NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 9, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (55-23-4)
Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7)
Unknown
Unknown
44.2%
55.8%




2.61
3.24
5.85


Games for May 10, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8)
Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-140
+130
-138
-1½+292
+1½-348
+1½-200
-1½+187
6.04
o5-118
u5½-150
o5-130
u5½-140
1st P
15:37
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
49.2%
50.8%
-112
+100
-112
+103
-1½+235
+1½-265
-1½+230
+1½-260
3
4
-0.72105-0.72873-0.67633
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
47.3%
52.7%
+119
-127
+120
-130
+1½-196
-1½+195
+1½-214
-1½+200
1
2
-0.59673-0.59012-0.64080
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
52.2%
47.8%
-105
-103
+100
-106
-1½+230
+1½-255
-1½+235
+1½-260
0
2
-0.69788-0.67889-0.73800
Vancouver Canucks
Nashville Predators
47.7%
52.3%
+109
-117
+106
-115
+1½-241
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+228
1
0
-0.75464-0.74282-0.74125
Boston Bruins
Toronto Maple Leafs
48.6%
51.4%
-123
+110
-122
+115
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-240
1
2
-0.76932-0.78001-0.66542
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
40.6%
59.4%
+172
-188
+175
-189
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-141
-1½+135
3
4
-0.44674-0.44214-0.52029
Vegas Golden Knights
Dallas Stars
40.6%
59.4%
+140
-151
+140
-147
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+173
2
3
-0.52628-0.53071-0.52153
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
45.1%
54.9%
+121
-121
+113
-120
+1½-232
-1½+205
+1½-236
-1½+210
2
1
-0.79299-0.77096-0.79722
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
48.2%
51.8%
-114
+775
-107
+101
-1½+204
+1½-228
-1½+210
+1½-240
6
3
-0.19437-0.67421-0.73075
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
34.5%
65.5%
+233
-255
+230
-249
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+115
3
6
-0.34929-0.35398-0.42364
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
42.9%
57.1%
+151
-165
+155
-164
+1½-173
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
1
-0.94110-0.94936-0.84523
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
52.8%
47.2%
+160
+107
-116
+115
+1½-125
+1½-250
-1½+216
+1½-230
4
2
-0.81360-0.62385-0.63892
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
40.2%
59.8%
+165
-182
+167
-176
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
6
-0.46040-0.46205-0.51410
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
52.9%
47.1%
-165
+150
-164
+152
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
1
0
-0.49617-0.49397-0.63607
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals
60.1%
39.9%
-190
+175
-188
+175
-1½+141
+1½-150
-1½+144
+1½-155
4
2
-0.44150-0.44281-0.50931
Vancouver Canucks
Nashville Predators
49.0%
51.0%
+136
-145
+130
-142
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+182
4
3
-0.87412-0.85426-0.71288
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.65889 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.65942 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.65856
0.00032
0.00086

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/04/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%63.1%31.9%17.9%
2Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%100.0%52.6%29.2%16.7%
3Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%100.0%57.5%31.0%15.0%
4New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%47.4%24.3%13.3%
5Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%100.0%52.4%26.0%11.4%
6Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%58.9%32.0%17.0%8.6%
7Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%42.5%19.9%8.3%
8Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%100.0%36.9%14.7%6.7%
9Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%41.1%15.7%6.1%2.3%
10Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.