EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Crystal Palace
Arsenal 		12.5%
68.5%		19.0%


0.78
2.13		2.91


Games for Dec 17, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Cardiff City		74.6%
9.3%		16.1%
-245
+590
-260
+625
3
1		-0.38176-0.37276-0.29345
Tottenham
Newcastle United		22.3%
54.5%		23.2%
+345
-119
+330
-130
0
2		-0.62788-0.61721-0.60682
Chelsea
Wolverhampton		57.5%
18.6%		23.9%
-105
+295
-115
+300
4
3		-0.70690-0.67598-0.55325
Manchester City
Swansea City		78.6%
7.6%		13.9%
-547
+1450
-660
+1500
3
1		-0.20535-0.19052-0.24126
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		8.9%
75.4%		15.7%
+114
+239
+185
+245
3
0		-0.79354-0.95815-2.42058
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal		12.9%
68.2%		18.9%
+390
-132
+480
-135
0
2		-0.59296-0.53353-0.38248
Brentford
Grimsby Town		81.5%
5.8%		12.7%
-280
+815
-260
+650
5
0		-0.33623-0.37395-0.20473
Fulham
Wycombe Wanderers		53.0%
22.1%		24.9%
-159
+474
-180
+510
5
4		-0.52655-0.49127-0.63446
Arsenal
Port Vale		88.4%
3.3%		8.3%
-1086
+2800
-1600
+3000
2
0		-0.11824-0.10976-0.12337
Manchester City
Huddersfield		77.7%
7.8%		14.4%
-487
+1313
-725
+1500
2
0		-0.21961-0.18029-0.25229
Doncaster Rovers
Tottenham		7.1%
79.9%		13.0%
+1934
-773
+1750
-775
0
3		-0.16086-0.17099-0.22452
Southampton
Liverpool		2.4%
91.6%		6.1%
+993
-392
+1250
-500
1
2		-0.26665-0.23136-0.08802
Chelsea
Lincoln City		74.2%
9.3%		16.5%
-457
+1180
-600
+1450
2
1		-0.23714-0.20360-0.29800
Cambridge United
Fulham		3.3%
88.2%		8.5%
+2299
-808
+2500
-900
0
1		-0.14972-0.15375-0.12536
Wycombe Wanderers
Wigan Athletic		31.1%
41.1%		27.8%
+220
+137
+210
+140
2
0		-1.20261-1.18185-1.16941
Brighton and Hove Albion
Barnsley		67.0%
13.3%		19.8%
-336
+864
-400
+1000
6
0		-0.29969-0.27279-0.40067
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.38176 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.37276 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.29345
0.08831
0.07931

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.