The Distribution of Totals for Betting Basketball
This post delves into the nuances of totals betting in basketball.
General
MLB Strikeout Distribution Analysis
Modeling the distribution of strikeouts for pitchers
Partnership with GamedayMath
A little about our partnership with GamedayMath.
2023 Preseason CFB Conference Predictions
Our preseason 2023 conference projections for every FBS team.
2023 CFB Conference Realignment
Conference realignment changes in 2023.
Analysis on Time of First Goal Scored in Soccer
Analyzing the Time of First Goal prop in soccer.
2023 March Madness Preview
Our breakdowns for each of the brackets in the 2023 NCAA Tournament.
Log Loss vs. Brier Score
Which model should we use when evaluating sports predictions?
Home Court Advantage in College Basketball
How much is home court advantage worth in college basketball?
Is Expected Goals a Valuable Metric?
Is expected goals a valuable metric to be used in the sports statistics community?
Half Point Values for NFL Totals
Analyzing the half point values at common NFL Totals.
2022 NFL Season Preview
Our preview for all 32 teams in the NFL for the 2022 season.
Can Analytical Models Beat the Closing Line?
Discussing the chances that a model can beat the closing line spread over the long term.
When To Wager on a Betting Angle?
Helping bettors understand when to make a bet using a betting trend.
The St. Peter’s Run to the Elite Eight
What were the odds that St. Peter's made the Elite Eight? And could they have won it all?
Are Odds Boosts a Good Bet?
Discussing when Odds Boosts can be a good bet and a bad bet.
How To Calculate the Vigorish
How to calculate the vigorish or theoretical hold with some quick math tricks.
Sports Betting Odds Formats
Explaining the differences between American odds, decimal odds, and fractional odds
What Is the Most Competitive Sports League?
Figuring out which sports league is the most competitive with data analysis.
Absolute Risk vs. Relative Risk
We explain the difference between the two risk calculations as it pertains to their real world use.
Getting an Edge with No-Vig Lines
What are no-vig lines and how can I use them to gain an edge?
Calculating Strength of Schedule
Describing the different ways to calculate Strength of Schedule across different sports.
Could a College Basketball Team Beat an NBA Team?
Discussing whether or not the best college basketball team could beat the worst NBA team on a random night.
Chasing Steam in Sports Betting
Explaining steam moves and what it means to "chase steam" in the betting world.