Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam 		32.9%
40.6%		26.5%
+141
+173

1.20
1.36		2.56
o3-115
u3-105

Feyenoord
Ajax 		40.9%
33.3%		25.8%
+114
+200

1.42
1.26		2.68
o3-115
u3-105

Go Ahead Eagles
Twente 		17.5%
61.3%		21.2%
+600
-250

0.96
1.99		2.95
o3¼-105
u3¼-115

Utrecht
NAC Breda 		53.8%
24.1%		22.1%
+131
+200

1.94
1.23		3.17
o2½-110
u2½-110

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar 		9.4%
74.5%		16.0%
+675
-320

0.73
2.41		3.14
o3½-105
u3½-115

Games for Dec 13, 2025
Games for Dec 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam		18.2%
62.1%		19.7%
+190
+139

0
1		-0.91150-0.47625
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar		13.5%
68.2%		18.3%
+700
-312

2
2		-1.82548-1.69625
NEC Nijmegen
Volendam		61.0%
16.7%		22.3%
-147
+340

3
2		-0.56994-0.49476
Twente
Utrecht		24.0%
52.0%		24.0%
+176
+156

1
1		-1.26976-1.42603
Zwolle
Feyenoord		3.9%
87.4%		8.6%
+1350
-625

1
6		-0.19275-0.13443
Telstar
Heracles Almelo		23.7%
50.7%		25.6%
+190
+133

1
1		-1.37148-1.36125
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		61.3%
18.0%		20.6%
-101
+260

3
1		-0.73748-0.48871
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		55.8%
22.1%		22.2%
-107
+260

2
0		-0.68161-0.58381
Groningen
Excelsior		36.1%
34.8%		29.1%
-101
+265

2
0		-0.73737-1.01938
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		32.3%
41.2%		26.5%
+205
+120

0
1		-0.83637-0.88705
Feyenoord
Telstar		70.8%
11.2%		17.9%
-167
+400

2
1		-0.51822-0.34492
Utrecht
Go Ahead Eagles		40.2%
33.3%		26.5%
+138
+200

2
2		-1.25966-1.32825
Volendam
PSV Eindhoven		2.9%
89.8%		7.3%
+1800
-1000

0
3		-0.13938-0.10724
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen		18.2%
59.5%		22.3%
+400
-168

1
3		-0.52476-0.51849
Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard		31.4%
42.5%		26.1%
+265
-111

1
1		-1.39626-1.34427
NAC Breda
Excelsior		25.3%
51.2%		23.5%
+175
+145

0
1		-0.94448-0.66929
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91150 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47625
0.43525

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.