NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2021

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
South Alabama Jaguars (17-10)
Louisiana Lafayette (16-8)
46.0%
54.0%
+120
-135
+120
-130
71.0
72.7
143.8
o146-110
u146-103
o146-110
u146½-110
Duke Blue Devils (11-10)
UNC Tar Heels (15-9)
37.5%
62.5%
+140
-155
+140
-150
71.4
75.4
146.9
o151-109
u151½-105
o150-110
u151½-110
Texas A&M CC Islanders (4-19)
Houston Baptist Huskies (5-17)
35.0%
65.0%
+170
-190
+180
-210
72.6
77.4
150.0
o147½-109
u147-101
o147-110
u147½-110
Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-12)
Georgia State Panthers (14-5)
25.3%
74.7%
+271
-325
+270
-310
69.2
76.9
146.1
o147-113
u148-107
o147½-110
u148-110
Alabama State Hornets (4-13)
Jackson State Tigers (10-5)
12.5%
87.5%
+680
-1010
+700
-1010
59.9
71.4
131.2
o130½-109
u130½-105
o130½-110
u131½-110
Omaha Mavericks (5-19)
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (15-6)
11.0%
89.0%
+837
-1320
+875
-1300
69.0
81.2
150.3
o154-109
u155-105
o153½-110
u154½-110
All Bet Values Active
UNC Wilmington Seahawks (7-9)
William & Mary Tribe (6-9)
55.8%
44.2%
-200
+175
-180
+165
72.3
70.0
142.3
o145-102
u145½-110
o145½-110
u146-110
Vanderbilt Commodores (8-14)
Ole Miss Rebels (14-10)
15.9%
84.1%
+351
-425
+340
-385
65.5
75.9
141.3
o134½-105
u134½-109
o134-110
u134½-110
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (11-8)
UC Davis Aggies (8-7)
47.3%
52.7%
+150
-155
+150
-160
71.5
72.7
144.1
o140½-103
u140-105
o140-110
u141-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seton Hall Pirates (13-11)
St. John's Red Storm (15-10)
45.8%
54.2%
-135
+125
-130
+135
73.8
75.6
149.3
o153-110
u153½-109
o153½-110
u153½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
UC Riverside Highlanders (12-7)
Cal State Northridge Matadors (9-11)
73.1%
26.9%
-370
+317
-365
+320
72.2
65.0
137.2
o143-109
u143½-105
o143-110
u144-110
UC Irvine Anteaters (15-8)
Long Beach State 49ers (5-10)
78.6%
21.4%
-360
+317
-350
+335
74.5
65.9
140.4
o141-110
u141½-109
o141-110
u141½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Morehead State Eagles (22-7)
Belmont Bruins (26-3)
33.7%
66.3%
+245
-270
+235
-260
68.9
74.1
142.9
o137½-109
u137½-109
o137½-110
u137½-110
VMI Keydets (12-11)
Furman Paladins (16-8)
24.5%
75.5%
+290
-360
+300
-340
74.3
82.2
156.6
o151½-105
u151½-109
o150½-110
u152-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (3-18)
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (18-4)
5.6%
94.4%
+1160
-2000
+1300
-2100
59.2
75.7
135.0
o129-109
u129-109
o129-110
u129-110
Cal State Fullerton Titans (6-8)
UC San Diego Tritons (6-10)
39.1%
60.9%
+125
-140
+130
-140
67.5
71.1
138.6
o150½-110
u151-109
o151-110
u151½-110
Southeastern Louisiana Lions (7-16)
New Orleans Privateers (8-14)
22.8%
77.2%
+275
-340
+300
-315
71.2
79.5
150.6
o150½-109
u151-105
o151-110
u151-110
Tarleton State Texans (9-10)
UTRGV Vaqueros (9-8)
31.5%
68.5%
+144
-155
+135
-155
66.9
72.6
139.5
o131-101
u131-109
o130-110
u131-110
Troy Trojans (11-16)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (15-6)
28.2%
71.8%
+351
-425
+365
-420
67.7
74.4
142.1
o141-109
u141-105
o140-110
u141-110
Appalachian State Mountaineers (14-11)
Texas State Bobcats (18-6)
39.3%
60.7%
+185
-210
+180
-195
61.9
65.5
127.3
o122-109
u122-109
o122-110
u122½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Davidson Wildcats (13-7)
VCU Rams (18-6)
51.2%
48.8%
+105
-120
+110
-118
68.1
67.6
135.7
o133-109
u133½-103
o132½-110
u133½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Loyola Marymount Lions (13-8)
Saint Mary's College Gaels (13-8)
39.4%
60.6%
+200
-222
+190
-210
64.8
68.3
133.2
o123-109
u123-109
o123-110
u123½-110
Xavier Musketeers (13-6)
Marquette Golden Eagles (12-13)
44.0%
56.0%
+110
-125
+115
-130
70.3
72.7
143.0
o144-110
u144½-109
o144-110
u144½-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (11-9)
Grand Canyon Antelopes (14-6)
27.1%
72.9%
+283
-350
+300
-340
67.8
74.9
142.6
o137-109
u137-104
o137-110
u137½-110
Seattle Redhawks (11-9)
California Baptist Lancers (12-9)
34.7%
65.3%
+140
-160
+135
-150
70.1
75.0
145.1
o150-109
u150-109
o149½-110
u150-110
New Mexico State Aggies (9-7)
Dixie State Trailblazers (8-12)
82.6%
17.4%
-750
+590
-650
+585
76.1
66.1
142.2
o140-109
u140-109
o139½-110
u140-110
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (6-8)
Grambling State Tigers (10-11)
25.3%
74.7%
+265
-320
+270
-310
63.7
71.4
135.2
o128½-115
u130½-115
o128-110
u128½-110
Western Illinois Leathernecks (7-14)
South Dakota Coyotes (13-10)
24.5%
75.5%
+260
-300
+255
-280
71.4
79.3
150.7
o152½-105
u153-110
o151½-110
u152½-110
Utah State Aggies (17-7)
Fresno State Bulldogs (11-10)
69.6%
30.4%
-400
+351
-400
+375
69.9
64.1
134.0
o132½-109
u132½-109
o133-110
u133-110
UNLV Rebels (11-13)
Wyoming Cowboys (12-10)
41.3%
58.7%
-101
-115
+100
-115
70.2
73.3
143.5
o144-105
u144-105
o143-110
u144-110
Games for Mar 5, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Illinois Fighting Illini (19-6)
Ohio State Buckeyes (18-7)
42.0%
58.0%
+128
-138
+130
-135
145.5
o150½-109
u151-112
o150½-110
u151-110
2nd H
00:14
73
68
USC Trojans (20-6)
UCLA Bruins (17-7)
44.8%
55.2%
-131
+125
-125
+120
136.0
o135-110
u135½-109
o134½-110
u135½-110
FINAL
FINAL
64
63
Incarnate Word Cardinals (8-12)
Abilene Christian Wildcats (20-4)
4.8%
95.2%
+1500
-3500
+1500
-2375
137.9
o131½-109
u131½-109
o130½-110
u131½-110
FINAL
FINAL
60
85
Southern University Jaguars (8-9)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-8)
26.7%
73.3%
+215
-255
+220
-260
140.3
o144½-115
u145-105
o144½-110
u144½-110
2nd H
03:20
69
63
Texas A&M Aggies (8-8)
Arkansas Razorbacks (20-5)
10.9%
89.1%
+940
-1350
+900
-1310
142.3
o136½-109
u137½-110
o136½-110
u137-110
2nd H
14:33
55
47
Iowa State Cyclones (2-20)
Kansas State Wildcats (7-19)
29.5%
70.5%
+188
-205
+190
-210
136.2
o133-105
u133-105
o132½-110
u133-110
2nd H
15:54
29
37
UAB Blazers (20-6)
North Texas Mean Green (13-8)
27.0%
73.0%
+170
-180
+170
-185
133.0
o125-109
u125-109
o125½-110
u126-110
2nd H
14:08
45
32
Old Dominion Monarchs (15-6)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (17-6)
22.7%
77.3%
+255
-300
+260
-280
139.4
o137-110
u137½-109
o137-110
u137½-110
2nd H
15:25
34
41
Lamar Cardinals (7-17)
McNeese State Cowboys (10-12)
45.0%
55.0%
-110
-110
+100
-115
151.6
o141-117
u144-115
o142-110
u143½-110
2nd H
10:10
50
37
Morgan State Bears (12-6)
Delaware State Hornets (2-16)
82.9%
17.1%
-1010
+680
-1100
+845
159.0
o156½-109
u157-110
o156½-110
u157-110
2nd H
16:57
44
40
Butler Bulldogs (9-13)
Creighton Bluejays (17-7)
13.4%
86.6%
+620
-825
+650
-825
139.4
o134-109
u134-109
o133½-110
u134-110
2nd H
17:45
36
49
Mercer Bears (16-10)
Wofford Terriers (15-8)
48.2%
51.8%
+146
-160
+150
-165
149.9
o141½-109
u142-110
o140½-110
u141½-110
TIME
HALF
40
23
Saint Louis Billikens (14-5)
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (14-4)
58.2%
41.8%
-140
+128
-140
+130
135.3
o130-105
u130-105
o130-110
u131-110
1st H
19:55
0
0
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (15-5)
Sam Houston State Bearkats (19-7)
48.8%
51.2%
-115
+100
-115
+100
151.2
o149-114
u149½-105
o148½-110
u149-110
1st H
15:30
4
8

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Towson Tigers
Elon Phoenix
47.8%
52.2%
+160
-167
+155
-170
48
69
-0.47929-0.48418-0.64926
American University Eagles
Army Black Knights
29.2%
70.8%
+175
-195
+175
-195
66
89
-0.43833-0.43833-0.34572
Villanova Wildcats
Providence Friars
65.3%
34.7%
-186
+173
-190
+175
52
54
-1.02082-1.03022-1.05970
ETSU Buccaneers
Chattanooga Mocs
56.0%
44.0%
-167
+165
-160
+160
63
53
-0.47209-0.48552-0.57980
Central Arkansas Bears
Northwestern State Demons
36.9%
63.1%
+145
-160
+150
-165
70
79
-0.50878-0.49617-0.46040
Alabama Crimson Tide
Georgia Bulldogs
73.4%
26.6%
-290
+260
-310
+270
89
79
-0.31741-0.30562-0.30859
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks6038-22 (0.633)0-0.61832 
Sportsbooks6038-22 (0.633)0-0.61496 
DRatings6036-24 (0.600)0-0.63405
-0.01573
-0.01909

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.