NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
51.8%
48.2%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-250
-1½+290
+1½-246
-1½+220
5
2
-0.71668-0.71668-0.65851
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
39.4%
60.6%
+215
-133
+125
-130
+1½+115
-1½+177
+1½-185
-1½+180
5
4
-1.02893-0.82055-0.93163
Edmonton Oilers
Florida Panthers
40.6%
59.4%
+124
-115
+125
-135
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+180
1
6
-0.60684-0.57304-0.52083
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
48.8%
51.2%
+168
-103
-102
+100
+1½-115
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+230
5
4
-0.85859-0.68824-0.71705
Florida Panthers
Edmonton Oilers
49.2%
50.8%
+105
-113
+106
-114
+1½-210
-1½+193
+1½-210
-1½+195
3
4
-0.65204-0.64777-0.67670
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
44.8%
55.2%
+113
-125
+114
-122
+1½-212
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
6
3
-0.78086-0.77751-0.80327
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
49.6%
50.4%
-121
+109
-120
+110
-1½+198
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-210
5
3
-0.62802-0.62755-0.70201
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
44.7%
55.3%
+122
-136
+126
-128
+1½-185
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+175
1
4
-0.57755-0.58119-0.59204
Carolina Hurricanes
Florida Panthers
43.4%
56.6%
+1300
-169
+155
-170
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
0
-2.28190-0.95763-0.83496
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
45.6%
54.4%
+147
-163
+155
-154
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+172
1
6
-0.50274-0.49883-0.60796
Carolina Hurricanes
Florida Panthers
40.8%
59.2%
+128
-141
+131
-142
+1½-183
-1½+166
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
6
-0.55942-0.55259-0.52379
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
44.0%
56.0%
+100
-110
+102
-112
+1½-235
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+205
3
0
-0.71668-0.72619-0.82098
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
46.7%
53.3%
+126
-134
+124
-134
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-220
-1½+200
5
0
-0.83037-0.82538-0.76048
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
44.5%
55.5%
+119
-131
+115
-125
+1½-220
-1½+189
+1½-220
-1½+195
3
6
-0.59066-0.60825-0.58931
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
46.4%
53.6%
+117
-129
+117
-125
+1½-230
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+210
5
2
-0.79860-0.79098-0.76828
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+126
-125
+125
-1½+194
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-220
6
1
-0.57111-0.58778-0.71341
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%77.7%
2Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%22.3%
3Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.