NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Northern Kentucky Norse (18-13)
Oakland Golden Grizzlies (16-15)
42.3%
57.7%
+115
-125
+115
-125
+1½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-109
79.3
82.1
161.4
o161½-110
u161½-105
o162-110
u162½-110
Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers (12-19)
Detroit Titans (15-14)
42.5%
57.5%
+115
-120
+110
-109
+1-102
-1-110
+1½-110
+0-109
76.1
78.9
155.0
o151½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u153-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Youngstown State Penguins (15-16)
Robert Morris Colonials (21-10)
38.4%
61.6%
+157
-175
+170
-170
+3½-110
-3½-105
+4-109
-3½-110
73.7
77.6
151.3
o143-110
u143-104
o143-110
u144-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland State Vikings (11-21)
Wright State Raiders (20-11)
13.4%
86.6%
+876
-1400
+950
-1500
+14½-107
-14½-110
+15-105
-14-110
76.1
87.3
163.4
o162½-105
u162½-110
o162½-110
u163-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Longhorns (18-11)
Arkansas Razorbacks (21-8)
27.1%
72.9%
+278
-290
+265
-300
+7-110
-7-103
+7-109
-7-109
80.0
87.1
167.1
o163½-110
u163½-105
o163½-110
u164½-110
Marquette Golden Eagles (10-19)
Providence Friars (14-15)
35.7%
64.3%
+170
-180
+175
-185
+4½-110
-4-108
+4½-109
-4-110
78.2
82.7
160.9
o161½-110
u162-110
o161-110
u161½-110
Duquesne Dukes (16-13)
Rhode Island Rams (15-14)
49.4%
50.6%
+120
-140
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2-115
+3-109
-2-110
71.7
71.9
143.6
o143-110
u143½-108
o143½-110
u144-110
California Golden Bears (20-9)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-18)
59.6%
40.4%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2-110
+2-105
-1½-110
+2-109
78.4
75.2
153.6
o155-108
u155½-115
o155-110
u155½-110
UAB Blazers (18-11)
Charlotte 49ers (15-14)
56.1%
43.9%
-145
+133
-140
+125
-2½-105
+3-110
-2-115
+2½-109
74.7
72.3
147.0
o147-110
u148-112
o146½-110
u147½-110
Saint Joseph's Hawks (19-10)
Davidson Wildcats (18-11)
37.3%
62.7%
+115
-122
+120
-135
+2-110
-1-115
+2½-110
-2-109
67.5
71.7
139.2
o136½-110
u137-110
o136-110
u136½-110
Miami Hurricanes (23-6)
SMU Mustangs (19-10)
46.8%
53.2%
+105
-120
+105
-115
+1½-110
-1-113
+1½-110
-1-109
79.9
81.2
161.1
o156½-110
u157-110
o156½-110
u157½-110
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (15-14)
George Washington Colonials (16-13)
25.7%
74.3%
+280
-350
+300
-350
+7½-110
-7-110
+7½-109
-7-110
75.1
82.7
157.8
o157-110
u157½-110
o156½-110
u158½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Stonehill Skyhawks (11-20)
Le Moyne Dolphins (15-16)
36.5%
63.5%
+200
-210
+205
-230
+5-110
-4½-110
+5-109
-4½-110
65.4
69.8
135.2
o139½-110
u140½-102
o139½-110
u140-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (11-20)
Mercyhurst Lakers (15-16)
39.2%
60.8%
+157
-170
+170
-170
+4-110
-4-105
+4-109
-3½-110
64.1
67.8
131.9
o132-110
u132-110
o132-110
u132-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Wagner Seahawks (13-16)
Central Connecticut Blue Devils (18-11)
37.5%
62.5%
+157
-169
+155
-170
+3½-110
-3-110
+4-110
-3½-109
66.6
70.6
137.2
o138-115
u138-105
o139-110
u139½-110
Chicago State Cougars (7-24)
LIU Sharks (21-10)
15.1%
84.9%
+550
-600
+550
-660
+11-110
-10½-110
+11-110
-10½-109
63.5
74.3
137.8
o137½-110
u138-110
o137½-110
u139½-110
All Bet Values Active
Eastern Illinois Panthers (12-19)
SIU Edwardsville Cougars (19-12)
31.1%
68.9%
+165
-185
+175
-190
+4-110
-4-107
+4½-110
-4-109
61.4
67.1
128.5
o128-105
u128-107
o127½-110
u128½-110
Ohio State Buckeyes (18-11)
Penn State Nittany Lions (12-17)
78.0%
22.0%
-290
+260
-300
+265
-6½-115
+7-109
-6½-110
+7-109
81.5
73.0
154.5
o152-110
u153-110
o152-110
u153-110
North Florida Ospreys (7-24)
West Georgia Wolves (14-16)
34.9%
65.1%
+155
-170
+160
-160
+3½-105
-3½-110
+3½-105
-3-109
77.7
82.6
160.3
o159½-110
u161-110
o160-110
u160½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (3-28)
USC Upstate Spartans (13-18)
16.9%
83.1%
+500
-650
+550
-590
+11-110
-10½-110
+11-110
-10-110
69.6
79.7
149.3
o143½-110
u143½-110
o143½-110
u145-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Villanova Wildcats (22-7)
DePaul Blue Demons (16-13)
60.3%
39.7%
-130
+120
-130
+120
-2-109
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-109
71.2
67.7
138.9
o135½-110
u136-110
o135½-110
u135½-110
Maryland Terrapins (11-18)
Wisconsin Badgers (20-9)
9.6%
90.4%
+856
-1450
+900
-1400
+14½-105
-14½-110
+14½-109
-14-110
71.0
84.3
155.3
o154-105
u154-110
o154-110
u154½-110
Rice Owls (12-17)
North Texas Mean Green (17-13)
23.5%
76.5%
+245
-290
+260
-280
+6½-110
-6½-105
+7-109
-6½-105
65.2
73.3
138.5
o137½-110
u137½-110
o137-110
u137-110
Loyola Chicago Ramblers (7-22)
Saint Louis Billikens (26-3)
3.2%
96.8%

+2150
-5000
+21½-104
-21½-110
+21½-109
-21-110
66.3
86.9
153.2
o155-104
u155-110
o154½-110
u156-110
UMKC Kangarros (4-26)
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (9-22)
24.4%
75.6%
+334
-425
+375
-450
+9-110
-9-101
+9-109
-8½-110
70.9
78.9
149.8
o148½-110
u149-108
o148½-110
u149½-110
Old Dominion Monarchs (12-20)
Georgia Southern Eagles (16-15)
49.9%
50.1%
+125
-140
+140
-140
+3-110
-2½-105
+3-109
-2½-110
79.6
79.5
159.1
o157½-110
u158-110
o157-110
u157½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Purdue Boilermakers (22-7)
Northwestern Wildcats (13-16)
82.2%
17.8%
-590
+455
-550
+475
-10½-115
+11-110
-10-110
+10½-109
80.2
70.4
150.6
o145½-110
u145½-110
o145½-110
u147-110
Stanford Cardinal (18-11)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-16)
48.2%
51.8%
-115
+100
-120
+105
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
73.1
73.9
147.0
o147½-110
u148-110
o148-110
u149-110
Baylor Bears (15-14)
Houston Cougars (24-5)
11.6%
88.4%
+776
-1250
+800
-1050
+13½-105
-13½-107
+13½-109
-13-115
67.1
78.9
146.0
o144-105
u144-110
o144-110
u144-110
Florida State Seminoles (15-14)
Pitt Panthers (11-18)
51.1%
48.9%
-120
+105
-120
+115
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-109
+2-110
73.8
73.4
147.2
o144½-105
u145-112
o144-110
u145-110
Little Rock Trojans (12-19)
Lindenwood Lions (17-14)
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-185
+175
-200
+4½-105
-4-110
+5-110
-4½-109
71.4
74.9
146.3
o148-110
u148½-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Colorado State Rams (19-10)
New Mexico Lobos (22-7)
25.8%
74.2%
+324
-380
+330
-395
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-109
-8½-105
70.7
78.2
148.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o149½-110
u151-110
USC Trojans (18-11)
Washington Huskies (14-15)
31.9%
68.1%
+190
-225
+200
-225
+5-110
-5½-102
+5½-109
-5-110
73.1
78.7
151.8
o150½-115
u151-110
o150½-110
u150½-110
Games for Mar 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Stetson Hatters (11-20)
Eastern Kentucky Colonels (11-20)
34.4%
65.6%
+207
-225
+210
-220
+6-113
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
156.8
o154-110
u155½-110
o154½-110
u156-110
2nd H
05:50
90
67
Louisiana Lafayette (11-21)
James Madison Dukes (17-14)
31.1%
68.9%
+230
-275
+250
-270
+7-110
-6½-110
+7-109
-6½-110
135.3
o135-110
u135-104
o134½-110
u135½-110
1st H
03:59
18
29
Creighton Bluejays (14-16)
Butler Bulldogs (15-14)
41.3%
58.7%
+135
-145
+125
-145
+3-110
-2½-110
+2½-109
-2½-109
156.8
o155-110
u155½-110
o155½-110
u155½-110
1st H
00:20
32
36
Minnesota Golden Gophers (14-15)
Indiana Hoosiers (17-12)
24.4%
75.6%
+240
-290
+260
-300
+6½+100
-6½-110
+6½-109
-6½-109
141.1
o138½-110
u139-110
o138-110
u139-110
1st H
12:32
6
16
Fordham Rams (16-13)
La Salle Explorers (8-21)
54.7%
45.3%
-165
+149
-165
+145
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3-110
+3½-109
133.4
o131-110
u131½-110
o131½-110
u132-110
1st H
14:36
8
9

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose State Spartans
Fresno State Bulldogs
30.5%
69.5%
+280
-340
+290
-310
+8-110
-7½-109
+7½-105
-7-110
68
82
-0.29308-0.29201-0.36363
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks
Old Dominion Monarchs
16.2%
83.8%
+450
-575
+475
-575
+10-110
-9½-112
+11-110
-10-110
80
87
-0.19346-0.18578-0.17632
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Jackson State Tigers
50.6%
49.4%
-115
-105
-110
+105
-1-110
+1½-110
+0-110
+1½-110
78
81
-0.71505-0.72940-0.70479
Southern University Jaguars
Alabama State Hornets
50.9%
49.1%
-105
-115
+100
-110
+0+100
+1-115
+1-109
+1-110
71
64
-0.71505-0.71668-0.67598
Grambling State Tigers
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
43.0%
57.0%
+118
-135
+125
-130
+2-110
-1½-110
+2½-110
-1½-110
63
77
-0.58695-0.58016-0.56300
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Florida Gators
5.6%
94.4%
+2200
-20000
+2000
-4200
+21-115
-20½-110
+21½-110
-20½-110
74
108
-0.04277-0.04761-0.05816
IPFW Mastodons
Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix
42.9%
57.1%
+170
-180
+175
-190
+4-105
-4-105
+4½-110
-4-110
56
64
-0.45497-0.44150-0.56070
West Virginia Mountaineers
Kansas State Wildcats
54.0%
46.0%
-180
+169
-180
+165
-3½-110
+4-114
-3½-110
+4½-110
63
65
-1.00403-0.99458-0.77583
Kent State Golden Flashes
Northern Illinois Huskies
84.7%
15.3%
-550
+440
-550
+475
-10-110
+10-105
-9½-110
+10½-109
102
76
-0.19791-0.18692-0.16661
Holy Cross Crusaders
Lafayette Leopards
35.9%
64.1%
+175
-195
+190
-200
+4½-111
-4-110
+5-109
-4-110
82
77
-1.03595-1.07614-1.02505
Army Black Knights
Bucknell Bison
36.3%
63.7%
+100
-110
+110
-120
+1-105
-1-105
+1½-109
-1-110
55
65
-0.67015-0.62755-0.45117
Hampton Pirates
William & Mary Tribe
19.3%
80.7%
+550
-750
+600
-750
+11½-109
-11½-110
+12-109
-11½-110
85
94
-0.16073-0.15007-0.21400
Albany Great Danes
Vermont Catamounts
24.4%
75.6%
+367
-475
+400
-415
+9½-104
-9-115
+9½-109
-9-110
56
69
-0.23048-0.22169-0.27922
Oklahoma State Cowboys
UCF Knights
23.8%
76.2%
+350
-415
+375
-425
+8½-106
-8½-110
+9-109
-8½-110
111
104
-1.53174-1.57799-1.43422
Ball State Cardinals
Western Michigan Broncos
41.2%
58.8%
+105
-123
+110
-125
+1½-110
+0-115
+1½-109
-1½-109
74
71
-0.75647-0.77319-0.88586
Drexel Dragons
Hofstra Pride
22.3%
77.7%
+350
-430
+350
-410
+9-115
-8½-110
+8½-109
-8½-109
51
62
-0.24208-0.24406-0.25184
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4736-11 (0.766)0-0.50649 
Sportsbooks4736-11 (0.766)0-0.50563 
DRatings4738-9 (0.809)0-0.50060
0.00588
0.00503

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.