NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Florida Panthers (52-24-6)
Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8)
Unknown
Unknown
54.6%
45.4%
+101
-114
+105
-110
+1½-255
-1½+220
+1½-244
-1½+220
3.36
2.87
6.23
o6-106
u6-108
o6-115
u6-103
Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7)
New York Islanders (39-27-16)
Unknown
Unknown
58.8%
41.2%
-156
+141
-154
+140
-1½+168
+1½-183
-1½+171
+1½-185
3.38
2.43
5.81
o5½+100
u5½-114
o5½+100
u5½-115
Games for Apr 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
24.0%
76.0%
+328
-379
+329
-370
+1½+133
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
3
-0.25873-0.25937-0.27458
Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers
44.4%
55.6%
-102
-106
+101
-110
+1½-241
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+213
3
1
-0.70261-0.71924-0.81157
Boston Bruins
Pittsburgh Penguins
54.3%
45.7%
-134
+120
-128
+117
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-220
6
4
-0.58431-0.59931-0.61046
Columbus Blue Jackets
Nashville Predators
34.4%
65.6%
+256
-275
+240
-265
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½-109
-1½-105
4
6
-0.32429-0.34011-0.42106
Detroit Red Wings
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.2%
60.8%
+147
-160
+152
-160
+1½-160
+1½-363
+1½-160
-1½+146
5
4
-0.92425-0.93639-0.93759
Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators
40.7%
59.3%
+145
-152
+150
-160
+1½-170
-1½+167
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
5
-0.51683-0.50078-0.52329
Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington Capitals
57.0%
43.0%
-138
+123
-135
+124
-1½+178
+1½-202
-1½+181
+1½-205
2
4
-0.82986-0.82716-0.84304
Buffalo Sabres
Florida Panthers
36.2%
63.8%
+195
-210
+202
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+125
2
3
-0.40573-0.39797-0.44957
New Jersey Devils
Philadelphia Flyers
51.2%
48.8%
+113
-122
+115
-120
+1½-222
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+195
0
1
-0.61750-0.61667-0.71779
Winnipeg Jets
Colorado Avalanche
44.6%
55.4%
+133
-148
+133
-145
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
0
-0.87151-0.86669-0.80771
Seattle Kraken
Dallas Stars
35.1%
64.9%
+213
-240
+216
-230
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-129
-1½+111
1
3
-0.37337-0.37436-0.43177
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
38.3%
61.7%
+155
-161
+151
-160
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.49209-0.49921-0.48266
Calgary Flames
Anaheim Ducks
57.4%
42.6%
-135
+126
-130
+120
-1½+174
+1½-198
-1½+185
+1½-200
6
3
-0.57111-0.59012-0.55452
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
40.4%
59.6%
+158
-166
+155
-155
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+165
2
7
-0.48310-0.49784-0.51693
Arizona Coyotes
Edmonton Oilers
31.1%
68.9%
+235
-268
+235
-260
+1½-105
-1½-112
+1½-105
-1½-103
3
2
-1.23536-1.22946-1.16767
Nashville Predators
Chicago Blackhawks
65.5%
34.5%
-240
+220
-240
+220
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
1
-0.36652-0.36652-0.42269
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-2 (0.167)1-0.88257 
Sportsbooks30-3 (0.000)0-0.87525 
DRatings31-2 (0.333)0-0.81561
0.06696
0.05964

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%92.0%51.5%29.5%17.8%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%88.1%54.2%28.6%16.6%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%92.9%44.8%22.6%12.6%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%74.7%43.9%23.5%11.9%
5Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%46.3%25.5%14.6%7.3%
6Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%51.7%28.4%15.4%7.3%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%54.3%26.0%12.5%5.3%
8Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%48.3%24.2%12.3%5.3%
9Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%50.6%21.1%8.5%3.9%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%49.4%19.4%7.6%3.4%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%53.7%22.0%9.4%3.1%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%45.8%18.6%7.7%2.6%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%25.4%11.6%4.6%1.7%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%11.9%5.3%2.1%0.9%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%8.0%2.2%0.7%0.2%
16Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%7.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.