.7
150.8
o148-108
u147½-102
o148-110
u148-110
The Citadel Bulldogs (10-17)
Mercer Bears (12-15)
35.2%
64.8%
+180
-220

+5-110
-4½-108
+5-110
-5-110
66.7
71.5
138.2
o133½-108
u133½-108
o132½-110
u132½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
James Madison Dukes (24-3)
Marshall Thundering Herd (12-15)
72.6%
27.4%
-340
+270

-7½-108
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-110
83.8
76.8
160.6
o155½-108
u156-105
o155-110
u155-110
Dayton Flyers (21-4)
George Mason Patriots (17-8)
61.0%
39.0%
-130
+110

-2-108
+2-108
-2-110
+2½-110
69.7
66.2
135.9
o134-105
u134-108
o134-110
u134-110
George Washington Colonials (14-11)
Saint Joseph's Hawks (16-10)
21.2%
78.8%


+11-108
-11-108
+11½-110
-11-110
73.0
81.7
154.7
o157½-108
u157½-108
o157½-110
u157½-110
Richmond Spiders (18-7)
Rhode Island Rams (11-14)
62.5%
37.5%
-180
+155

-4-108
+4½-115
-4-110
+4-110
73.3
69.3
142.6
o144½-108
u144½-108
o144½-110
u144½-110
Wofford Terriers (15-12)
Chattanooga Mocs (18-9)
25.5%
74.5%


+7-108
-7-105
+7-110
-7-110
71.7
79.3
151.0
o145-110
u146-110
o145½-110
u145½-110
St. John's Red Storm (14-12)
Georgetown Hoyas (8-17)
77.0%
23.0%


-10-108
+10-108
-10-110
+10-110
79.9
71.7
151.6
o151-108
u151-108
o151-110
u151-110
Florida Gators (18-7)
Alabama Crimson Tide (18-7)
25.2%
74.8%
+285
-370

+8-108
-7½-115
+8-110
-8-110
82.2
89.9
172.1
o174-105
u174-108
o174½-110
u174½-110
Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-14)
Cincinnati Bearcats (16-9)
17.4%
82.6%
+430
-625

+10½-108
-10-110
+10½-110
-10½-110
65.6
75.5
141.1
o140-108
u140-108
o139½-110
u139½-110
MTSU Blue Raiders (11-15)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (12-14)
36.1%
63.9%
+215
-260

+6-105
-6-108
+6-110
-5½-110
62.9
67.3
130.2
o130-110
u130½-105
o130½-110
u130½-110
Clemson Tigers (17-8)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-15)
72.9%
27.1%
-300
+250

-7-108
+7-108
-7-110
+7-110
78.4
71.3
149.7
o145½-110
u146-108
o145½-110
u145½-110
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-16)
Louisville Cardinals (8-18)
44.9%
55.1%
-110
-110

+0-108
+0-108
+0-110
+0-110
68.1
70.0
138.1
o135-108
u135-105
o135-110
u135-110
Duke Blue Devils (20-5)
Miami Hurricanes (15-11)
67.2%
32.8%
-240
+200

-5½-108
+5½-108
-5½-110
+5½-110
79.2
73.8
153.0
o149½-110
u150-108
o150½-110
u150½-110
Bucknell Bison (10-17)
Holy Cross Crusaders (8-19)
57.4%
42.6%


-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-110
68.0
65.1
133.1
o134-105
u134-115
o134½-110
u134½-110
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (8-17)
USC Upstate Spartans (9-17)
32.4%
67.6%


+5½-110
-5½-110
+6-110
-6-110
69.0
74.6
143.6
o140½-115
u140½-105
o139½-110
u139½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (19-9)
Longwood Lancers (16-11)
48.6%
51.4%


-1-110
+1-110
+0-110
+0-110
73.7
74.3
148.0
o148-115
u148-105
o149½-110
u149½-110
Navy Midshipmen (8-17)
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (6-21)
47.5%
52.5%


-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
64.3
65.4
129.7
o130½-110
u130½-110
o130½-110
u130½-110
Boston University Terriers (11-16)
American University Eagles (14-13)
31.7%
68.3%


+3-105
-3-115
+3½-110
-3½-110
61.2
66.7
127.9
o127-105
u127-115
o128-110
u128-110
Furman Paladins (15-12)
Samford Bulldogs (23-4)
27.7%
72.3%
+295
-390

+8-108
-8-108
+8-110
-8-110
78.5
85.5
164.0
o164-110
u164½-105
o164½-110
u164½-110
Belmont Bruins (16-11)
Drake Bulldogs (22-5)
17.3%
82.7%
+355
-490

+9½-108
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
72.3
82.2
154.5
o156-108
u156-108
o156½-110
u156½-110
Murray State Racers (11-16)
Southern Illinois Salukis (17-10)
31.7%
68.3%


+3½-108
-3-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
65.4
71.0
136.4
o135½-108
u136-110
o136-110
u136-110
Providence Friars (17-9)
Xavier Musketeers (13-12)
34.7%
65.3%
+175
-210

+5-108
-4½-115
+4½-110
-4½-110
71.8
76.7
148.5
o150-108
u149½+103
o149½-110
u149½-110
Bradley University Braves (18-9)
Missouri State Bears (15-12)
59.4%
40.6%


-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-110
+2½-110
72.3
69.1
141.4
o143-108
u143-108
o143-110
u143-110
Indiana State Sycamores (22-5)
Valparaiso Beacons (6-21)
89.2%
10.8%
-1300
+725

-14½-108
+14½-108
-14-110
+14½-110
83.7
71.4
155.1
o156½-108
u157-110
o158-110
u158-110
Rice Owls (9-16)
UAB Blazers (17-8)
17.7%
82.3%
+500
-750

+11½-105
-11½-108
+11½-110
-11½-110
73.4
83.2
156.6
o147½-110
u148½-108
o148½-110
u148½-110
South Florida Bulls (19-5)
UTSA Roadrunners (8-18)
78.9%
21.1%
-270
+220

-6½-105
+6½-108
-7-110
+7-110
81.9
73.1
155.0
o155½-113
u156-108
o156-110
u156-110
Evansville Purple Aces (15-12)
UIC Flames (10-17)
34.1%
65.9%
+120
-140

+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2½-110
68.5
73.5
142.0
o144-110
u144½-108
o144-110
u144-110
Northern Iowa Panthers (15-12)
Illinois State Redbirds (13-14)
52.1%
47.9%
-115
-105

+1-115
+0-108
+1-110
+0-110
69.7
68.8
138.5
o132½-110
u132½+100
o133-110
u133-110
Charlotte 49ers (17-8)
Memphis Tigers (18-8)
25.5%
74.5%


+5½-108
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5½-110
68.8
76.3
145.1
o145-108
u145-108
o145-110
u145-110
Nebraska Cornhuskers (18-8)
Indiana Hoosiers (14-11)
44.3%
55.7%
-110
-110

+0-108
+0-105
+0-110
+1-110
74.0
76.3
150.3
o146-108
u146-105
o145½-110
u145½-110
Georgia Bulldogs (14-11)
Vanderbilt Commodores (7-18)
60.5%
39.5%


-2-108
+2-108
-2-110
+2-110
75.7
72.2
147.9
o144-108
u144-108
o144-110
u144-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (13-12)
Wichita State Shockers (10-16)
32.2%
67.8%


+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
72.6
78.1
150.7
o146-108
u146-108
o146-110
u146-110
DePaul Blue Demons (3-22)
Marquette Golden Eagles (19-6)
3.1%
96.9%


+26-108
-25½-105
+26-110
-26-110
64.7
85.4
150.1
o150-110
u150½-108
o150½-110
u150½-110
Kentucky Wildcats (18-7)
LSU Tigers (13-12)
63.8%
36.2%
-220
+180

-5-108
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
84.0
79.6
163.6
o165-108
u165-108
o165-110
u165-110
Ole Miss Rebels (19-6)
Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-8)
31.6%
68.4%
+220
-270

+6½-115
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
68.8
74.4
143.2
o142½-105
u142½-108
o142½-110
u142½-110
Colorado State Rams (20-6)
New Mexico Lobos (20-6)
35.5%
64.5%
+200
-240

+5½-105
-5½-108
+5½-110
-5½-110
75.2
79.9
155.1
o155½-108
u156-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
Pepperdine Waves (11-17)
Pacific Tigers (6-22)
72.4%
27.6%


-6-108
+6-108
-6-110
+6-110
79.5
72.6
152.1
o149-108
u149-108
o149-110
u149-110
UNLV Rebels (14-10)
Air Force Falcons (8-16)
59.9%
40.1%


-6-105
+6-108
-6-110
+6-110
70.6
67.3
137.9
o133½-108
u134-110
o133-110
u133-110
Games for Feb 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
UCF Knights (13-11)
West Virginia Mountaineers (8-17)
49.5%
50.5%
-140
+125
-145
+125
-2½-105
+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-110
139.6
o144-110
u144½-108
o143½-110
u144½-110
2nd H
07:02
52
60
VCU Rams (17-8)
UMass Minutemen (16-9)
46.2%
53.8%
+130
-135
+125
-135
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
144.3
o143½-108
u144-105
o143½-110
u143½-110
2nd H
03:27
50
70
Miami RedHawks (12-13)
Western Michigan Broncos (8-17)
47.6%
52.4%
-165
+151
-155
+155
-3½-108
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
146.0
o142½-105
u142½-108
o142½-110
u142½-110
2nd H
06:59
45
65
Akron Zips (19-6)
Toledo Rockets (16-9)
44.3%
55.7%
+115
-130
+125
-130
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
151.2
o150-110
u150½-108
o150-110
u150-110
2nd H
04:01
55
64
Bowling Green Falcons (16-9)
Central Michigan Chippewas (15-10)
48.4%
51.6%
+135
-139
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2-110
147.5
o138-110
u138½-108
o138½-110
u139½-110
2nd H
04:07
45
46
Saint Louis Billikens (9-16)
Duquesne Dukes (15-10)
16.0%
84.0%
+360
-434
+360
-420
+9-105
-9-108
+10-110
-9-110
147.4
o152-105
u152½-108
o151-110
u152-110
2nd H
06:12
55
71
Iowa Hawkeyes (15-11)
Michigan State Spartans (17-9)
20.5%
79.5%
+420
-520
+425
-500
+9½-108
-9½-108
+9½-110
-9½-110
155.0
o154½-108
u155-110
o154½-110
u154½-110
2nd H
02:31
70
65
Fordham Rams (10-15)
Davidson Wildcats (14-11)
26.7%
73.3%
+240
-270
+235
-265
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6-110
140.2
o135½-110
u136½-110
o135½-110
u136½-110
2nd H
05:05
45
59
Arkansas Razorbacks (12-13)
Texas A&M Aggies (15-10)
21.7%
78.3%
+575
-742
+600
-700
+12½-108
-12½-105
+12½-110
-12-110
150.1
o145-110
u146-108
o145-110
u145½-110
2nd H
10:20
48
40
Tennessee Volunteers (19-6)
Missouri Tigers (8-17)
82.6%
17.4%
-850
+615
-850
+675
-12-108
+12-105
-12-110
+12-110
149.0
o148½-105
u148½-108
o148-110
u149½-110
2nd H
08:43
55
52
Kent State Golden Flashes (13-12)
Ohio Bobcats (13-12)
41.3%
58.7%
+160
-180
+160
-165
+4½-108
-4-105
+4½-110
-4-110
151.5
o147½-108
u148-110
o147½-110
u148-110
2nd H
06:19
50
50
Eastern Michigan Eagles (10-15)
Buffalo Bulls (3-22)
40.8%
59.2%
+155
-165
+150
-160
+4-108
-3½-110
+4-110
-3½-110
149.3
o144½-108
u145-110
o145-110
u146½-110
2nd H
02:21
61
68
Boston College Eagles (15-10)
Florida State Seminoles (13-12)
37.5%
62.5%
+170
-190
+180
-190
+4½-108
-4-115
+5-110
-4-110
150.8
o150-108
u150½-110
o149½-110
u150½-110
2nd H
07:24
61
70
Syracuse Orange (16-10)
NC State Wolfpack (16-9)
30.7%
69.3%
+250
-280
+250
-280
+7-105
-7-108
+7-110
-6½-110
153.7
o152-108
u151+110
o151½-110
u152½-110
2nd H
06:29
76
73
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (7-20)
Morehead State Eagles (20-7)
10.5%
89.5%
+1000
-1397
+1100
-1800
+15½-108
-15½-104
+15½-110
-15½-110
137.6
o137½-108
u138-105
o137½-110
u138½-110
2nd H
14:55
44
39
Ball State Cardinals (12-13)
Northern Illinois Huskies (9-16)
40.1%
59.9%
-101
-110
-105
-110
+1-108
-1-105
+1-110
+0-110
152.0
o145½-105
u146½-116
o145½-110
u146½-110
1st H
02:08
27
27
Connecticut Huskies (24-2)
Creighton Bluejays (19-7)
54.8%
45.2%
-150
+140
-150
+135
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-110
150.2
o144½-108
u145-110
o144-110
u144½-110
1st H
19:55
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Butler Bulldogs
Villanova Wildcats
28.1%
71.9%
+255
-275
+250
-280
+7-108
-6½-110
+7-110
-6½-110
62
72
-0.32507-0.32768-0.32963
North Carolina Central Eagles
Norfolk State Spartans
27.9%
72.1%
+260
-305
+260
-290
+7-108
-7+100
+8-110
-7-105
74
80
-0.31397-0.31741-0.32720
Kansas State Wildcats
Texas Longhorns
25.2%
74.8%
+350
-430
+375
-435
+9-108
-8½-110
+9-110
-9-110
56
62
-0.24208-0.23026-0.29053
Iowa State Cyclones
Houston Cougars
18.4%
81.6%
+349
-420
+370
-420
+8½-110
-8-108
+8½-110
-7½-110
65
73
-0.24354-0.23383-0.20318
MS Valley State Delta Devils
Alabama State Hornets
5.1%
94.9%
+980
-1380
+1200
-1600
+15½-110
-15-108
+15½-110
-15-110
46
61
-0.09467-0.07856-0.05231
Southern University Jaguars
Texas Southern Tigers
46.7%
53.3%
+145
-155
+135
-145
+3-105
-3-108
+3-110
-2½-110
56
68
-0.51371-0.54173-0.62886
Grambling State Tigers
Prairie View A&M Panthers
44.5%
55.5%
+105
-120
-105
-110
+1½-110
-1-108
+1-110
+0-110
83
74
-0.75056-0.70441-0.80995
Bethune Cookman Wildcats
Jackson State Tigers
28.2%
71.8%
+215
-235
+205
-235
+6-108
-6-108
+6½-110
-5½-110
60
61
-0.37333-0.38349-0.33170
Florida A&M Rattlers
Alcorn State Braves
20.0%
80.0%
+500
-620
+525
-650
+11-115
-10½-108
+10½-110
-9½-110
68
79
-0.17694-0.16941-0.22271
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
46.4%
53.6%
+132
-145
+135
-150
+3½-110
-2½-115
+3-110
-3-110
67
75
-0.54713-0.53604-0.62295
Coppin State Eagles
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks
27.9%
72.1%
+235
-260
+220
-250
+6½-115
-6-108
+6-110
-5-110
67
75
-0.34595-0.36291-0.32702
Northwestern State Demons
Texas A&M CC Islanders
20.8%
79.2%
+825
-1175
+850
-650
+16-110
-15½-108
+15-105
-11-110
61
72
-0.11092-0.11463-0.23374
William & Mary Tribe
Charleston Cougars
6.8%
93.2%
+1200
-1800
+1450
-2200
+16½-107
-16-110
+17-110
-16-110
57
65
-0.07807-0.06527-0.06991
Texas A&M Commerce Lions
Incarnate Word Cardinals
50.6%
49.4%
-105
-105
-110
-105
+1-110
+1-110
+0-110
+1-110
76
72
-0.69315-0.68201-0.68098
Nicholls State Colonels
New Orleans Privateers
56.7%
43.3%
-125
+110
-105
+110
-1½-108
+1½-108
+1-110
+1½-110
89
77
-0.61904-0.65736-0.56729
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Howard Bison
27.8%
72.2%
+350
-430
+380
-400
+9-105
-9-108
+9-110
-8-110
75
68
-1.53707-1.57692-1.27848
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0 (1.000)0-0.28116 
Sportsbooks44-0 (1.000)0-0.27730 
DRatings44-0 (1.000)0-0.28764
-0.00647
-0.01034

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.