NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (19-16-4)
New York Islanders (20-13-4)
Igor Shesterkin
Ilya Sorokin
43.6%
56.4%
+101
-115
+104
-114
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+195
2.62
3.31
5.93
o5½-102
u5½-110
o5½-110
u5½-110
Minnesota Wild (22-10-6)
Winnipeg Jets (15-17-3)
Filip Gustavsson
Connor Hellebuyck
49.9%
50.1%
-111
-103
-105
-105
+1½-245
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+200
2.92
2.93
5.85
o5½-113
u6-120
o6-110
u6-110
Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3)
Florida Panthers (20-14-2)
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sergei Bobrovsky
43.6%
56.4%
+105
-118
+105
-115
+1½-230
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
2.60
3.28
5.88
o6+104
u6-120
o6+100
u6-120
Boston Bruins (20-17-1)
Buffalo Sabres (18-14-4)
Jeremy Swayman
Alex Lyon
41.7%
58.3%
+128
-145
+130
-140
+1½-183
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+155
2.62
3.52
6.14
o6½+112
u6+104
o6-120
u6+100
Detroit Red Wings (22-13-3)
Carolina Hurricanes (22-11-3)
John Gibson
Frederik Andersen
38.4%
61.6%
+175
-200
+175
-195
+1½-142
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
2.56
3.64
6.20
o6-115
u6-101
o6-115
u6-105
Ottawa Senators (18-13-5)
Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5)
Linus Ullmark
Joseph Woll
48.8%
51.2%
-108
-106
-105
-105
+1½-270
-1½+220
+1½-230
-1½+200
2.92
3.05
5.97
o6-108
u6-108
o6-115
u6-105
Washington Capitals (19-13-5)
New Jersey Devils (20-16-1)
Logan Thompson
Jake Allen
49.6%
50.4%
+110
-123
+110
-120
+1½-225
-1½+185
+1½-230
-1½+200
2.85
2.89
5.74
o5½-115
u5½+100
o5½-120
u5½+100
Chicago Blackhawks (13-17-6)
Dallas Stars (25-7-6)
Spencer Knight
Jake Oettinger
27.1%
72.9%
+295
-340
+285
-330
+1½+117
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-140
2.21
3.70
5.91
o5½-117
u5½+103
o5½-115
u5½-105
Nashville Predators (16-16-4)
St. Louis Blues (14-16-8)
Juuse Saros
Jordan Binnington
52.1%
47.9%
+105
-119
+105
-115
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-230
-1½+200
2.98
2.76
5.74
o5½-117
u5½+104
o5½-120
u5½+100
Anaheim Ducks (21-14-2)
Los Angeles Kings (15-12-9)
Lukáš Dostál
Darcy Kuemper
42.9%
57.1%
+125
-140
+125
-135
+1½-190
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+165
2.61
3.38
5.99
o6-115
u6-101
o6-115
u6-105
Colorado Avalanche (27-2-7)
Vegas Golden Knights (17-8-10)
Scott Wedgewood
Akira Schmid
60.1%
39.9%
-138
+123
-132
+122
-1½+178
+1½-215
-1½+175
+1½-200
3.64
2.61
6.25
o6-112
u6-104
o6-120
u6+100
Edmonton Oilers (19-13-6)
Calgary Flames (15-18-4)
Tristan Jarry
Dustin Wolf
55.1%
44.9%
-122
+108
-120
+110
-1½+195
+1½-235
-1½+195
+1½-220
3.27
2.73
6.00
o6½+100
u6½-115
o6½-105
u6½-115
San Jose Sharks (17-17-3)
Vancouver Canucks (15-18-3)
Yaroslav Askarov
Thatcher Demko
41.9%
58.1%
+130
-140
+125
-135
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
2.67
3.54
6.21
o6-108
u6-108
o6-110
u6-110
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vegas Golden Knights
Philadelphia Flyers
57.9%
42.1%
-129
+115
-120
+115
-1½+185
+1½-207
-1½+200
+1½-200
5
4
-0.60195-0.61667-0.54619
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
42.5%
57.5%
+152
-165
+155
-157
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+156
4
1
-0.94353-0.93912-0.85642
Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning
44.6%
55.4%
+103
-116
+109
-110
+1½-232
-1½+205
+1½-212
-1½+220
2
8
-0.65089-0.64890-0.59066
Utah Mammoth
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.6%
61.4%
+165
-178
+165
-180
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
3
-0.46334-0.46185-0.48800
New York Rangers
Edmonton Oilers
51.3%
48.7%
+126
-138
+132
-130
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
6
-0.56708-0.56678-0.71949
Buffalo Sabres
San Jose Sharks
65.7%
34.3%
-131
+120
-134
+130
-1½+168
+1½-184
-1½+175
+1½-185
4
2
-0.58864-0.56488-0.41939
St. Louis Blues
New York Islanders
40.2%
59.8%
+143
-153
+140
-154
+1½-183
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
3
-0.51909-0.52308-0.51467
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
49.3%
50.7%
-113
+102
-115
+110
-1½+210
+1½-235
-1½+210
+1½-230
4
2
-0.65915-0.63673-0.70712
Utah Mammoth
Pittsburgh Penguins
53.3%
46.7%
-133
+122
-125
+126
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-204
6
1
-0.58173-0.58582-0.62901
Vegas Golden Knights
Montreal Canadiens
67.2%
32.8%
-171
+160
-170
+155
-1½+147
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
2
-0.47594-0.48418-0.39791
Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators
43.8%
56.2%
+126
-140
+125
-135
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
3
-0.84084-0.82968-0.82535
Boston Bruins
Detroit Red Wings
51.7%
48.3%
-138
+125
-136
+126
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
+1½-200
2
1
-0.56900-0.56976-0.66016
New Jersey Devils
Washington Capitals
50.6%
49.4%
-139
+125
-140
+130
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+190
+1½-188
3
2
-0.56768-0.55696-0.68051
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
69.6%
30.4%
-235
+208
-227
+210
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
4
5
-1.15075-1.14803-1.19066
Winnipeg Jets
Nashville Predators
57.2%
42.8%
+127
-139
+130
-125
+1½-202
-1½+178
+1½-204
-1½+215
1
4
-0.56387-0.57807-0.84940
Colorado Avalanche
Florida Panthers
41.9%
58.1%
+115
-125
+110
-119
+1½-222
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+205
7
4
-0.78592-0.76132-0.87079
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74334517-2868 (0.611)48-0.65793 
Sportsbooks74334519-2877 (0.610)37-0.65733 
DRatings74334479-2954 (0.603)0-0.66116
-0.00323
-0.00383

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (27-2-7, 61 pts)57.414.410.3125.0100.0%94.6%94.4%46.1%34.9%
2Dallas Stars (25-7-6, 56 pts)50.621.59.9111.1100.0%5.3%5.3%15.9%9.7%
3Minnesota Wild (22-10-6, 50 pts)45.126.610.3100.497.5%0.1%0.1%6.6%3.2%
4Carolina Hurricanes (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.326.67.1103.796.1%59.4%42.3%21.2%9.3%
5Detroit Red Wings (22-13-3, 47 pts)43.730.57.895.265.6%16.7%6.2%6.6%2.2%
6Philadelphia Flyers (19-10-7, 45 pts)41.828.411.895.465.2%10.0%5.4%4.8%1.5%
7Montreal Canadiens (20-12-5, 45 pts)41.230.89.992.448.9%8.9%2.7%3.5%1.2%
8Vegas Golden Knights (17-8-10, 44 pts)42.225.214.699.194.8%50.7%0.2%9.6%5.2%
9New York Islanders (20-13-4, 44 pts)44.029.68.496.472.7%14.5%8.1%9.0%3.3%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-13-6, 44 pts)42.429.310.395.287.3%24.7%0.0%8.2%4.2%
11Anaheim Ducks (21-14-2, 44 pts)44.031.46.694.686.7%17.5%0.0%5.4%2.5%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3, 43 pts)45.329.47.297.982.0%33.2%12.8%14.5%5.9%
13Washington Capitals (19-13-5, 43 pts)42.130.39.693.860.5%7.9%4.8%6.7%2.2%
14Florida Panthers (20-14-2, 42 pts)45.130.66.396.577.7%23.2%8.8%13.6%5.5%
15New York Rangers (19-16-4, 42 pts)41.032.68.490.436.0%2.4%0.9%3.2%1.0%
16New Jersey Devils (20-16-1, 41 pts)43.632.95.692.752.9%5.6%3.1%5.8%1.8%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-5, 41 pts)41.430.99.792.548.7%8.4%2.1%5.0%1.7%
18Boston Bruins (20-17-1, 41 pts)41.234.95.988.324.5%3.2%0.8%1.6%0.5%
19Buffalo Sabres (18-14-4, 40 pts)40.832.29.090.638.6%5.9%1.8%2.9%0.9%
20Los Angeles Kings (15-12-9, 39 pts)37.630.414.089.257.9%4.7%0.0%2.4%0.9%
21Utah Mammoth (18-18-3, 39 pts)40.134.37.587.848.8%0.0%0.0%2.5%1.1%
22Pittsburgh Penguins (15-12-9, 39 pts)34.932.614.584.310.2%0.2%0.1%0.4%0.0%
23Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5, 37 pts)37.034.810.284.210.8%0.5%0.1%0.7%0.2%
24San Jose Sharks (17-17-3, 37 pts)37.436.58.183.018.3%0.8%0.0%0.4%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (15-15-6, 36 pts)36.634.211.284.49.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.1%
26Nashville Predators (16-16-4, 36 pts)37.735.29.184.428.9%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.2%
27Seattle Kraken (15-14-6, 36 pts)35.435.011.782.418.6%0.5%0.0%0.4%0.1%
28St. Louis Blues (14-16-8, 36 pts)32.736.013.378.77.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
29Calgary Flames (15-18-4, 34 pts)35.437.59.079.910.8%0.4%0.0%0.2%0.1%
30Winnipeg Jets (15-17-3, 33 pts)37.436.58.182.923.8%0.0%0.0%1.0%0.5%
31Vancouver Canucks (15-18-3, 33 pts)36.937.18.081.717.0%0.7%0.0%0.5%0.2%
32Chicago Blackhawks (13-17-6, 32 pts)31.738.611.775.12.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.