NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (55-23-4)
Washington Capitals (40-31-11)
Unknown
Unknown
59.9%
40.1%
-165
+150
-163
+155
-1½+160
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
3.39
2.37
5.76
o5½-105
u5½-105
o5½-110
u5½-105
Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9)
Nashville Predators (47-30-5)
Unknown
Unknown
50.1%
49.9%
+103
-115
+108
-117
+1½-236
-1½+210
+1½-243
-1½+211
3.05
3.03
6.08
o6+102
u5½+109
o5½-118
u5½+105
Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6)
Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7)
Unknown
Unknown
45.7%
54.3%
+141
-150
+140
-154
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+157
2.79
3.26
6.05
o6½-109
u6½-103
o6½-105
u6½-105
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11)
Unknown
Unknown
51.9%
48.1%




3.12
2.93
6.05


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
43.1%
56.9%
+109
-122
+112
-122
+1½-225
-1½+196
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
1
-0.76479-0.77245-0.84067
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.0%
54.0%
+137
+110
-120
+113
+1½-150
+1½-224
-1½+200
+1½-220
5
2
-0.75545-0.62096-0.77644
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.1%
59.9%
+164
-175
+164
-170
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+150
2
3
-0.46703-0.47101-0.51276
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
34.1%
65.9%
+242
-276
+245
-270
+1½-112
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½-103
3
4
-0.33529-0.33448-0.41644
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
42.4%
57.6%
+164
-172
+162
-170
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+160
4
7
-0.46940-0.47387-0.55229
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
41.5%
58.5%
+133
-145
+137
-145
+1½-205
-1½+178
+1½-205
-1½+190
4
3
-0.86669-0.87659-0.87914
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
35.6%
64.4%
+209
-233
+212
-236
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
5
-0.38016-0.37592-0.44082
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
43.3%
56.7%
+135
-146
+132
-140
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
2
-0.87328-0.85583-0.83780
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
42.9%
57.1%
+140
-147
+136
-149
+1½-193
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
4
-0.53071-0.53539-0.56021
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
46.2%
53.8%
-104
+112
-105
-103
+1½-280
+1½-175
+1½-265
-1½+240
6
7
-0.73274-0.69788-0.62055
Washington Capitals
New York Rangers
34.5%
65.5%
+246
-278
+250
-270
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
4
-0.33145-0.33041-0.42326
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.4%
59.6%
+163
-180
+160
-170
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
3
-0.46466-0.47678-0.51815
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-139
+129
-135
+1½-198
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
1
5
-0.55823-0.56539-0.58064
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
35.9%
64.1%
+229
-235
+216
-240
+1½-124
-1½+112
+1½-127
-1½+120
1
3
-0.35998-0.37040-0.44413
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
23.3%
76.7%
+353
-386
+340
-380
+1½+136
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-145
4
5
-0.24525-0.25238-0.26566
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.4%
73.6%
+311
-355
+330
-380
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-143
4
1
-1.43666-1.48254-1.33355
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.58064 
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.54972 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.63658
-0.05594
-0.08685

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%92.0%51.5%29.5%17.8%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%88.1%54.2%28.6%16.6%
3New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%92.9%44.8%22.6%12.6%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%74.7%43.9%23.5%11.9%
5Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%46.3%25.5%14.6%7.3%
6Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%51.7%28.4%15.4%7.3%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%54.3%26.0%12.5%5.3%
8Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%48.3%24.2%12.3%5.3%
9Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%50.6%21.1%8.5%3.9%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%49.4%19.4%7.6%3.4%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%53.7%22.0%9.4%3.1%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%45.8%18.6%7.7%2.6%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%25.4%11.6%4.6%1.7%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%11.9%5.3%2.1%0.9%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%8.0%2.2%0.7%0.2%
16Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%7.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
17St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.