NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Philadelphia Flyers (19-10-7)
Seattle Kraken (15-14-6)
Samuel Ersson
Joey Daccord
54.8%
45.2%
-145
+129
-138
+130
-1½+182
+1½-205
-1½+190
+1½-210
3.10
2.58
5.68
o5½-106
u5½+101
o5½-115
u5½+100
Games for Dec 27, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Montreal Canadiens (20-12-5)
Tampa Bay Lightning (21-13-3)
41.3%
58.7%
+117
-128
+125
-132
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
6.17
o6½+104
u6½-115
o6-120
u6½-115
3rd P
09:24
2
4
New York Islanders (21-13-4)
Columbus Blue Jackets (15-15-6)
47.3%
52.7%
+126
-135
+120
-130
+1½-196
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
6.51
o6½+115
u6+103
o6-105
u6+100
3rd P
11:34
2
1
Toronto Maple Leafs (17-15-5)
Detroit Red Wings (22-14-3)
43.3%
56.7%
+115
-128
+120
-130
+1½-208
-1½+182
+1½-210
-1½+195
6.51
o6½+100
u6½-112
o6½+100
u6½-115
1st P
12:13
0
0
Pittsburgh Penguins (15-12-9)
Chicago Blackhawks (14-17-6)
53.6%
46.4%
-145
+132
-137
+140
-1½+165
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-175
6.31
o6-105
u6-103
o6-105
u6-110
1st P
11:42
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
New Jersey Devils
46.2%
53.8%
+127
-138
+125
-137
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
1
-0.83993-0.83319-0.77197
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
30.5%
69.5%
+240
-266
+235
-260
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½-104
2
3
-0.33982-0.34595-0.36367
Nashville Predators
San Jose Sharks
67.2%
32.8%
-219
+208
-220
+203
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+112
+1½-130
4
2
-0.38725-0.39207-0.39817
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
39.9%
60.1%
+163
-176
+160
-176
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
6
3
-0.98473-0.97755-0.91832
Minnesota Wild
Seattle Kraken
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-141
+130
-140
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-196
-1½+175
5
2
-0.85257-0.85085-0.86767
Dallas Stars
Carolina Hurricanes
46.3%
53.7%
+119
-133
+118
-129
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
2
1
-0.81099-0.80111-0.77089
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado Avalanche
46.9%
53.1%
+106
-114
+110
-118
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
4
3
-0.74068-0.75927-0.75803
Vegas Golden Knights
Ottawa Senators
50.4%
49.6%
+103
-116
+105
-110
+1½-240
-1½+208
+1½-240
-1½+215
3
4
-0.65089-0.65817-0.70110
Boston Bruins
Vancouver Canucks
47.1%
52.9%
+102
-115
+105
-115
+1½-244
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+225
2
3
-0.65520-0.64814-0.63633
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
30.0%
70.0%
+210
-238
+210
-232
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+107
2
3
-0.37714-0.37955-0.35612
New York Rangers
Philadelphia Flyers
55.5%
44.5%
-138
+125
-137
+125
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+185
+1½-206
2
1
-0.56900-0.57033-0.58888
Montreal Canadiens
New Jersey Devils
35.1%
64.9%
+205
-225
+200
-222
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+108
3
4
-0.38769-0.39439-0.43243
Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Islanders
51.7%
48.3%
-109
+100
-110
+100
-1½+220
+1½-245
+1½-265
-1½+229
4
2
-0.67229-0.67015-0.65948
St. Louis Blues
Detroit Red Wings
42.6%
57.4%
+136
-145
+132
-145
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
6
-0.53996-0.54713-0.55431
Minnesota Wild
Edmonton Oilers
35.2%
64.8%
+160
-172
+160
-170
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+141
4
2
-0.97233-0.96964-1.04273
Winnipeg Jets
Chicago Blackhawks
69.9%
30.1%
-273
+246
-270
+250
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
3
2
-0.33282-0.33041-0.35833
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74464523-2874 (0.611)49-0.65807 
Sportsbooks74464526-2883 (0.610)37-0.65748 
DRatings74464485-2961 (0.602)0-0.66126
-0.00318
-0.00378

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/27/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (28-2-7, 63 pts)58.213.610.2126.6100.0%96.8%96.8%48.8%36.4%
2Dallas Stars (25-7-7, 57 pts)49.521.610.9109.9100.0%3.0%3.0%14.0%8.4%
3Minnesota Wild (23-10-6, 52 pts)45.925.810.3102.098.6%0.2%0.2%7.3%3.7%
4Carolina Hurricanes (23-11-3, 49 pts)49.125.97.0105.298.1%66.9%49.9%23.2%10.4%
5Detroit Red Wings (22-14-3, 47 pts)43.331.17.694.262.0%12.3%3.1%5.5%1.7%
6New York Islanders (21-13-4, 46 pts)44.529.28.397.380.4%13.8%9.2%10.1%3.8%
7Tampa Bay Lightning (21-13-3, 45 pts)46.228.77.199.587.2%46.1%16.6%17.0%7.3%
8Vegas Golden Knights (17-8-11, 45 pts)41.624.915.498.796.1%53.7%0.0%9.7%4.7%
9Washington Capitals (20-13-5, 45 pts)43.129.69.495.570.2%8.4%4.2%6.8%2.4%
10Philadelphia Flyers (19-10-7, 45 pts)41.528.611.994.863.5%6.2%3.8%5.2%1.7%
11Montreal Canadiens (20-12-5, 45 pts)41.430.710.092.752.7%9.8%1.8%3.3%1.0%
12Edmonton Oilers (19-14-6, 44 pts)41.830.110.193.784.1%19.0%0.0%6.7%3.1%
13Anaheim Ducks (21-15-2, 44 pts)42.932.56.692.375.8%13.8%0.0%4.3%1.7%
14Florida Panthers (20-15-2, 42 pts)44.431.36.395.169.7%17.4%5.7%11.1%4.6%
15New Jersey Devils (20-16-2, 42 pts)42.832.86.492.046.9%3.0%1.8%5.0%1.5%
16Buffalo Sabres (19-14-4, 42 pts)41.332.08.791.444.6%6.7%1.3%3.7%1.3%
17New York Rangers (19-17-4, 42 pts)40.533.18.489.531.9%1.5%0.9%2.4%0.8%
18Los Angeles Kings (16-12-9, 41 pts)38.529.813.890.765.7%10.2%0.0%3.5%1.3%
19Ottawa Senators (18-14-5, 41 pts)40.531.99.690.639.1%3.7%0.8%3.9%1.4%
20Boston Bruins (20-18-1, 41 pts)40.535.85.886.718.7%2.0%0.5%1.2%0.4%
21Utah Mammoth (18-18-3, 39 pts)40.334.37.388.050.6%0.0%0.0%3.0%1.2%
22Toronto Maple Leafs (17-15-5, 39 pts)38.033.910.286.116.5%2.0%0.3%1.0%0.3%
23Pittsburgh Penguins (15-12-9, 39 pts)34.932.614.484.39.9%0.1%0.0%0.4%0.0%
24San Jose Sharks (18-17-3, 39 pts)38.035.98.084.126.6%1.4%0.0%0.5%0.2%
25St. Louis Blues (15-16-8, 38 pts)33.135.613.379.510.2%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
26Columbus Blue Jackets (15-15-6, 36 pts)36.434.411.283.98.6%0.1%0.1%0.4%0.1%
27Nashville Predators (16-17-4, 36 pts)36.936.19.082.720.3%0.0%0.0%0.4%0.1%
28Seattle Kraken (15-14-6, 36 pts)35.534.911.682.618.5%1.2%0.0%0.4%0.1%
29Calgary Flames (16-18-4, 36 pts)36.236.89.081.415.8%0.6%0.0%0.3%0.2%
30Winnipeg Jets (15-17-4, 34 pts)36.736.19.182.622.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
31Chicago Blackhawks (14-17-6, 34 pts)32.837.711.577.14.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (15-19-3, 33 pts)35.838.28.079.610.9%0.1%0.0%0.4%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.