Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo 		42.7%
31.3%		26.0%
+108
+215

1.44
1.19		2.63
o3-112
u3-108

Zwolle
Excelsior 		20.3%
56.3%		23.4%
+215
+111

0.96
1.76		2.72
o3+100
u3-120

Ajax
NEC Nijmegen 		32.8%
40.4%		26.7%
+173
+124

1.18
1.34		2.52
o3½+100
u3½-120

Telstar
NAC Breda 		24.8%
51.5%		23.7%
+300
-122

1.13
1.74		2.87
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Nov 30, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Utrecht
NAC Breda		53.8%
24.1%		22.1%
+168
+163

1
1		-1.28067-1.51086
Go Ahead Eagles
Twente		17.5%
61.3%		21.2%
+650
-238

0
2		-0.38756-0.48949
Feyenoord
Ajax		40.9%
33.3%		25.8%
+112
+215

0
2		-1.19515-1.10087
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		32.9%
40.6%		26.5%
+128
+185

3
0		-0.87880-1.11255
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		27.7%
47.3%		25.0%
+162
+156

0
1		-0.98168-0.74959
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		4.6%
86.0%		9.4%
+1600
-900

3
4		-0.15390-0.15108
Volendam
Groningen		9.5%
73.4%		17.1%
+650
-256

0
3		-0.37352-0.30967
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar		47.8%
25.2%		27.0%
+116
+215

2
2		-1.41626-1.30763
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam		18.2%
62.1%		19.7%
+190
+139

0
1		-0.91150-0.47625
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar		13.5%
68.2%		18.3%
+700
-312

2
2		-1.82548-1.69625
NEC Nijmegen
Volendam		61.0%
16.7%		22.3%
-147
+340

3
2		-0.56994-0.49476
Twente
Utrecht		24.0%
52.0%		24.0%
+176
+156

1
1		-1.26976-1.42603
Zwolle
Feyenoord		3.9%
87.4%		8.6%
+1350
-625

1
6		-0.19275-0.13443
Telstar
Heracles Almelo		23.7%
50.7%		25.6%
+190
+133

1
1		-1.37148-1.36125
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		61.3%
18.0%		20.6%
-101
+260

3
1		-0.73748-0.48871
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		55.8%
22.1%		22.2%
-107
+260

2
0		-0.68161-0.58381
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.