NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2023

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Penguins (11-10-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5)
Unknown
Unknown
50.7%
49.3%




3.41
3.33
6.74


Dallas Stars (14-5-3)
Florida Panthers (14-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
52.2%
47.8%




3.22
2.99
6.21


Vegas Golden Knights (16-5-4)
St. Louis Blues (12-10-1)
Unknown
Unknown
58.3%
41.7%




3.50
2.60
6.10


Carolina Hurricanes (14-8-1)
Edmonton Oilers (9-12-1)
Unknown
Unknown
45.0%
55.0%




3.06
3.60
6.66


Games for Dec 7, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
40.2%
59.8%
+139
-149
+141
-155
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
4
-0.53018-0.52037-0.51391
Nashville Predators
Buffalo Sabres
49.3%
50.7%
-116
+104
-110
+108
+1½-265
+1½-222
+1½-250
+1½-242
2
1
-0.64856-0.65120-0.70716
Columbus Blue Jackets
Boston Bruins
31.3%
68.7%
+221
-245
+225
-248
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-105
1
3
-0.36373-0.35891-0.37612
San Jose Sharks
New York Rangers
22.2%
77.8%
+335
-385
+330
-369
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-140
5
6
-0.25434-0.25897-0.25041
Chicago Blackhawks
Minnesota Wild
31.9%
68.1%
+267
-290
+269
-300
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
1
4
-0.31221-0.30847-0.38487
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
66.7%
33.3%
-216
+200
-220
+203
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-120
3
4
-1.11535-1.12596-1.10109
Vancouver Canucks
Calgary Flames
53.2%
46.8%
+105
-110
+105
-115
+1½-240
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+200
4
3
-0.72940-0.74028-0.63062
Washington Capitals
Vegas Golden Knights
33.1%
66.9%
+168
-185
+175
-185
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-140
-1½+135
1
4
-0.45415-0.44482-0.40242
St. Louis Blues
Arizona Coyotes
45.4%
54.6%
+110
-124
+110
-120
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-230
-1½+200
1
4
-0.62070-0.62755-0.60439
Buffalo Sabres
Carolina Hurricanes
38.6%
61.4%
+213
-229
+211
-230
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
2
6
-0.37775-0.37936-0.48851
Detroit Red Wings
Montreal Canadiens
56.3%
43.7%
-149
+142
-155
+141
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
5
4
-0.52506-0.52037-0.57391
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
38.4%
61.6%
+151
-158
+155
-166
+1½-165
-1½+158
+1½-165
-1½+146
4
3
-0.93102-0.95218-0.95662
Seattle Kraken
Ottawa Senators
46.2%
53.8%
+101
-114
+110
-115
+1½-225
-1½+210
+1½-225
-1½+200
0
2
-0.65956-0.63673-0.62003
Boston Bruins
Toronto Maple Leafs
47.7%
52.3%
-107
-105
-108
+100
-1½+230
+1½-270
-1½+224
+1½-260
4
3
-0.68858-0.67446-0.74020
New York Islanders
Florida Panthers
38.1%
61.9%
+160
-175
+161
-170
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+160
4
3
-0.97625-0.97204-0.96548
New York Rangers
Nashville Predators
55.2%
44.8%
-159
+145
-155
+146
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
4
3
-0.50974-0.51208-0.59413
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks55-0 (1.000)0-0.42180 
Sportsbooks55-0 (1.000)0-0.41958 
DRatings54-1 (0.800)0-0.44649
-0.02469
-0.02691

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/03/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1New York Rangers (18-4-1, 37 pts)53.422.56.1112.999.8%68.8%45.9%28.7%16.5%
2Boston Bruins (17-4-3, 37 pts)50.023.78.2108.398.9%51.2%31.2%17.6%9.5%
3Vegas Golden Knights (16-5-4, 36 pts)49.123.89.1107.399.3%57.7%31.4%18.2%10.3%
4Vancouver Canucks (16-8-1, 33 pts)47.628.16.3101.594.8%45.3%22.1%11.7%6.2%
5Colorado Avalanche (15-7-2, 32 pts)46.528.17.4100.490.7%47.2%22.8%9.9%4.9%
6Los Angeles Kings (14-4-3, 31 pts)50.223.68.2108.699.2%61.4%33.9%20.5%11.9%
7Dallas Stars (14-5-3, 31 pts)48.924.98.2106.096.5%60.2%35.1%17.6%9.9%
8Florida Panthers (14-8-2, 30 pts)45.129.37.797.884.8%42.5%21.2%10.2%4.5%
9Carolina Hurricanes (14-8-1, 29 pts)44.830.36.996.479.5%42.6%18.8%8.8%3.6%
10Detroit Red Wings (13-7-3, 29 pts)43.529.59.096.077.2%35.5%16.2%6.9%2.9%
11Winnipeg Jets (13-8-2, 28 pts)45.229.37.597.985.4%43.4%21.5%9.3%4.4%
12Toronto Maple Leafs (12-6-4, 28 pts)43.728.310.097.480.7%40.2%19.0%9.0%3.8%
13Arizona Coyotes (12-9-2, 26 pts)42.131.98.092.259.5%24.0%10.1%4.2%1.8%
14Washington Capitals (12-7-2, 26 pts)40.532.68.989.844.7%18.1%6.8%2.6%1.0%
15New York Islanders (10-7-6, 26 pts)38.031.512.688.537.7%15.9%5.6%2.1%0.6%
16Philadelphia Flyers (12-10-2, 26 pts)40.133.68.388.540.4%17.2%6.9%2.7%0.9%
17St. Louis Blues (12-10-1, 25 pts)40.933.87.389.143.7%15.2%5.9%2.1%0.7%
18Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5, 25 pts)36.933.811.385.123.4%8.3%3.4%1.2%0.4%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (11-10-2, 24 pts)40.933.08.089.948.8%23.4%10.4%4.4%1.7%
20Nashville Predators (12-12-0, 24 pts)40.335.46.386.932.8%11.3%4.1%1.5%0.5%
21New Jersey Devils (11-10-1, 23 pts)40.633.87.588.841.1%21.1%8.8%3.9%1.4%
22Calgary Flames (10-11-3, 23 pts)38.734.19.186.630.9%10.4%3.9%1.4%0.7%
23Montreal Canadiens (10-11-3, 23 pts)34.937.39.879.66.9%2.0%0.6%0.2%0.0%
24Seattle Kraken (8-11-6, 22 pts)34.535.112.481.49.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%0.1%
25Buffalo Sabres (10-13-2, 22 pts)36.237.38.580.89.0%3.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%
26Minnesota Wild (8-10-4, 20 pts)36.435.110.683.317.4%5.7%2.0%0.7%0.3%
27Anaheim Ducks (10-14-0, 20 pts)35.239.96.977.33.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
28Columbus Blue Jackets (8-14-4, 20 pts)31.040.210.872.80.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
29Edmonton Oilers (9-12-1, 19 pts)40.334.67.187.736.3%14.5%6.4%2.8%1.2%
30Ottawa Senators (9-10-0, 18 pts)39.136.06.985.126.4%9.6%3.8%1.4%0.5%
31Chicago Blackhawks (7-16-0, 14 pts)30.644.07.468.60.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (6-17-2, 14 pts)26.845.59.763.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.