Is Expected Goals a Valuable Metric?
Is expected goals a valuable metric to be used in the sports statistics community?
General
Half Point Values for NFL Totals
Analyzing the half point values at common NFL Totals.
2022 NFL Season Preview
Our preview for all 32 teams in the NFL for the 2022 season.
Can Analytical Models Beat the Closing Line?
Discussing the chances that a model can beat the closing line spread over the long term.
When To Wager on a Betting Angle?
Helping bettors understand when to make a bet using a betting trend.
The St. Peter’s Run to the Elite Eight
What were the odds that St. Peter's made the Elite Eight? And could they have won it all?
Are Odds Boosts a Good Bet?
Discussing when Odds Boosts can be a good bet and a bad bet.
How To Calculate the Vigorish
How to calculate the vigorish or theoretical hold with some quick math tricks.
Sports Betting Odds Formats
Explaining the differences between American odds, decimal odds, and fractional odds
What Is the Most Competitive Sports League?
Figuring out which sports league is the most competitive with data analysis.
Absolute Risk vs. Relative Risk
We explain the difference between the two risk calculations as it pertains to their real world use.
Getting an Edge with No-Vig Lines
What are no-vig lines and how can I use them to gain an edge?
Calculating Strength of Schedule
Describing the different ways to calculate Strength of Schedule across different sports.
Could a College Basketball Team Beat an NBA Team?
Discussing whether or not the best college basketball team could beat the worst NBA team on a random night.
Chasing Steam in Sports Betting
Explaining steam moves and what it means to "chase steam" in the betting world.
2021 March Madness Breakdown
Our breakdowns for each of the brackets in the 2021 NCAA Tournament.
A Quick Primer on Bet Value
A quick explianer of the three graphics that are used to describe Bet Value.
Betting Analysis Methodology
A brief explainer on how to use our predictive analysis to get an advantage in the betting markets.
Sports Betting Glossary and Slang
The sports betting glossary provides a list of terms and phrases that are used in the sports betting industry. This terminology is used throughout our site.
Advantage Betting Using Implied Margin
Implied margin is one of the many ways in which a sharp bettor can find an advantage over a sportbook.
Explaining Log Loss
A quick introduction to the analytic term that is used to judge accuracy.
Odds of Predicting a Perfect NCAA Bracket
What exactly is the probability of going 63 for 63 picking the NCAA Tournament? Finding the answer isn't as simple as you think.
A Breakdown of NHL Goal Scoring by Period
The NHL season is here, and we were curious when goals occur throughout the game. […]
The College Football Playoff Committee Gets it Right
The College Football Playoff Committee gets it right…and they will continue to get it right. […]
