NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 13, 2020

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U
Bet
Value
More Details
Columbus Blue Jackets (36-22-18)
Tampa Bay Lightning (46-21-7)
Unknown
Unknown
38.6%
61.4%
+150
-162
+155
-166
1.96
3.03
4.99
o5-130
u5+120
o5-130
u5+120
Chicago Blackhawks (35-30-10)
Vegas Golden Knights (43-24-8)
Unknown
Unknown
39.8%
60.2%
+190
-201
+195
-215
2.77
3.80
6.57
o6-113
u6+102
o6-110
u6-105
Carolina Hurricanes (41-25-5)
Boston Bruins (44-15-14)
Petr Mrazek
Tuukka Rask
46.4%
53.6%
+115
-126
+130
-126
2.47
2.86
5.33
o5½+120
u5+128
o5½+120
u5½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
All Bet Values Active
Calgary Flames (40-27-8)
Dallas Stars (38-24-11)
Cam Talbot
Anton Khudobin
51.0%
49.0%
-101
+180
-104
-105
2.54
2.43
4.97
o5-125
u5+113
o5-125
u5+105
All Bet Values Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 12, 2020

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vegas Golden Knights
Colorado Avalanche
50.6%
49.4%
+105
-114
+106
-110
4
3
-0.73911-0.73228-0.68074
Vancouver Canucks
Minnesota Wild
50.3%
49.7%
+103
-114
+104
-113
5
4
-0.73407-0.73430-0.68669
Toronto Maple Leafs
Columbus Blue Jackets
54.7%
45.3%
-144
+130
-139
+131
4
3
-0.54872-0.55453-0.60406
Edmonton Oilers
Chicago Blackhawks
50.1%
49.9%
-130
+121
-130
+121
2
3
-0.81315-0.81274-0.69431
Pittsburgh Penguins
Montreal Canadiens
58.3%
41.7%
-158
+155
-165
+152
0
2
-0.94192-0.94907-0.87584
Nashville Predators
Arizona Coyotes
55.6%
44.4%
-130
+119
-126
+120
3
4
-0.80811-0.80180-0.81238
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.64403 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.64976 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.64544
-0.00141
0.00431

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Philadelphia Flyers (44-21-7, 95 pts)41.021.07.089.0100.0%21.7%11.2%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (45-21-7, 97 pts)43.021.06.092.0100.0%19.2%10.1%
3Vegas Golden Knights (42-24-8, 92 pts)39.024.08.086.0100.0%18.6%9.2%
4Colorado Avalanche (44-20-9, 97 pts)42.020.08.092.0100.0%17.2%8.6%
5Calgary Flames (39-27-8, 86 pts)36.027.07.079.0100.0%15.3%7.4%
6Boston Bruins (44-15-13, 101 pts)44.014.012.0100.0100.0%14.6%7.6%
7St. Louis Blues (42-20-11, 95 pts)42.019.010.094.0100.0%13.2%6.6%
8Washington Capitals (41-20-10, 92 pts)41.020.08.090.0100.0%12.5%6.3%
9Carolina Hurricanes (41-25-5, 87 pts)38.025.05.081.0100.0%11.4%5.9%
10Vancouver Canucks (39-28-6, 84 pts)36.027.06.078.0100.0%11.6%5.5%
11New York Islanders (38-23-11, 87 pts)35.023.010.080.0100.0%9.5%4.9%
12Dallas Stars (37-24-10, 84 pts)37.024.08.082.0100.0%9.1%4.3%
13Arizona Coyotes (36-29-9, 81 pts)33.029.08.074.0100.0%7.9%3.7%
14Chicago Blackhawks (35-30-9, 79 pts)32.030.08.072.0100.0%7.2%3.3%
15Columbus Blue Jackets (35-22-17, 87 pts)33.022.015.081.0100.0%6.2%2.9%
16Montreal Canadiens (34-31-10, 78 pts)31.031.09.071.0100.0%5.1%2.6%
17Pittsburgh Penguins (41-23-9, 91 pts)40.023.06.086.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
18Edmonton Oilers (38-26-11, 87 pts)37.025.09.083.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
19Toronto Maple Leafs (38-26-10, 86 pts)36.025.09.081.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
20Winnipeg Jets (38-30-7, 83 pts)37.028.06.080.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
21New York Rangers (37-29-7, 81 pts)37.028.05.079.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
22Florida Panthers (36-27-10, 82 pts)35.026.08.078.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
23Nashville Predators (36-27-10, 82 pts)35.026.08.078.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
24Minnesota Wild (36-27-10, 82 pts)35.027.07.077.0100.0%0.0%0.0%
25New Jersey Devils (28-29-12, 68 pts)28.029.012.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (30-31-8, 68 pts)30.031.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%
27Anaheim Ducks (29-33-9, 67 pts)29.033.09.067.00.0%0.0%0.0%
28Los Angeles Kings (29-35-6, 64 pts)29.035.06.064.00.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (29-36-5, 63 pts)29.036.05.063.00.0%0.0%0.0%
30Ottawa Senators (25-34-12, 62 pts)25.034.012.062.00.0%0.0%0.0%
31Detroit Red Wings (17-49-5, 39 pts)17.049.05.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.