NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning
52.6%
47.4%
-110
+100
-105
+100
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+216
+1½-240
2
1
-0.67015-0.68116-0.64190
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche
40.2%
59.8%
+170
-185
+175
-190
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-135
-1½+131
3
2
-1.01255-1.03022-0.91125
Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning
52.8%
47.2%
-103
-107
+100
-103
+1½-260
+1½-255
-1½+230
+1½-230
3
2
-0.70249-0.70051-0.63911
Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.4%
46.6%
+104
-115
+107
-114
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+221
2
6
-0.65049-0.64546-0.76374
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche
42.0%
58.0%
+126
-139
+135
-145
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+179
0
7
-0.56577-0.54173-0.54437
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche
42.0%
58.0%
+127
-140
+135
-145
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+187
3
4
-0.56258-0.54173-0.54531
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/26/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (56-19-7, 119 pts)56.019.07.0119.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (51-23-8, 110 pts)51.023.08.0110.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3New York Rangers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.027.06.0104.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Florida Panthers (58-18-6, 122 pts)58.018.06.0122.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Carolina Hurricanes (54-20-8, 116 pts)54.020.08.0116.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Calgary Flames (50-21-11, 111 pts)50.021.011.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8St. Louis Blues (49-22-11, 109 pts)49.022.011.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Toronto Maple Leafs (54-21-7, 115 pts)54.021.07.0115.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Minnesota Wild (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (51-26-5, 107 pts)51.026.05.0107.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Pittsburgh Penguins (46-25-11, 103 pts)46.025.011.0103.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Washington Capitals (44-26-12, 100 pts)44.026.012.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Dallas Stars (46-30-6, 98 pts)46.030.06.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Nashville Predators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Vegas Golden Knights (43-31-8, 94 pts)43.031.08.094.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Winnipeg Jets (39-32-11, 89 pts)39.032.011.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20New York Islanders (37-35-10, 84 pts)37.035.010.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Columbus Blue Jackets (37-38-7, 81 pts)37.038.07.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22San Jose Sharks (32-37-13, 77 pts)32.037.013.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Anaheim Ducks (31-37-14, 76 pts)31.037.014.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Buffalo Sabres (32-39-11, 75 pts)32.039.011.075.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Detroit Red Wings (32-40-10, 74 pts)32.040.010.074.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (33-42-7, 73 pts)33.042.07.073.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Chicago Blackhawks (28-42-12, 68 pts)28.042.012.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New Jersey Devils (27-46-9, 63 pts)27.046.09.063.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Seattle Kraken (27-49-6, 60 pts)27.049.06.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Arizona Coyotes (25-50-7, 57 pts)25.050.07.057.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Montreal Canadiens (22-49-11, 55 pts)22.049.011.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.