NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Vegas Golden Knights (51-22-9)
Florida Panthers (42-32-8)
48.2%
51.8%
+120
-130
+118
-120
+1½-240
-1½+209
+1½-230
+1½-265
6.44
o6-105
u6-103
o6-105
u6-110
2nd P
END-
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
Vegas Golden Knights
46.1%
53.9%
+120
-131
+120
-130
+1½-225
-1½+203
+1½-210
-1½+197
2
7
-0.58864-0.59012-0.61787
Florida Panthers
Vegas Golden Knights
46.7%
53.3%
+121
-134
+125
-132
+1½-227
-1½+199
+1½-210
-1½+200
2
5
-0.58230-0.57725-0.62922
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
44.7%
55.3%
+118
-129
+118
-129
+1½-241
-1½+209
+1½-235
-1½+205
6
0
-0.80111-0.80111-0.80616
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
48.1%
51.9%
+133
-144
+140
-146
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-195
-1½+190
4
2
-0.86503-0.88557-0.73110
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
45.1%
54.9%
+103
-113
+109
-110
+1½-260
-1½+230
+1½-240
-1½+235
2
3
-0.65676-0.64890-0.59922
Carolina Hurricanes
Florida Panthers
51.1%
48.9%
-103
-106
-105
-105
+1½-260
-1½+230
+1½-265
-1½+235
3
4
-0.68615-0.69315-0.71470
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
44.4%
55.6%
+140
-149
+140
-150
+1½-193
-1½+180
+1½-197
-1½+180
4
0
-0.89040-0.89199-0.81270
Carolina Hurricanes
Florida Panthers
49.6%
50.4%
-108
-102
-107
-103
+1½-275
-1½+235
+1½-270
-1½+240
0
1
-0.70719-0.70249-0.68470
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
49.0%
51.0%
+106
-112
+106
-115
+1½-265
-1½+230
+1½-250
-1½+230
2
3
-0.65174-0.64582-0.67264
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
41.5%
58.5%
+136
-144
+137
-150
+1½-197
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+176
2
1
-0.87244-0.88460-0.87883
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
49.4%
50.6%
+111
-117
+115
-120
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-230
-1½+220
3
4
-0.63074-0.61667-0.68090
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
42.6%
57.4%
+133
-143
+130
-140
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+189
3
2
-0.86339-0.85085-0.85315
Seattle Kraken
Dallas Stars
40.5%
59.5%
+166
-185
+170
-183
+1½-160
-1½+162
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
2
-0.45689-0.45284-0.51918
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
42.0%
58.0%
+169
-188
+168
-175
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
2
-1.01377-0.99528-0.86750
Dallas Stars
Seattle Kraken
52.9%
47.1%
-145
+135
-145
+135
-1½+175
+1½-193
-1½+181
+1½-190
3
6
-0.87165-0.87165-0.75288
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
51.9%
48.1%
-131
+122
-128
+120
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
3
4
-0.81491-0.80428-0.73166
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/05/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Vegas Golden Knights (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%84.0%
2Florida Panthers (42-32-8, 92 pts)42.032.08.092.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%16.0%
3Carolina Hurricanes (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Dallas Stars (47-21-14, 108 pts)47.021.014.0108.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5New Jersey Devils (52-22-8, 112 pts)52.022.08.0112.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (50-21-11, 111 pts)50.021.011.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Edmonton Oilers (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Seattle Kraken (46-28-8, 100 pts)46.028.08.0100.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Boston Bruins (65-12-5, 135 pts)65.012.05.0135.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Colorado Avalanche (51-24-7, 109 pts)51.024.07.0109.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11New York Rangers (47-22-13, 107 pts)47.022.013.0107.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Los Angeles Kings (47-25-10, 104 pts)47.025.010.0104.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (46-25-11, 103 pts)46.025.011.0103.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (46-30-6, 98 pts)46.030.06.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Winnipeg Jets (46-33-3, 95 pts)46.033.03.095.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16New York Islanders (42-31-9, 93 pts)42.031.09.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Calgary Flames (38-27-17, 93 pts)38.027.017.093.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Nashville Predators (42-32-8, 92 pts)42.032.08.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Buffalo Sabres (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Ottawa Senators (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Vancouver Canucks (38-37-7, 83 pts)38.037.07.083.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23St. Louis Blues (37-38-7, 81 pts)37.038.07.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Detroit Red Wings (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Washington Capitals (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Philadelphia Flyers (31-38-13, 75 pts)31.038.013.075.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (28-40-14, 70 pts)28.040.014.070.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (31-45-6, 68 pts)31.045.06.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (22-44-16, 60 pts)22.044.016.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Columbus Blue Jackets (25-48-9, 59 pts)25.048.09.059.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (26-49-7, 59 pts)26.049.07.059.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Anaheim Ducks (23-47-12, 58 pts)23.047.012.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.