Upcoming Games for May 4, 2024
| Time | Teams | Goalies | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Goals | Total Goals | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) Boston Bruins (47-20-15) | Joseph Woll Jeremy Swayman | 47.3% 52.7% | +116 -130 +117 -124 | +1½-230 -1½+210 +1½-235 -1½+205 | 2.84 3.13 | 5.97 | o5-130 u5+117 o5½+125 u5½-140 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres Tampa Bay Lightning | 41.4% 58.6% | +150 -166 +150 -165 | +1½-160 -1½+150 +1½-167 -1½+155 | 4 2 | -0.94007-0.93869 | -0.88298 | |
| Nashville Predators Pittsburgh Penguins | 49.4% 50.6% | +100 -110 +104 -113 | +1½-246 -1½+214 +1½-240 -1½+210 | 2 4 | -0.67015-0.65441 | -0.68189 | |
| New York Islanders New Jersey Devils | 46.8% 53.2% | -118 +110 -115 +108 | -1½+220 +1½-241 -1½+215 +1½-246 | 4 1 | -0.63113-0.64124 | -0.75890 | |
| Boston Bruins Washington Capitals | 59.5% 40.5% | -147 +138 -150 +142 | -1½+172 +1½-190 -1½+184 +1½-190 | 0 2 | -0.88230-0.89690 | -0.90293 | |
| Arizona Coyotes Calgary Flames | 44.1% 55.9% | +105 -117 +113 -118 | +1½-210 -1½+188 +1½-215 -1½+190 | 5 6 | -0.64434-0.62452 | -0.58189 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Chicago Blackhawks | 73.7% 26.3% | -370 +328 -345 +330 | -1½-140 +1½+128 -1½-145 +1½+130 | 4 2 | -0.25989-0.26234 | -0.30514 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Vegas Golden Knights | 45.6% 54.4% | -105 +100 -104 -102 | +1½-255 -1½+222 +1½-250 -1½+230 | 3 4 | -0.70528-0.69794 | -0.60886 | |
| Seattle Kraken St. Louis Blues | 45.4% 54.6% | +115 -127 +113 -123 | +1½-212 -1½+190 +1½-220 -1½+200 | 1 4 | -0.60506-0.61582 | -0.60603 | |
| Minnesota Wild San Jose Sharks | 61.8% 38.2% | -197 +179 -199 +190 | -1½+120 +1½-133 -1½+125 +1½-130 | 6 2 | -0.43201-0.41747 | -0.48156 | |
| Anaheim Ducks Los Angeles Kings | 24.0% 76.0% | +328 -379 +329 -370 | +1½+133 -1½-138 +1½+120 -1½-130 | 1 3 | -0.25873-0.25937 | -0.27458 | |
| Vancouver Canucks Edmonton Oilers | 44.4% 55.6% | -102 -106 +101 -110 | +1½-241 -1½+215 +1½-240 -1½+213 | 3 1 | -0.70261-0.71924 | -0.81157 | |
| Boston Bruins Pittsburgh Penguins | 54.3% 45.7% | -134 +120 -128 +117 | -1½+195 +1½-220 -1½+200 +1½-220 | 6 4 | -0.58431-0.59931 | -0.61046 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets Nashville Predators | 34.4% 65.6% | +256 -275 +240 -265 | +1½+100 -1½-108 +1½-109 -1½-105 | 4 6 | -0.32429-0.34011 | -0.42106 | |
| Detroit Red Wings Toronto Maple Leafs | 39.2% 60.8% | +147 -160 +152 -160 | +1½-160 +1½-363 +1½-160 -1½+146 | 5 4 | -0.92425-0.93639 | -0.93759 | |
| Montreal Canadiens Ottawa Senators | 40.7% 59.3% | +145 -152 +150 -160 | +1½-170 -1½+167 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 4 5 | -0.51683-0.50078 | -0.52329 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Washington Capitals | 57.0% 43.0% | -138 +123 -135 +124 | -1½+178 +1½-202 -1½+181 +1½-205 | 2 4 | -0.82986-0.82716 | -0.84304 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 0-2 (0.000) | 0 | -0.72626 | |
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.71086 | |
| DRatings | 2 | 0-2 (0.000) | 0 | -0.73962 | -0.01337 -0.02877 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 05/03/24| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win Rd. 1 | Win Rd. 2 | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts) | 52.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 63.0% | 31.7% | 18.2% |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts) | 52.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 111.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 52.3% | 29.7% | 17.0% |
| 3 | Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts) | 49.5 | 26.4 | 6.1 | 105.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 57.1% | 30.2% | 14.6% |
| 4 | New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts) | 55.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 114.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 47.7% | 24.5% | 13.8% |
| 5 | Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts) | 49.5 | 25.4 | 7.1 | 106.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 52.1% | 26.3% | 12.1% |
| 6 | Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts) | 52.0 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 113.0 | 100.0% | 59.2% | 31.9% | 17.1% | 8.0% |
| 7 | Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts) | 50.4 | 22.5 | 9.1 | 110.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 43.0% | 19.8% | 7.9% |
| 8 | Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts) | 47.0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 54.0% | 20.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| 9 | Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts) | 46.0 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 102.0 | 100.0% | 46.0% | 16.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 10 | Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts) | 45.7 | 28.2 | 8.1 | 99.5 | 100.0% | 40.8% | 16.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts) | 51.6 | 24.3 | 6.1 | 109.2 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts) | 47.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 99.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts) | 43.7 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 98.5 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts) | 45.0 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts) | 39.0 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 94.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts) | 43.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts) | 41.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 91.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts) | 40.0 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 91.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts) | 39.6 | 32.3 | 10.1 | 89.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts) | 38.0 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 88.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts) | 38.0 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 87.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts) | 39.0 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 84.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts) | 38.0 | 39.0 | 5.0 | 81.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts) | 37.7 | 39.2 | 5.1 | 80.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts) | 33.4 | 35.5 | 13.1 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts) | 37.0 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 78.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts) | 36.0 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 77.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts) | 30.0 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 76.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts) | 27.0 | 43.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts) | 26.3 | 50.6 | 5.2 | 57.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts) | 23.3 | 53.6 | 5.2 | 51.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts) | 19.3 | 53.6 | 9.1 | 47.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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