NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (19-16-4)
New York Islanders (20-13-4)
Igor Shesterkin
Ilya Sorokin
43.6%
56.4%
+107
-128

+1½-240
-1½+200

2.62
3.31
5.93
o5½-117
u5½-103

Minnesota Wild (22-10-6)
Winnipeg Jets (15-17-3)
Filip Gustavsson
Connor Hellebuyck
49.9%
50.1%
+100
-120

+1½-240
-1½+200

2.92
2.93
5.85
o5½-133
u5½+112

Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3)
Florida Panthers (20-14-2)
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sergei Bobrovsky
43.6%
56.4%
+105
-125

+1½-230
-1½+190

2.60
3.28
5.88
o5½-125
u5½+105

Boston Bruins (20-17-1)
Buffalo Sabres (18-14-4)
Jeremy Swayman
Alex Lyon
41.7%
58.3%
+127
-147

+1½-185
-1½+160

2.62
3.52
6.14
o6½+115
u6½-135

Detroit Red Wings (22-13-3)
Carolina Hurricanes (22-11-3)
John Gibson
Frederik Andersen
38.4%
61.6%
+173
-205

+1½-142
-1½+122

2.56
3.64
6.20
o5½-138
u5½+117

Ottawa Senators (18-13-5)
Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5)
Linus Ullmark
Joseph Woll
48.8%
51.2%
-103
-117

+1½-260
-1½+215

2.92
3.05
5.97
o6½+115
u6½-135

Washington Capitals (19-13-5)
New Jersey Devils (20-16-1)
Logan Thompson
Jake Allen
49.6%
50.4%
+105
-125

+1½-235
-1½+195

2.85
2.89
5.74
o6½+117
u6½-138

Chicago Blackhawks (13-17-6)
Dallas Stars (25-7-6)
Spencer Knight
Jake Oettinger
27.1%
72.9%
+295
-390

+1½+117
-1½-138

2.21
3.70
5.91
o5½-120
u5½+100

Nashville Predators (16-16-4)
St. Louis Blues (14-16-8)
Juuse Saros
Jordan Binnington
52.1%
47.9%
+107
-128

+1½-235
-1½+195

2.98
2.76
5.74
o5½-117
u5½-103

Anaheim Ducks (21-14-2)
Los Angeles Kings (15-12-9)
Lukáš Dostál
Darcy Kuemper
42.9%
57.1%
+130
-150

+1½-190
-1½+163

2.61
3.38
5.99
o6½+115
u6½-135

Colorado Avalanche (27-2-7)
Vegas Golden Knights (17-8-10)
Scott Wedgewood
Akira Schmid
60.1%
39.9%
-138
+117

-1½+180
+1½-220

3.64
2.61
6.25
o6½+115
u6½-135

Edmonton Oilers (19-13-6)
Calgary Flames (15-18-4)
Tristan Jarry
Dustin Wolf
55.1%
44.9%
-128
+107

-1½+195
+1½-235

3.27
2.73
6.00
o6½+100
u6½-120

San Jose Sharks (17-17-3)
Vancouver Canucks (15-18-3)
Yaroslav Askarov
Thatcher Demko
41.9%
58.1%
+133
-155

+1½-183
-1½+158

2.67
3.54
6.21
o5½-138
u5½+117

Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Vancouver Canucks
52.9%
47.1%
-140
+130
-140
+135
-1½+178
+1½-198
-1½+180
+1½-187
1
3
-0.85085-0.86325-0.75387
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
44.1%
55.9%
+119
-130
+121
-130
+1½-217
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+195
6
5
-0.80551-0.81054-0.81964
Washington Capitals
Dallas Stars
45.2%
54.8%
+142
-153
+140
-150
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
3
-0.52076-0.52736-0.60181
Vegas Golden Knights
Minnesota Wild
49.8%
50.2%
-115
+107
-110
+105
-1½+220
-1½+235
-1½+235
-1½+245
3
2
-0.64352-0.65817-0.69808
New York Rangers
St. Louis Blues
56.9%
43.1%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+195
+1½-217
-1½+200
+1½-230
2
3
-0.76990-0.75927-0.84100
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs
35.5%
64.5%
+163
-175
+170
-176
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+141
3
5
-0.46844-0.45793-0.43849
Columbus Blue Jackets
Carolina Hurricanes
26.6%
73.4%
+299
-345
+300
-345
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-135
1
4
-0.28011-0.27950-0.30926
New York Islanders
Chicago Blackhawks
58.3%
41.7%
-190
+178
-190
+175
-1½+145
+1½-147
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
5
-1.03722-1.03022-0.87524
Tampa Bay Lightning
Seattle Kraken
58.4%
41.6%
-135
+125
-122
+128
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+195
+1½-195
5
1
-0.57304-0.58674-0.53811
Utah Mammoth
San Jose Sharks
62.7%
37.3%
-181
+170
-185
+170
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.45426-0.45144-0.46667
Florida Panthers
Calgary Flames
62.3%
37.7%
-183
+169
-175
+168
-1½+143
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-160
0
3
-1.00775-0.99528-0.97448
Boston Bruins
Vancouver Canucks
44.0%
56.0%
+110
-120
+115
-120
+1½-222
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+216
5
1
-0.76336-0.77596-0.82005
Nashville Predators
Colorado Avalanche
37.3%
62.7%
+152
-163
+145
-155
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
2
5
-0.49487-0.51371-0.46676
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
31.0%
69.0%
+199
-225
+200
-210
+1½-128
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+125
1
2
-0.39412-0.40015-0.37159
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets
25.8%
74.2%
+215
-236
+220
-227
+1½-123
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+117
2
4
-0.37292-0.37167-0.29869
Buffalo Sabres
Washington Capitals
33.4%
66.6%
+163
-179
+165
-180
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
4
-0.46539-0.46185-0.40611
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74334517-2868 (0.611)48-0.65793 
Sportsbooks74334519-2877 (0.610)37-0.65733 
DRatings74334479-2954 (0.603)0-0.66116
-0.00323
-0.00383

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (27-2-7, 61 pts)57.414.410.3125.0100.0%94.6%94.4%46.1%34.9%
2Dallas Stars (25-7-6, 56 pts)50.621.59.9111.1100.0%5.3%5.3%15.9%9.7%
3Minnesota Wild (22-10-6, 50 pts)45.126.610.3100.497.5%0.1%0.1%6.6%3.2%
4Carolina Hurricanes (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.326.67.1103.796.1%59.4%42.3%21.2%9.3%
5Detroit Red Wings (22-13-3, 47 pts)43.730.57.895.265.6%16.7%6.2%6.6%2.2%
6Philadelphia Flyers (19-10-7, 45 pts)41.828.411.895.465.2%10.0%5.4%4.8%1.5%
7Montreal Canadiens (20-12-5, 45 pts)41.230.89.992.448.9%8.9%2.7%3.5%1.2%
8Vegas Golden Knights (17-8-10, 44 pts)42.225.214.699.194.8%50.7%0.2%9.6%5.2%
9New York Islanders (20-13-4, 44 pts)44.029.68.496.472.7%14.5%8.1%9.0%3.3%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-13-6, 44 pts)42.429.310.395.287.3%24.7%0.0%8.2%4.2%
11Anaheim Ducks (21-14-2, 44 pts)44.031.46.694.686.7%17.5%0.0%5.4%2.5%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3, 43 pts)45.329.47.297.982.0%33.2%12.8%14.5%5.9%
13Washington Capitals (19-13-5, 43 pts)42.130.39.693.860.5%7.9%4.8%6.7%2.2%
14Florida Panthers (20-14-2, 42 pts)45.130.66.396.577.7%23.2%8.8%13.6%5.5%
15New York Rangers (19-16-4, 42 pts)41.032.68.490.436.0%2.4%0.9%3.2%1.0%
16New Jersey Devils (20-16-1, 41 pts)43.632.95.692.752.9%5.6%3.1%5.8%1.8%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-5, 41 pts)41.430.99.792.548.7%8.4%2.1%5.0%1.7%
18Boston Bruins (20-17-1, 41 pts)41.234.95.988.324.5%3.2%0.8%1.6%0.5%
19Buffalo Sabres (18-14-4, 40 pts)40.832.29.090.638.6%5.9%1.8%2.9%0.9%
20Los Angeles Kings (15-12-9, 39 pts)37.630.414.089.257.9%4.7%0.0%2.4%0.9%
21Utah Mammoth (18-18-3, 39 pts)40.134.37.587.848.8%0.0%0.0%2.5%1.1%
22Pittsburgh Penguins (15-12-9, 39 pts)34.932.614.584.310.2%0.2%0.1%0.4%0.0%
23Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5, 37 pts)37.034.810.284.210.8%0.5%0.1%0.7%0.2%
24San Jose Sharks (17-17-3, 37 pts)37.436.58.183.018.3%0.8%0.0%0.4%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (15-15-6, 36 pts)36.634.211.284.49.6%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.1%
26Nashville Predators (16-16-4, 36 pts)37.735.29.184.428.9%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.2%
27Seattle Kraken (15-14-6, 36 pts)35.435.011.782.418.6%0.5%0.0%0.4%0.1%
28St. Louis Blues (14-16-8, 36 pts)32.736.013.378.77.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
29Calgary Flames (15-18-4, 34 pts)35.437.59.079.910.8%0.4%0.0%0.2%0.1%
30Winnipeg Jets (15-17-3, 33 pts)37.436.58.182.923.8%0.0%0.0%1.0%0.5%
31Vancouver Canucks (15-18-3, 33 pts)36.937.18.081.717.0%0.7%0.0%0.5%0.2%
32Chicago Blackhawks (13-17-6, 32 pts)31.738.611.775.12.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.