NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Jose Sharks (11-9-1)
New Jersey Devils (9-6-4)
Adin Hill
MacKenzie Blackwood
43.2%
56.8%
+120
-132
+125
-129
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
2.59
3.31
5.90
o5½-102
u5½-108
o5½-110
u5½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Capitals (14-3-5)
Florida Panthers (14-4-3)
Ilya Samsonov
Sergei Bobrovsky
45.5%
54.5%
+127
-140
+130
-136
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2.81
3.29
6.10
o6-105
u6-105
o6-110
u6-110
Detroit Red Wings (10-9-3)
Boston Bruins (11-7-0)
Alex Nedeljkovic
Linus Ullmark
29.3%
70.7%
+195
-215
+200
-208
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+109
2.07
3.47
5.54
o5½+100
u5½-110
o5½-110
u5½-110
Columbus Blue Jackets (12-7-0)
Nashville Predators (11-9-1)
Elvis Merzlikins
Juuse Saros
41.3%
58.7%
+137
-150
+135
-141
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
2.25
3.18
5.43
o5½-109
u5½-101
o5½-110
u5½-110
Tampa Bay Lightning (12-5-3)
St. Louis Blues (11-7-3)
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jordan Binnington
52.7%
47.3%
+100
-108
-105
-105
-1½+245
+1½-280
-1½+250
+1½-280
2.98
2.70
5.68
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-115
u5½-105
Arizona Coyotes (4-15-2)
Minnesota Wild (14-6-1)
Scott Wedgewood
Cam Talbot
24.7%
75.3%
+280
-340

+1½+115
-1½-135

1.94
3.64
5.58
o6+100
u6-120

Carolina Hurricanes (15-4-1)
Dallas Stars (10-7-2)
Frederik Andersen
Jake Oettinger
57.3%
42.7%
-113
+102
-110
+105
-1½+200
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-235
3.19
2.40
5.59
o5½+112
u5½-123
o5½+105
u5½-125
Anaheim Ducks (11-8-3)
Los Angeles Kings (9-8-3)
John Gibson
Jonathan Quick
43.1%
56.9%
+113
-125
+115
-122
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+195
2.30
3.04
5.34
o5½+100
u5½-110
o5½-105
u5½-115
Games for Nov 29, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Stars
Arizona Coyotes
57.7%
42.3%
-176
+165
-177
+170
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+146
+1½-150
3
2
-0.46485-0.45719-0.55007
Columbus Blue Jackets
St. Louis Blues
42.1%
57.9%
+167
-180
+165
-168
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
6
-0.45907-0.47124-0.54635
Montreal Canadiens
Pittsburgh Penguins
39.5%
60.5%
+193
-216
+195
-212
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+114
6
3
-1.09952-1.10012-0.92935
Ottawa Senators
Los Angeles Kings
36.9%
63.1%
+165
-180
+177
-188
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+125
2
4
-0.46185-0.44021-0.46026
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
38.3%
61.7%
+170
-187
+175
-185
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+135
2
3
-0.45008-0.44482-0.48355
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
50.6%
49.4%
+119
-131
+126
-130
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
2
-0.80735-0.82303-0.68191
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.81640 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.80409 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.82890
-0.01250
-0.02481

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/28/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Toronto Maple Leafs (16-6-1, 33 pts)47.726.86.5101.997.1%43.4%20.8%11.3%5.6%
2Washington Capitals (14-3-5, 33 pts)45.423.210.4101.391.9%52.1%25.8%13.5%6.7%
3Carolina Hurricanes (15-4-1, 31 pts)49.824.06.2105.895.8%60.9%36.6%21.7%11.9%
4Florida Panthers (14-4-3, 31 pts)48.523.58.0105.199.4%58.7%31.2%19.2%10.6%
5Edmonton Oilers (15-5-0, 30 pts)47.326.85.8100.597.8%55.5%29.8%13.8%6.5%
6Minnesota Wild (14-6-1, 29 pts)46.227.26.699.090.1%50.3%25.2%12.3%5.9%
7Calgary Flames (12-4-5, 29 pts)43.226.010.897.294.2%44.9%20.9%8.6%3.6%
8New York Rangers (13-4-3, 29 pts)43.826.38.996.677.7%34.5%14.5%6.5%2.9%
9Tampa Bay Lightning (12-5-3, 27 pts)46.424.58.0100.996.9%53.3%29.7%17.7%10.1%
10St. Louis Blues (11-7-3, 25 pts)41.530.39.292.360.1%27.6%11.7%4.9%1.8%
11Anaheim Ducks (11-8-3, 25 pts)37.233.810.084.434.8%7.6%2.7%0.7%0.2%
12Vegas Golden Knights (12-9-0, 24 pts)44.929.75.595.289.9%52.2%29.1%13.6%6.7%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (10-7-4, 24 pts)42.029.19.993.851.7%24.1%11.0%5.1%2.3%
14Columbus Blue Jackets (12-7-0, 24 pts)40.631.86.687.937.2%15.2%5.6%2.0%0.7%
15Winnipeg Jets (10-7-4, 24 pts)38.431.210.487.139.0%21.5%8.3%3.1%1.0%
16Colorado Avalanche (11-6-1, 23 pts)47.925.86.3102.194.9%61.8%39.4%22.6%13.0%
17Nashville Predators (11-9-1, 23 pts)40.931.16.988.853.8%25.6%11.3%4.5%2.0%
18San Jose Sharks (11-9-1, 23 pts)38.533.97.684.643.8%13.0%4.7%1.4%0.4%
19Detroit Red Wings (10-9-3, 23 pts)36.235.19.782.111.6%4.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
20Boston Bruins (11-7-0, 22 pts)45.029.25.895.890.2%33.3%16.2%8.3%4.4%
21Dallas Stars (10-7-2, 22 pts)40.930.88.390.156.7%27.8%12.2%4.5%1.8%
22New Jersey Devils (9-6-4, 22 pts)36.131.910.983.215.8%5.3%1.7%0.5%0.2%
23Los Angeles Kings (9-8-3, 21 pts)36.034.010.082.029.2%8.4%3.3%0.9%0.3%
24Philadelphia Flyers (8-8-4, 20 pts)36.032.510.582.514.0%6.6%2.4%1.0%0.4%
25Buffalo Sabres (8-10-3, 19 pts)32.137.610.374.62.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
26Chicago Blackhawks (7-12-2, 16 pts)33.637.68.976.05.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.1%
27Seattle Kraken (7-13-1, 15 pts)33.537.97.674.67.7%2.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (6-15-2, 14 pts)32.439.98.773.51.7%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
29Vancouver Canucks (6-14-2, 14 pts)30.439.78.969.72.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
30New York Islanders (5-10-2, 12 pts)37.132.88.182.215.9%7.6%3.0%1.4%0.5%
31Arizona Coyotes (4-15-2, 10 pts)28.442.49.266.00.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Ottawa Senators (4-14-1, 9 pts)28.140.78.264.40.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.