Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

15.3%20.0%64.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.09

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 0-2 at NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 vs Twente
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Excelsior
L 1-2 at Utrecht
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen
W 3-2 at Twente
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+365-+255+230+230+230+255+260.5
Ajax-155--102-108-108-108-102+110.4
Draw+315-+260+270+270+270+270+304.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen-----+260.5
Ajax-----+110.4
Draw-----+304.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +215 to +205
Ajax ML moved from -101 to -107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118-o2¾-108o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-108o2¾-104
Underu2¾-102-u2¾-112u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.97%
Exactly 222.39%
Exactly 416.81%
Exactly 65.05%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.92%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.09%
Exactly 72.16%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 040.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.63%
Exactly 35.03%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 012.33%
Exactly 125.81%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.84%
Exactly 49.86%
Exactly 54.13%
Exactly 61.44%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.92%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 311.14%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 065.67%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 037.94%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals4.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals40.67%
Wins by 3+ goals21.01%
Wins by 4+ goals9.04%
Wins by 5+ goals3.29%
Wins by 6+ goals1.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal10.40%
Wins by 2 goals3.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals19.66%
Wins by 3 goals11.97%
Wins by 4 goals5.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.03%4.97%
1.580.10%19.90%
2.557.71%42.29%
3.535.31%64.69%
4.518.50%81.50%
5.58.40%91.60%
6.53.36%96.64%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.68%40.32%
1.523.05%76.95%
2.56.42%93.58%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.67%12.33%
1.561.86%38.14%
2.534.85%65.15%
3.516.00%84.00%
4.56.14%93.86%
5.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.08%24.92%
1.540.46%59.54%
2.516.40%83.60%
3.55.26%94.74%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.97%
10.41%
10.89%
7.60%
3.98%
1.66%
1
4.52%
9.45%
9.89%
6.90%
3.61%
1.51%
2
2.05%
4.29%
4.49%
3.13%
1.64%
0.69%
3
0.62%
1.30%
1.36%
0.95%
0.50%
0.21%
4
0.14%
0.30%
0.31%
0.22%
0.11%
0.05%
Groningen
1-04.52%
2-02.05%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.30%
3-21.36%
4-00.14%
4-10.30%
4-20.31%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-04.97%
1-19.45%
2-24.49%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-110.41%
0-210.89%
1-29.89%
0-37.60%
1-36.90%
2-33.13%
0-43.98%
1-43.61%
2-41.64%
3-40.50%
0-51.66%
1-51.51%
2-50.69%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
24.92%
24.15%
11.70%
3.78%
0.92%
0.18%
1
10.48%
10.15%
4.92%
1.59%
0.39%
0.07%
2
2.20%
2.13%
1.03%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-010.48%
2-02.20%
2-12.13%
3-00.31%
3-10.30%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-024.92%
1-110.15%
2-21.03%
Ajax
0-124.15%
0-211.70%
1-24.92%
0-33.78%
1-31.59%
2-30.33%
0-40.92%
1-40.39%
0-50.18%