NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Buffalo Bills (10-4)
Cleveland Browns (3-11)
Josh Allen
Shedeur Sanders
86.8%
13.2%
-570
+440
-560
+475
-10½-104
+10½-106
-10½-105
+10½-108
29.9
13.4
43.3
o41½-106
u41½-108
o40½-110
u41½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Jets (3-11)
New Orleans Saints (4-10)
Brady Cook
Tyler Shough
33.7%
66.3%
+255
-280
+245
-280
+6½-101
-6½-109
+6+100
-6½-108
17.6
22.0
39.6
o40-106
u40-106
o39½-110
u40-110
Minnesota Vikings (6-8)
New York Giants (2-12)
J.J. McCarthy
Jaxson Dart
56.7%
43.3%
-135
+125
-145
+135
-2½-109
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
22.3
19.6
41.9
o42+103
u42-110
o41½-110
u42-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7)
Carolina Panthers (7-7)
Baker Mayfield
Bryce Young
62.5%
37.5%
-145
+135
-155
+135
-3+105
+2½+106
-3+100
+3-110
24.0
20.6
44.6
o45½+107
u44½-105
o44½-110
u45-110
Kansas City Chiefs (6-8)
Tennessee Titans (2-12)
Gardner Minshew II
Cam Ward
57.4%
42.6%
-170
+153
-160
+150
-3-119
+3+106
-3-110
+3½-110
21.4
18.7
40.1
o37½-103
u38½-115
o37½-110
u37½-110
Los Angeles Chargers (10-4)
Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)
Justin Herbert
Dak Prescott
55.5%
44.5%
+100
-109
+105
-120
+0+100
-1-103
+1½-110
-1-108
24.9
22.6
47.5
o50½-110
u50+106
o50½-110
u51-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-10)
Miami Dolphins (6-8)
Joe Burrow
Quinn Ewers
45.6%
54.4%
-189
+170
-185
+175
-3½-103
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
21.8
23.6
45.4
o48-102
u48½-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Atlanta Falcons (5-9)
Arizona Cardinals (3-11)
Kirk Cousins
Jacoby Brissett
53.0%
47.0%
-143
+135
-150
+135
-2½-111
+3-115
-2½-116
+3-110
24.3
22.8
47.1
o48-105
u48-105
o48-110
u48½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4)
Denver Broncos (12-2)
Trevor Lawrence
Bo Nix
39.8%
60.2%
+164
-180
+165
-180
+3½-106
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.2
24.3
45.5
o47+101
u47-110
o47-110
u47-110
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6)
Detroit Lions (8-6)
Aaron Rodgers
Jared Goff
30.3%
69.7%
+300
-357
+330
-360
+7½-108
-7½-103
+7½-105
-7-120
21.1
27.6
48.7
o52-104
u52-105
o51½-110
u52-110
Las Vegas Raiders (2-12)
Houston Texans (9-5)
Geno Smith
C.J. Stroud
13.4%
86.6%
+720
-1000
+800
-1000
+14½-114
-14½+103
+14-108
-14-108
11.9
28.0
39.9
o39½-102
u39½-112
o39-110
u39½-110
New England Patriots (11-3)
Baltimore Ravens (7-7)
Drake Maye
Lamar Jackson
43.4%
56.6%
+164
-180
+165
-175
+3½-109
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-116
23.1
25.7
48.8
o48½-110
u48-102
o48½-110
u49-110
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Cardinals
Tennessee Titans
40.2%
59.8%
+130
-140
+130
-145
+3-120
-2½-111
+3-120
-2½-110
38
13
-0.85085-0.85918-0.91006
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
55.4%
44.6%
-175
+156
-165
+152
-3½-103
+3½-115
-3-120
+3½-110
21
37
-0.96664-0.94353-0.80793
New York Jets
Carolina Panthers
35.9%
64.1%
+165
-184
+165
-174
+3½-110
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3½+100
14
19
-0.45898-0.46639-0.44416
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
32.8%
67.2%
+235
-270
+240
-260
+6½-110
-6½-104
+6½-110
-6-110
23
16
-1.23681-1.23998-1.11615
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30.0%
70.0%
+380
-445
+375
-430
+9-105
-9-110
+9½-110
-9-110
29
31
-0.22725-0.23071-0.35635
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
58.5%
41.5%
-160
+145
-155
+146
-3-107
+3-109
-3-106
+3-104
9
31
-0.91937-0.91442-0.87868
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
37.5%
62.5%
+145
-158
+140
-155
+3-110
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
24
38
-0.51073-0.52206-0.46968
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
43.8%
56.2%
+160
-179
+165
-170
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
31
26
-0.98136-0.98152-0.82465
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
42.8%
57.2%
+120
-135
+130
-140
+3-125
-2½-110
+3-120
-2½-110
30
20
-0.81706-0.85085-0.84868
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
23.0%
77.0%
+325
-400
+348
-410
+8-105
-8-103
+8½-110
-8-110
17
22
-0.25783-0.24502-0.26120
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
47.8%
52.2%
+122
-138
+122
-135
+2½-101
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
3
17
-0.57485-0.57893-0.65009
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
38.7%
61.3%
+300
-360
+300
-350
+7-105
-7-105
+7-110
-7+100
18
32
-0.27720-0.27871-0.48921
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
32.1%
67.9%
+205
-225
+220
-230
+5½-110
-5-109
+6-110
-5-110
48
37
-1.13513-1.17257-1.13532
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
18.4%
81.6%
+460
-575
+500
-605
+11-107
-11-109
+11-110
-11-110
9
21
-0.19031-0.17749-0.20375
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
50.6%
49.4%
-180
+167
-180
+165
-3½-104
+3½-113
-3-120
+3½-110
20
13
-0.45907-0.46185-0.68207
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
67.4%
32.6%
-425
+425
-470
+415
-10-102
+10-105
-10-110
+10-110
31
23
-0.21131-0.21146-0.39504
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1813-5 (0.722)0-0.51944 
Sportsbooks1813-5 (0.722)0-0.51677 
DRatings1813-5 (0.722)0-0.51190
0.00754
0.00487

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.