Excelsior at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Excelsior

9.4%16.0%74.5%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.41

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
W 2-1 at Ajax
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 0-1 at Twente
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
L 5-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+675-+675---+675-
AZ Alkmaar-320--320----320-
Draw+475-+475---+475-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior------
AZ Alkmaar------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105-o3½-105---o3½-105-
Underu3½-115-u3½-115---u3½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.31%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 417.55%
Exactly 65.78%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.56%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.03%
Exactly 72.59%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 048.07%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.90%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 70.84%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.33%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 071.24%
Exactly 124.16%
Exactly 24.10%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals2.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals51.72%
Wins by 3+ goals29.97%
Wins by 4+ goals14.59%
Wins by 5+ goals6.03%
Wins by 6+ goals2.12%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal6.89%
Wins by 2 goals1.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.72%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals15.39%
Wins by 4 goals8.56%
Wins by 5 goals3.91%
Wins by 6 goals1.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.69%4.31%
1.582.12%17.88%
2.560.81%39.19%
3.538.48%61.52%
4.520.94%79.06%
5.59.90%90.10%
6.54.13%95.87%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.93%48.07%
1.516.72%83.28%
2.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.39%30.61%
2.543.31%56.69%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.67%23.33%
1.542.71%57.29%
2.518.00%82.00%
3.56.02%93.98%
4.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.31%
10.40%
12.54%
10.07%
6.07%
2.93%
1
3.16%
7.62%
9.18%
7.38%
4.45%
2.14%
2
1.16%
2.79%
3.36%
2.70%
1.63%
0.79%
3
0.28%
0.68%
0.82%
0.66%
0.40%
0.19%
Excelsior
1-03.16%
2-01.16%
2-12.79%
3-00.28%
3-10.68%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-04.31%
1-17.62%
2-23.36%
3-30.66%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.40%
0-212.54%
1-29.18%
0-310.07%
1-37.38%
2-32.70%
0-46.07%
1-44.45%
2-41.63%
3-40.40%
0-52.93%
1-52.14%
2-50.79%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
23.33%
26.04%
14.53%
5.41%
1.51%
0.34%
1
7.91%
8.83%
4.93%
1.83%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.34%
1.50%
0.84%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-07.91%
2-01.34%
2-11.50%
3-00.15%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.33%
1-18.83%
2-20.84%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.04%
0-214.53%
1-24.93%
0-35.41%
1-31.83%
2-30.31%
0-41.51%
1-40.51%
0-50.34%
1-50.11%