NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Edmonton Oilers (49-26-6)
Colorado Avalanche (49-25-7)
47.7%
52.3%
+235
-250
+235
-246
+1½-112
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+102
6.86
o6½-130
u6½+117
o6½-125
u6½+110
3rd P
04:24
1
5
Anaheim Ducks (26-50-5)
Vegas Golden Knights (45-28-8)
26.4%
73.6%
+311
-355
+330
-380
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-143
6.09
o6½-103
u6+117
o6-130
u6+115
3rd P
18:40
3
1
Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-5)
Los Angeles Kings (43-27-11)
23.3%
76.7%
+353
-386
+340
-380
+1½+136
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-145
5.93
o6+109
u6-118
o6+110
u6-120
2nd P
07:45
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames
27.7%
72.3%
+262
-280
+245
-270
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-110
1
5
-0.31837-0.33448-0.32408
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Jets
47.6%
52.4%
-126
+112
-120
+112
-1½+218
+1½-227
+1½-250
-1½+240
2
4
-0.78021-0.76841-0.64720
Seattle Kraken
Minnesota Wild
46.1%
53.9%
+163
-170
+160
-168
+1½-157
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.97678-0.96693-0.77371
Edmonton Oilers
Arizona Coyotes
61.0%
39.0%
-163
+151
-160
+148
-1½+155
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
5
-0.93828-0.92669-0.94217
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
33.3%
66.7%
+237
-260
+223
-250
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-120
-1½+103
1
2
-0.34421-0.36008-0.40486
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.5%
56.5%
+103
-115
+115
-113
+1½-222
-1½+198
+1½-200
-1½+200
4
6
-0.65283-0.62953-0.57008
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
48.1%
51.9%
-129
+121
-128
+117
-1½+195
+1½-212
-1½+197
+1½-220
4
5
-0.80867-0.79671-0.65620
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
26.1%
73.9%
+340
-390
+335
-384
+1½+133
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-145
1
3
-0.25118-0.25445-0.30227
Calgary Flames
Vancouver Canucks
38.0%
62.0%
+191
-215
+191
-210
+1½-135
+1½-460
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
4
-0.40777-0.41030-0.47796
Seattle Kraken
Winnipeg Jets
37.0%
63.0%
+197
-222
+199
-220
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+121
3
4
-0.39768-0.39641-0.46219
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
43.9%
56.1%
+142
-156
+151
-155
+1½-163
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
5
-0.51767-0.50408-0.57846
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
67.9%
32.1%
-141
+130
-140
+132
-1½+170
+1½-183
-1½+175
+1½-185
3
6
-0.85257-0.85583-1.13688
Detroit Red Wings
Montreal Canadiens
55.0%
45.0%
-190
+175
-195
+176
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
4
-0.44150-0.43705-0.59826
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins
35.1%
64.9%
+197
-220
+198
-220
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
1
-1.11249-1.11474-1.04751
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
43.7%
56.3%
+123
-132
+122
-125
+1½-210
-1½+193
+1½-210
-1½+190
2
1
-0.81925-0.80350-0.82803
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
18.6%
81.4%
+485
-534
+450
-530
+1½+175
-1½-193
+1½+175
-1½-165
2
9
-0.18478-0.19567-0.20622
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.69179 
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.68994 
DRatings32-1 (0.667)0-0.58166
0.11012
0.10828

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/17/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%100.0%21.9%11.8%
2Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%20.9%11.4%
3Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%0.0%0.0%25.2%14.8%
4Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%16.0%9.1%
5Vancouver Canucks (50-22-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%13.3%6.3%
6Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%0.0%0.0%11.5%5.3%
7Winnipeg Jets (51-24-6, 108 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%14.9%7.4%
8Colorado Avalanche (49-25-7, 105 pts)49.525.47.1106.2100.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%4.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (49-26-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%0.0%0.0%19.7%10.8%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%9.8%4.4%
11Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%7.2%3.0%
12Vegas Golden Knights (45-28-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.099.5100.0%0.0%0.0%6.9%2.6%
13Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%9.8%4.2%
14Los Angeles Kings (43-27-11, 97 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%7.0%2.9%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%1.1%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%2.4%0.7%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-32-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (37-39-5, 79 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (33-35-13, 79 pts)33.435.513.179.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (26-50-5, 57 pts)26.350.65.157.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-5, 51 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-53-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.